Boiro vs Celta de Vigo III• Tercera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#11.4:0.81-0FT25/101.4:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70BTNX3.60B36524.75BFRMargin at best7.7%Books8Markets46Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.70	3.55	4.60	8.7%
Dafabet	1.65	3.60	4.60	10.1%
Pinnacle	1.65	3.51	4.63	10.7%
1xBet	1.63	3.54	4.72	10.8%
William Hill	1.67	3.50	4.40	11.2%
Betfair	1.62	3.50	4.75	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.54	4.60	12.1%
Bet365	1.60	3.60	4.50	12.5%
Best of all books	1.70	3.60	4.75	7.7%
Average	1.64	3.54	4.60	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BoiroCelta de Vigo III

Last 10#1Table position#162.29Points per game1.0010Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5071Defence rating2971Form rating2936H2H rating6472Goals model2856Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 12:41 UTC

Boiro

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Alondras	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Viveiro	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Estradense	2-3	L
27 Sep	H	Villalbés	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Silva	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Celtiga	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Coruña	3-2	W
10 May	A	Somozas	2-2	D
3 May	H	Coruña	3-1	W
26 Apr	A	Arosa	0-1	L

Celta de Vigo III

5W 1D 4L · goals 23:15 · per match 2.3 for, 1.5 against

18 Oct	H	Celtiga	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Coruña	1-3	L
4 Oct	H	Atlético Arteixo	3-2	W
26 Sep	A	Sarriana	2-3	L
20 Sep	H	Antela	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Pontevedra II	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Lalin	1-2	L
10 May	A	Noia	5-1	W
3 May	H	Villalbés	4-1	W
26 Apr	A	Barbadás	4-0	W

Head to head

1Boiro wins

1draws

2Celta de Vigo III wins

4 meetings · goals 5:8 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Boiro

14 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Boiro1-1Celta de Vigo III
26 Oct 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Celta de Vigo III1-0Boiro
10 May 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Boiro2-1Celta de Vigo III
12 Jan 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Celta de Vigo III5-2Boiro

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 tableTercera: Group 1updated 25 Oct 12:41 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Boiro sit 1st with 16 points from 7 games, while Celta de Vigo III are 16th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boiro	7	5	1	1	12:6	+6	16
2	Sarriana	8	4	2	2	15:12	+3	14
3	Lalin	7	4	1	2	7:6	+1	13
4	Barco	7	3	3	1	8:6	+2	12
5	Antela	7	3	3	1	6:5	+1	12
6	Portonovo SD	8	3	2	3	9:8	+1	11
7	Silva	7	3	2	2	10:10	0	11
8	Villalbés	7	2	4	1	9:8	+1	10
9	Alondras	7	3	1	3	10:10	0	10
10	Celtiga	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
11	Estradense	7	3	1	3	11:12	-1	10
12	Atlético Arteixo	7	2	3	2	11:11	0	9
13	Coruña	7	3	0	4	12:13	-1	9
14	Pontevedra II	7	2	1	4	9:8	+1	7
15	Somozas	8	1	4	3	7:9	-2	7
16	Celta de Vigo III	7	2	1	4	10:13	-3	7
17	Viveiro	7	1	2	4	3:7	-4	5
18	Arenteiro	7	1	1	5	8:13	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.64X25%3.54220%4.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.84	1.92	6.4%
Betano	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.92	4.7%
Average	1.83	1.89	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.93	7.4%
Average	1.78	1.90	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Boiro 45%Draw 45%Celta de Vigo III 10%

The statistical model rated Boiro at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Celta de Vigo III at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.54 | 4.60, which imply roughly 61% for a Boiro win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Boiro are 1st (16 pts, 12-6 goals), Celta de Vigo III 16th (7 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Boiro averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Celta de Vigo III averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Boiro or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.64	3.54	4.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.08	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	2.20	4.92

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.53	4.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.55	16.3	43.3
HT X	4.43	5.53	10.0
HT 2	21.7	17.3	7.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	9.25	2.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.45
1.5	1.24	3.40
2.5	1.83	1.89
3.5	2.87	1.34
4.5	5.28	1.12
5.5	12.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.90
1.75	1.29	3.07
2	1.38	2.68
2.25	1.60	2.16
2.75	2.02	1.68
3	2.38	1.48
3.25	2.66	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.75	1.36
-1.25	2.45	1.45
-1	2.12	1.63
-0.75	1.81	1.89
-0.5	1.66	2.11
-0.25	1.43	2.51

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3	7.90	1.02
-2.5	5.20	1.10
-2	4.45	1.14
-1.75	3.14	1.29
0	1.24	3.46
+0.25	1.18	3.90

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 results

11 Oct	Lalin 1-3 Silva
11 Oct	Boiro 1-0 Viveiro
11 Oct	Villalbés 1-2 Estradense
11 Oct	Coruña 3-1 Celta de Vigo III
4 Oct	Estradense 3-2 Boiro
4 Oct	Celta de Vigo III 3-2 Atlético Arteixo