Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III• Tercera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#131.4:2.23-1FT11/101.6:1.6#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35BTNX3.25B36523.00B365Margin at best6.7%Books5Markets35Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.35	3.25	2.82	8.8%
Dafabet	2.30	3.20	2.80	10.4%
1xBet	2.21	3.20	2.91	10.9%
Bet365	2.10	3.25	3.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.19	3.20	2.84	12.1%
Best of all books	2.35	3.25	3.00	6.7%
Average	2.23	3.22	2.87	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CoruñaCelta de Vigo III

Last 10#13Table position#161.29Points per game1.003Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.62.2Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5342Defence rating5830Form rating7050H2H rating5038Goals model6243Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:30 UTC

Coruña

2W 2D 6L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	Alondras	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Viveiro	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Estradense	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Villalbés	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	Boiro	2-3	L
10 May	H	Cambados	4-1	W
3 May	A	Boiro	1-3	L
26 Apr	H	Barco	0-0	D
19 Apr	A	Compostela	2-2	D
12 Apr	H	Estradense	0-1	L

Celta de Vigo III

5W 1D 4L · goals 23:15 · per match 2.3 for, 1.5 against

18 Oct	H	Celtiga	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Coruña	1-3	L
4 Oct	H	Atlético Arteixo	3-2	W
26 Sep	A	Sarriana	2-3	L
20 Sep	H	Antela	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Pontevedra II	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Lalin	1-2	L
10 May	A	Noia	5-1	W
3 May	H	Villalbés	4-1	W
26 Apr	A	Barbadás	4-0	W

Head to head

0Coruña wins

2draws

0Celta de Vigo III wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Coruña

8 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Celta de Vigo III1-1Coruña
21 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1	Coruña1-1Celta de Vigo III

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 tableTercera: Group 1updated 25 Oct 12:41 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Coruña sit 13th with 9 points from 7 games, while Celta de Vigo III are 16th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boiro	7	5	1	1	12:6	+6	16
2	Sarriana	8	4	2	2	15:12	+3	14
3	Lalin	7	4	1	2	7:6	+1	13
4	Barco	7	3	3	1	8:6	+2	12
5	Antela	7	3	3	1	6:5	+1	12
6	Portonovo SD	8	3	2	3	9:8	+1	11
7	Silva	7	3	2	2	10:10	0	11
8	Villalbés	7	2	4	1	9:8	+1	10
9	Alondras	7	3	1	3	10:10	0	10
10	Celtiga	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
11	Estradense	7	3	1	3	11:12	-1	10
12	Atlético Arteixo	7	2	3	2	11:11	0	9
13	Coruña	7	3	0	4	12:13	-1	9
14	Pontevedra II	7	2	1	4	9:8	+1	7
15	Somozas	8	1	4	3	7:9	-2	7
16	Celta de Vigo III	7	2	1	4	10:13	-3	7
17	Viveiro	7	1	2	4	3:7	-4	5
18	Arenteiro	7	1	1	5	8:13	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.23X28%3.22231%2.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.41 → 2.23 -7.5%X3.21 → 3.22 +0.3%22.65 → 2.87 +8.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.87	1.83	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.95	4.8%
Average	1.84	1.87	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.03	9.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.07	8.2%
Average	1.66	2.04	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Coruña 10%Draw 45%Celta de Vigo III 45%

The statistical model rated Coruña at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Celta de Vigo III at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.22 | 2.87, which imply roughly 31.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Coruña are 13th (9 pts, 12-13 goals), Celta de Vigo III 16th (7 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Coruña averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Celta de Vigo III averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Celta de Vigo III and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.23	3.22	2.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.55	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.83	2.10	3.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	9.40	2.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.90
1.5	1.26	3.29
2.5	1.84	1.87
3.5	2.98	1.31
4.5	5.45	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.75	1.30	2.97
2	1.38	2.62
2.25	1.60	2.12
2.75	2.00	1.65
3	2.38	1.46
3.25	2.66	1.37
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.80	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.34	1.24
-0.75	2.56	1.40
-0.25	1.89	1.81
0	1.71	2.03
+0.25	1.44	2.42
+0.75	1.23	3.42

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.78	1.19
+1	1.11	4.95
+1.25	1.13	4.55
+1.5	1.07	5.80

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 results

25 Oct	Boiro 1-0 Celta de Vigo III
11 Oct	Lalin 1-3 Silva
11 Oct	Boiro 1-0 Viveiro
11 Oct	Villalbés 1-2 Estradense
4 Oct	Estradense 3-2 Boiro
4 Oct	Celta de Vigo III 3-2 Atlético Arteixo