Covadonga vs 
Siero• Tercera División RFEF - Group 2, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 16:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 5.38 | 8.90 | 5.0% |
| Betano | 1.34 | 4.70 | 7.80 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.80 | 8.00 | 10.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 4.62 | 7.21 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.25 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 4.85 | 8.20 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.36 | 5.38 | 8.90 | 3.4% |
| Average | 1.32 | 4.81 | 7.73 | 9.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 07:51 UTC
Covadonga
5W 2D 3L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against
| 26 Sep | A | Colunga | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Caudal | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Langreo | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Avilés Stadium | 4-0 | W |
| 7 Jun | H | Caudal | 2-4 | L |
| 31 May | A | Caudal | 1-2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Mosconia | 2-1 | W |
| 17 May | A | Mosconia | 0-0 | D |
| 9 May | H | Real Titánico | 0-2 | L |
| 3 May | A | Llanes | 4-1 | W |
Siero
6W 0D 4L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against
| 26 Sep | H | Ceares | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Astur | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Andes | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Condal | 0-1 | L |
| 10 May | H | Ceares | 0-2 | L |
| 3 May | A | Caudal | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | Tuilla | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Apr | H | Navarro | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Apr | A | Gijón Industrial | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Apr | H | Praviano | 2-3 | L |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 9:5 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Covadonga
| 15 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Covadonga5-0Siero |
| 2 Nov 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Siero2-1Covadonga |
| 15 Dec 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Covadonga3-3Siero |
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 tableTercera: Group 2updated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC
In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table, Covadonga sit 1st with 13 points from 5 games, while Siero are 7th with 9 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Sporting Gijón II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 | Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 11 |
| 4 | Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 11 |
| 5 | Colunga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Siero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Lealtad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Praviano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | San Martín | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | L'Entregu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Ceares | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Andes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 2.14 | 5.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 2.17 | 7.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 2.11 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.05 | 11.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.17 | 4.9% |
| Average | 1.65 | 2.11 | 7.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.91 | 1.80 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 1.74 | 8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 1.71 | 9.8% |
| Betano | 1.91 | 1.70 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.80 | 6.8% |
| Average | 1.93 | 1.74 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Covadonga at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Siero at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.32 | 4.81 | 7.69, which imply roughly 75.8% for a Covadonga win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table: Covadonga are 1st (13 pts, 14-4 goals), Siero 7th (9 pts, 6-3).
Over their last five matches, Covadonga averaged 3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Siero averaged 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Covadonga or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 4.81 | 7.73 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | 3.03 | 1.12 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.12 | 4.95 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.93 | 1.74 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | 2.47 | 7.28 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 13.9 | 3.58 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.18 | 3.98 |
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.11 |
| 3.5 | 2.53 | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 4.43 | 1.15 |
| 5.5 | 7.53 | 1.04 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.75 |
| 2 | 1.27 | 3.30 |
| 2.25 | 1.46 | 2.53 |
| 2.75 | 1.78 | 1.90 |
| 3 | 2.04 | 1.67 |
| 3.25 | 2.32 | 1.54 |
| 3.75 | 3.05 | 1.28 |
| 4 | 4.00 | 1.17 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 2.64 | 1.39 |
| -1.75 | 2.18 | 1.58 |
| -1.5 | 1.94 | 1.78 |
| -1.25 | 1.71 | 1.98 |
| -1 | 1.46 | 2.41 |
| -0.75 | 1.36 | 2.76 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 6.60 | 1.05 |
| -3 | 5.80 | 1.07 |
| -2.5 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| -2.25 | 2.98 | 1.31 |
| -0.25 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 0 | 1.04 | 6.75 |
Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 results
| 11 Oct | Caudal 1-1 Sporting Gijón II |
| 11 Oct | Gijón Industrial 2-2 Astur |
| 4 Oct | Astur 0-0 Mosconia |
| 4 Oct | Sporting Gijón II 1-1 Langreo |
| 3 Oct | L'Entregu 0-0 Colunga |
| 27 Sep | Gijón Industrial 1-2 Condal |