Tropezón vs Revilla• Tercera División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#22.3:0.72-0FT27/092.7:0.7#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50B365X4.33BFR27.50BFRMargin at best3.1%Books6Markets45Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.33	4.60	8.25	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.33	4.53	7.67	10.3%
William Hill	1.33	4.20	8.50	10.8%
1xBet	1.27	4.70	9.15	10.9%
Bet365	1.33	4.33	7.50	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.26	4.70	8.60	12.3%
Best of all books	1.33	4.70	9.15	7.4%
Average	1.31	4.51	8.28	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TropezónRevilla

Last 10#2Table position#43.00Points per game1.8312Form pts · last 582.3Goals for · last 52.70.7Goals against · last 50.747Attack rating5350Defence rating5056Form rating4462H2H rating380Goals model056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 11:01 UTC

Tropezón

7W 2D 1L · goals 14:3 · per match 1.4 for, 0.3 against

27 Sep	H	Revilla	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Solares	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Selaya	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Laredo	2-1	W
20 Jun	A	Arnedo	0-1	L
13 Jun	H	Arnedo	1-0	W
6 Jun	A	Laredo	1-0	W
31 May	H	Laredo	0-0	D
24 May	H	Guarnizo	3-0	W
17 May	A	Guarnizo	0-0	D

Revilla

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

19 Sep	H	Castro	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Atlético Mineros	4-0	W
6 Sep	A	Solares	2-0	W
9 May	A	Torina	0-2	L
3 May	H	Barquereño	1-1	D
26 Apr	A	Noja	1-0	W
18 Apr	H	Castro	2-1	W
12 Apr	A	Cayón	0-2	L
1 Apr	H	Montañas Pas	1-1	D
28 Mar	A	Escobedo	0-1	L

Head to head

2Tropezón wins

4draws

2Revilla wins

8 meetings · goals 13:11 · last 8: 2W 4D 2L for Tropezón

15 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tropezón3-1Revilla
1 Nov 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Revilla0-3Tropezón
2 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tropezón0-0Revilla
22 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Revilla2-1Tropezón
16 Mar 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Revilla2-2Tropezón
29 Oct 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tropezón3-3Revilla
25 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Revilla2-0Tropezón
27 Nov 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tropezón1-1Revilla

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 tableTercera: Group 3updated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 table, Tropezón sit 2nd with 15 points from 5 games, while Revilla are 4th with 11 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bezana	6	5	1	0	12:4	+8	16
2	Tropezón	5	5	0	0	11:2	+9	15
3	Laredo	5	4	0	1	12:2	+10	12
4	Revilla	6	3	2	1	13:8	+5	11
5	Vimenor	5	3	1	1	7:3	+4	10
6	Cayón	5	3	1	1	5:2	+3	10
7	Torina	5	2	3	0	8:2	+6	9
8	Sámano	5	2	2	1	12:6	+6	8
9	Selaya	5	2	1	2	5:7	-2	7
10	Atlético Mineros	5	2	0	3	4:11	-7	6
11	Castro	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
12	Guarnizo	6	1	2	3	7:10	-3	5
13	Solares	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5
14	Escobedo	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
15	Velarde	5	1	1	3	3:8	-5	4
16	Naval Reinosa	6	0	2	4	6:15	-9	2
17	Atlético Albericia	5	0	1	4	3:9	-6	1
18	Barquereño	5	0	1	4	2:11	-9	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.40X22%4.01214%6.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.31 → 1.40 +6.9%X4.51 → 4.01 -11.1%28.28 → 6.62 -20.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.79	1.97	6.6%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Betano	1.70	1.91	11.2%
Best of all books	1.79	2.05	4.6%
Average	1.75	1.96	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.59	9.8%
Betano	2.07	1.60	10.8%
Best of all books	2.13	1.70	5.8%
Average	2.09	1.63	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tropezón 45%Draw 45%Revilla 10%

The statistical model rated Tropezón at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Revilla at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.01 | 6.62, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Tropezón win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 table: Tropezón are 2nd (15 pts, 11-2 goals), Revilla 4th (11 pts, 13-8).

Over their last five matches, Tropezón averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Revilla averaged 2.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tropezón or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.31	4.51	8.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.06	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	5.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.09	1.63

1st half

1	X	2
1.77	2.36	7.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.25	13.3	4.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.21	3.55
2.5	1.75	1.96
3.5	2.77	1.36
4.5	5.13	1.10
5.5	6.40	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.27	3.22
2	1.34	2.84
2.25	1.55	2.24
2.75	1.95	1.74
3	2.30	1.51
3.25	2.61	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.80	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.78	1.36
-1.75	2.24	1.54
-1.5	1.95	1.76
-1.25	1.73	1.97
-1	1.48	2.39
-0.75	1.36	2.77

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.10	1.04
-3	6.20	1.06
-2.5	3.42	1.23
-2.25	3.02	1.31
-0.5	1.32	3.09
-0.25	1.15	4.20
0	1.04	7.10

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 results

11 Oct	Cayón 0-0 Torina
4 Oct	Selaya 3-2 Naval Reinosa
4 Oct	Castro 0-2 Tropezón
27 Sep	Atlético Albericia 0-2 Solares
26 Sep	Escobedo 2-1 Selaya