APEA vs 
Ermis• 2. Division, Cyprus
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 06:12 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 9.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.38 | 11.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.38 | 9.6% |
| Average | 2.69 | 3.20 | 2.38 | 10.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 07:00 UTC
APEA
5W 3D 2L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against
| 21 Oct | A | Nea Salamis | 0-4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Ethnikos Achna | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Spartakos Kitiou | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Digenis Morphou | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Doxa | 3-3 | D |
| 25 Apr | H | Ethnikos Latsion | 2-1 | W |
| 21 Apr | A | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 2-0 | W |
| 4 Apr | H | Spartakos Kitiou | 4-0 | W |
| 21 Mar | A | Halkanoras | 1-3 | L |
| 18 Mar | A | Ahironas / Onisilos | 1-1 | D |
Ermis
5W 2D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against
| 17 Oct | H | MEAP Nisou | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Polemidion | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Nea Salamis | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | PAEEK | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Akritas | 2-0 | W |
| 25 Apr | H | Kedros Agia Marina | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Apr | A | Ethnikos Assias | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Apr | A | ASPIS | 1-0 | W |
| 28 Mar | H | AEP Polemidion | 2-0 | W |
| 21 Mar | A | Anagennisi Deryneia | 3-3 | D |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for APEA
| 8 Mar 20253. Division | 3. Division | Ermis0-2APEA |
| 18 Jan 20253. Division | 3. Division | APEA1-3Ermis |
| 19 Oct 20243. Division | 3. Division | Ermis1-2APEA |
2. Division tableDivision 2updated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC
In the 2. Division table, APEA sit 6th with 8 points from 4 games, while Ermis are 5th with 9 points from 4.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doxa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Enosis | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Ethnikos Achna | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 |
| 4 | PAEEK | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Ermis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | APEA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | ASIL Lysi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Digenis Morphou | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Spartakos Kitiou | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Anagennisi Deryneia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | Polemidion | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Halkanoras | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | Akritas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Ayia Napa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 | MEAP Nisou | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:11 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.6% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 5.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 1.70 | 8.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.08 | 1.73 | 5.9% |
| Average | 2.05 | 1.71 | 7.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 1.89 | 7.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.89 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.83 | 1.89 | 7.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates APEA at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ermis at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.69 | 3.20 | 2.38, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 2. Division table: APEA are 6th (8 pts, 5-3 goals), Ermis 5th (9 pts, 6-2).
Over their last five matches, APEA averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Ermis averaged 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ermis and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.69 | 3.20 | 2.38 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 1.39 | 1.30 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.00 | 1.73 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.89 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.44 | 2.10 | 3.01 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.26 | 2.33 | 2.82 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.42 | 16.5 | 28.0 |
| HT X | 6.65 | 4.80 | 6.05 |
| HT 2 | 29.0 | 15.5 | 3.83 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 8.50 | 1.95 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.07 | 6.20 |
| 1.5 | 1.32 | 3.00 |
| 2 | 1.54 | 2.30 |
| 2.5 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
| 3 | 2.85 | 1.36 |
| 3.5 | 3.60 | 1.24 |
| 4 | 5.70 | 1.09 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.40 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 4.50 | 1.15 |
| 0 | 2.01 | 1.76 |
| +1 | 1.22 | 3.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.60 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
Next 2. Division matches
| 23 Oct | Anagennisi Deryneia – Ethnikos Achna |
| 24 Oct | ASIL Lysi – Doxa |
| 24 Oct | MEAP Nisou – PAEEK |
| 24 Oct | Ayia Napa – Digenis Morphou |
| 24 Oct | Halkanoras – Spartakos Kitiou |
| 24 Oct | Iraklis Yerolakkou – Enosis |
Latest 2. Division results
| 18 Oct | Digenis Morphou 1-1 Halkanoras |
| 17 Oct | Ermis 2-0 MEAP Nisou |
| 17 Oct | Spartakos Kitiou 2-3 Anagennisi Deryneia |
| 17 Oct | PAEEK 4-0 Polemidion |
| 17 Oct | Doxa 3-0 Ayia Napa |
| 17 Oct | Ethnikos Achna 0-1 APEA |