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Unión Adarve vs Móstoles• Tercera División RFEF - Group 7, Spain

#111.2:1.62-1FT11/101.2:0.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.82BTNX3.25B36522.45PINMargin at best7.0%Books7Markets38Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.823.152.408.9%
Dafabet2.753.152.3810.1%
Bet3652.703.252.3510.4%
Pinnacle2.623.172.4510.5%
William Hill2.753.002.4011.4%
1xBet2.673.082.3612.3%
Marathonbet2.673.082.3612.3%
Best of all books2.823.252.457.0%
Average2.713.132.3910.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Unión AdarveMóstoles
Last 10#11Table position#41.20Points per game2.206Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5020Defence rating8035Form rating6550H2H rating5016Goals model8438Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:40 UTC

Unión Adarve

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

4 OctATorrejón0-4L
27 SepHFuenlabrada2-2D
19 SepAAlcobendas Sport1-1D
13 SepHColonia Moscardó1-1D
6 SepASS Reyes II2-0W
30 AugAMarchamalo0-2L
27 AugHGetafe II2-2D
10 MayHRacing Madrid5-0W
3 MayALas Rozas2-0W
26 AprHGalapagar3-1W

Móstoles

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

4 OctHLeganés II1-1D
27 SepATorrejón1-0W
20 SepHCala Pozuelo1-0W
13 SepAFuenlabrada3-1W
6 SepHRayo Vallecano II0-0D
10 MayAA Madrid III1-1D
3 MayHVillanueva Pardillo3-5L
25 AprAPozuelo Alarcón0-2L
19 AprHLeganés II1-1D
12 AprATrival Valderas0-1L

Head to head

5Unión Adarve wins
1draws
3Móstoles wins

9 meetings · goals 9:8 · last 9: 5W 1D 3L for Unión Adarve

25 Jan 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Unión Adarve0-2Móstoles
14 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Móstoles0-3Unión Adarve
26 Jan 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Móstoles1-0Unión Adarve
15 Sep 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Unión Adarve2-1Móstoles
10 Apr 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Móstoles0-0Unión Adarve
21 Nov 2021Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Unión Adarve1-0Móstoles
2 May 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Unión Adarve1-0Móstoles
11 Apr 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Móstoles1-2Unión Adarve
5 Jan 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Unión Adarve0-3Móstoles

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 tableTercera: Group 7updated 11 Oct 11:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 table, Unión Adarve sit 11th with 6 points from 5 games, while Móstoles are 4th with 11 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Colonia Moscardó633015:6+912
2Cala Pozuelo640210:8+212
3Trival Valderas53208:4+411
4Móstoles53206:2+411
5Las Rozas531111:6+510
6Galapagar522110:8+28
7RC Alcobendas622212:11+18
8Fuenlabrada52217:6+18
9Leganés II52129:6+37
10Torrejón52036:5+16
11Unión Adarve51316:8-26
12Pozuelo Alarcón51317:10-36
13Parla Escuela51227:8-15
14Alcobendas Sport51224:5-15
15Real Aranjuez612310:14-45
16SS Reyes II51047:13-63
17Villanueva Pardillo51045:13-83
18Rayo Vallecano II50146:13-71

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.71X29%3.13238%2.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 19:2011 Oct 07:201 2.71X 3.132 2.39
12.98 → 2.71 -9.1%X3.16 → 3.13 -0.9%22.20 → 2.39 +8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.921.836.7%
Betano1.931.788.0%
1xBet1.881.799.1%
Marathonbet1.881.799.1%
Best of all books1.951.855.3%
Average1.911.817.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.682.029.0%
Betano1.701.989.3%
Marathonbet1.681.999.8%
Best of all books1.702.057.6%
Average1.692.018.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Unión Adarve 10%Draw 45%Móstoles 45%

The statistical model rated Unión Adarve at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Móstoles at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.71 | 3.13 | 2.39, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 table: Unión Adarve are 11th (6 pts, 6-8 goals), Móstoles 4th (11 pts, 6-2).

Over their last five matches, Unión Adarve averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Móstoles averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Móstoles.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.713.132.39

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.351.28

Draw no bet

12
2.121.64

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.01

1st half

1X2
3.392.082.95

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.148.901.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.98
1.51.283.15
2.51.911.81
3.53.101.29
4.55.751.09
5.513.01.03
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.10
1.751.332.89
21.432.51
2.251.672.04
2.752.131.61
32.541.42
3.252.851.34
3.753.841.18
45.201.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.581.44
-0.252.271.54
01.971.76
+0.251.712.02
+0.51.502.41
+0.751.342.82
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.55.401.09
-1.254.351.14
-14.551.13
-0.753.181.28
+11.223.61
+1.251.154.20
+1.51.124.65
+21.018.80
+2.51.018.50

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 results

11 OctLas Rozas 4-2 SS Reyes II
11 OctRayo Vallecano II 1-0 Trival Valderas
11 OctParla Escuela 2-2 Fuenlabrada
4 OctSS Reyes II 3-5 Real Aranjuez
4 OctTrival Valderas 2-1 Las Rozas
3 OctAlcobendas Sport 1-0 Parla Escuela