Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas• Tercera División RFEF - Group 7, Spain

#181.2:2.61-0FT11/101.6:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30B365X3.30B36522.25BTNMargin at best5.1%Books8Markets39Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.95	3.25	2.25	9.1%
Dafabet	2.95	3.20	2.22	10.2%
Pinnacle	2.99	3.15	2.21	10.4%
Bet365	3.30	3.30	2.00	10.6%
William Hill	2.90	3.25	2.20	10.7%
1xBet	3.16	3.15	2.10	11.0%
Marathonbet	3.08	3.15	2.08	12.3%
SBO	2.69	2.99	2.10	18.2%
Best of all books	3.30	3.30	2.25	5.1%
Average	3.00	3.18	2.15	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rayo Vallecano IITrival Valderas

Last 10#18Table position#30.20Points per game2.201Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 51.62.6Goals against · last 50.843Attack rating5724Defence rating768Form rating9240H2H rating6019Goals model8128Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:40 UTC

Rayo Vallecano II

1W 1D 8L · goals 10:24 · per match 1.0 for, 2.4 against

4 Oct	A	RC Alcobendas	2-4	L
27 Sep	H	Galapagar	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Leganés II	1-4	L
13 Sep	H	Cala Pozuelo	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	Móstoles	0-0	D
3 May	A	Rayo Majadahonda	0-3	L
26 Apr	H	Socuéllamos	0-2	L
19 Apr	A	RSD Alcalá	0-3	L
12 Apr	H	Intercity	3-1	W
4 Apr	A	Elche II	1-2	L

Trival Valderas

4W 5D 1L · goals 13:8 · per match 1.3 for, 0.8 against

4 Oct	H	Las Rozas	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Real Aranjuez	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Pozuelo Alarcón	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Parla Escuela	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Villanueva Pardillo	3-1	W
20 Jun	A	La Nucía	0-1	L
14 Jun	H	La Nucía	0-0	D
7 Jun	H	Las Rozas	3-1	W
31 May	A	Las Rozas	1-1	D
24 May	H	Leganés II	1-1	D

Head to head

3Rayo Vallecano II wins

1draws

6Trival Valderas wins

10 meetings · goals 11:22 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Rayo Vallecano II

8 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II3-2Trival Valderas
29 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Trival Valderas5-1Rayo Vallecano II
7 Apr 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Trival Valderas3-0Rayo Vallecano II
19 Nov 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II3-1Trival Valderas
26 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Trival Valderas4-0Rayo Vallecano II
26 Nov 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II0-1Trival Valderas
1 May 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II1-0Trival Valderas
9 Feb 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Trival Valderas3-1Rayo Vallecano II
1 Mar 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II0-1Trival Valderas
13 Oct 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Trival Valderas2-2Rayo Vallecano II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 tableTercera: Group 7updated 11 Oct 11:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 table, Rayo Vallecano II sit 18th with 1 points from 5 games, while Trival Valderas are 3rd with 11 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Colonia Moscardó	6	3	3	0	15:6	+9	12
2	Cala Pozuelo	6	4	0	2	10:8	+2	12
3	Trival Valderas	5	3	2	0	8:4	+4	11
4	Móstoles	5	3	2	0	6:2	+4	11
5	Las Rozas	5	3	1	1	11:6	+5	10
6	Galapagar	5	2	2	1	10:8	+2	8
7	RC Alcobendas	6	2	2	2	12:11	+1	8
8	Fuenlabrada	5	2	2	1	7:6	+1	8
9	Leganés II	5	2	1	2	9:6	+3	7
10	Torrejón	5	2	0	3	6:5	+1	6
11	Unión Adarve	5	1	3	1	6:8	-2	6
12	Pozuelo Alarcón	5	1	3	1	7:10	-3	6
13	Parla Escuela	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
14	Alcobendas Sport	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
15	Real Aranjuez	6	1	2	3	10:14	-4	5
16	SS Reyes II	5	1	0	4	7:13	-6	3
17	Villanueva Pardillo	5	1	0	4	5:13	-8	3
18	Rayo Vallecano II	5	0	1	4	6:13	-7	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.00X28%3.18242%2.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.40 → 3.00 -11.8%X3.19 → 3.18 -0.3%22.00 → 2.15 +7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.82	1.93	6.8%
SBO	1.83	1.89	7.6%
Betano	1.83	1.87	8.1%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.82	1.90	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Betano	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.06	9.9%
Best of all books	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Average	1.63	2.09	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rayo Vallecano II 10%Draw 45%Trival Valderas 45%

The statistical model rated Rayo Vallecano II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Trival Valderas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.00 | 3.18 | 2.15, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 table: Rayo Vallecano II are 18th (1 pts, 6-13 goals), Trival Valderas 3rd (11 pts, 8-4).

Over their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano II averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Trival Valderas averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Trival Valderas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.00	3.18	2.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.61	1.27	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.31	1.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
3.59	2.11	2.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.24	10.8	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.32
1.5	1.26	3.35
2.5	1.82	1.90
3.5	2.92	1.32
4.5	5.30	1.11
5.5	12.0	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.28	3.18
2	1.36	2.77
2.25	1.58	2.19
2.75	2.00	1.69
3	2.35	1.49
3.25	2.64	1.39
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.90	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.93	1.35
-0.25	2.61	1.41
0	2.23	1.57
+0.25	1.85	1.86
+0.5	1.69	2.09
+0.75	1.43	2.49

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.85	1.04
-1	5.80	1.07
-0.75	3.88	1.18
+1	1.27	3.23
+1.25	1.25	3.40
+1.5	1.16	4.05
+2	1.02	7.90
+2.5	1.01	8.90

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 results

11 Oct	Unión Adarve 2-1 Móstoles
11 Oct	Las Rozas 4-2 SS Reyes II
11 Oct	Parla Escuela 2-2 Fuenlabrada
4 Oct	SS Reyes II 3-5 Real Aranjuez
4 Oct	Trival Valderas 2-1 Las Rozas
3 Oct	Alcobendas Sport 1-0 Parla Escuela