Estradense vs Boiro• Tercera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#51.3:1.83-2FT04/102.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70B365X3.381XB22.97PINMargin at best0.3%Books2Markets7Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.36	3.20	2.84	8.8%
Bet365	2.30	3.10	2.75	12.1%
Best of all books	2.36	3.20	2.84	8.8%
Average	2.33	3.15	2.79	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EstradenseBoiro

Last 10#5Table position#11.63Points per game2.387Form pts · last 5101.3Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 50.838Attack rating6230Defence rating7029Form rating71100H2H rating00Goals model10043Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 13:31 UTC

Estradense

3W 2D 5L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against

4 Oct	H	Boiro	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Celtiga	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Coruña	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Atlético Arteixo	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Sarriana	1-3	L
8 Aug	H	Pontevedra	0-5	L
23 May	A	Atlético Arteixo	2-2	D
16 May	H	Atlético Arteixo	0-1	L
10 May	H	Barco	3-1	W
1 May	A	Compostela	1-2	L

Boiro

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Alondras	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Viveiro	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Estradense	2-3	L
27 Sep	H	Villalbés	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Silva	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Celtiga	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Coruña	3-2	W
10 May	A	Somozas	2-2	D
3 May	H	Coruña	3-1	W
26 Apr	A	Arosa	0-1	L

Head to head

4Estradense wins

0draws

0Boiro wins

4 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 4: 4W 0D 0L for Estradense

25 Jan 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Boiro1-2Estradense
6 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Estradense1-0Boiro
19 Jan 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Estradense2-1Boiro
8 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Boiro0-1Estradense

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 tableTercera: Group 1updated 31 Oct 19:02 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Estradense sit 5th with 13 points from 8 games, while Boiro are 1st with 19 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boiro	8	6	1	1	13:6	+7	19
2	Sarriana	8	4	2	2	15:12	+3	14
3	Lalin	8	4	2	2	9:8	+1	14
4	Antela	8	3	4	1	8:7	+1	13
5	Estradense	8	4	1	3	14:14	0	13
6	Atlético Arteixo	8	3	3	2	13:12	+1	12
7	Barco	8	3	3	2	9:8	+1	12
8	Villalbés	8	2	5	1	10:9	+1	11
9	Portonovo SD	8	3	2	3	9:8	+1	11
10	Alondras	8	3	2	3	11:11	0	11
11	Silva	8	3	2	3	11:13	-2	11
12	Pontevedra II	8	3	1	4	12:9	+3	10
13	Celtiga	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
14	Coruña	8	3	0	5	12:15	-3	9
15	Somozas	8	1	4	3	7:9	-2	7
16	Arenteiro	8	2	1	5	10:13	-3	7
17	Celta de Vigo III	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
18	Viveiro	8	1	2	5	5:10	-5	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.49X31%2.96232%2.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.33 → 2.49 +6.9%X3.15 → 2.96 -6.0%22.80 → 2.81 +0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.25	1.62	6.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estradense 10%Draw 45%Boiro 45%

The statistical model rated Estradense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Boiro at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 2.96 | 2.81, which imply roughly 33.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Estradense are 5th (13 pts, 14-14 goals), Boiro 1st (19 pts, 13-6).

Over their last five matches, Estradense averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Boiro averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Boiro.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.33	3.15	2.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.52	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	2.00	3.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.95	7.50	2.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	2.25	1.62

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.75	2.05

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

1 Nov	Arenteiro – Celtiga
1 Nov	Celta de Vigo III – Villalbés

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 results

25 Oct	Boiro 1-0 Celta de Vigo III
11 Oct	Lalin 1-3 Silva
11 Oct	Boiro 1-0 Viveiro
11 Oct	Villalbés 1-2 Estradense
11 Oct	Coruña 3-1 Celta de Vigo III
4 Oct	Celta de Vigo III 3-2 Atlético Arteixo