Doxa vs Ayia Napa• 2. Division, Cyprus

#13.0:2.33-0FT17/10 · Makario Stadium, Nicosia1.0:2.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.27B365X5.00WH212.71XBMargin at best6.6%Books4Markets46Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.27	4.75	9.50	10.3%
1xBet	1.22	4.75	12.7	10.9%
William Hill	1.22	5.00	11.0	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.21	4.75	11.8	12.2%
Best of all books	1.27	5.00	12.7	6.6%
Average	1.23	4.81	11.2	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DoxaAyia Napa

Last 10#1Table position#152.50Points per game0.2510Form pts · last 573.0Goals for · last 51.02.3Goals against · last 52.075Attack rating2546Defence rating5488Form rating1338H2H rating6271Goals model2959Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 21:01 UTC

Doxa

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	Ayia Napa	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	Halkanoras	4-3	W
19 Sep	H	Anagennisi Deryneia	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	APEA	3-3	D
25 Apr	H	Ayia Napa	0-3	L
19 Apr	A	Omonia 29is Maiou	1-5	L
4 Apr	A	MEAP Nisou	2-0	W
21 Mar	H	PAEEK	0-0	D
18 Mar	A	Nea Salamis	1-2	L
13 Mar	H	ASIL Lysi	1-0	W

Ayia Napa

2W 2D 6L · goals 17:24 · per match 1.7 for, 2.4 against

10 Oct	H	Enosis	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Iraklis Yerolakkou	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	ASIL Lysi	1-3	L
25 Apr	A	Doxa	3-0	W
19 Apr	H	PAEEK	6-3	W
4 Apr	A	Nea Salamis	0-3	L
21 Mar	H	ASIL Lysi	5-5	D
18 Mar	A	Karmiotissa	0-3	L
14 Mar	H	MEAP Nisou	0-2	L
6 Mar	H	Omonia 29is Maiou	0-2	L

Head to head

1Doxa wins

2draws

3Ayia Napa wins

6 meetings · goals 4:8 · last 6: 1W 2D 3L for Doxa

25 Apr 20262. Division	2. Division	Doxa0-3Ayia Napa
28 Feb 20262. Division	2. Division	Ayia Napa1-2Doxa
27 Sep 20252. Division	2. Division	Doxa1-1Ayia Napa
5 Apr 20252. Division	2. Division	Doxa0-1Ayia Napa
15 Feb 20252. Division	2. Division	Ayia Napa1-1Doxa
9 Nov 20242. Division	2. Division	Doxa0-1Ayia Napa

2. Division tableDivision 2updated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the 2. Division table, Doxa sit 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Ayia Napa are 15th with 1 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Doxa	4	3	1	0	12:7	+5	10
2	Enosis	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
3	Ethnikos Achna	4	3	0	1	12:3	+9	9
4	PAEEK	4	3	0	1	10:6	+4	9
5	Ermis	4	3	0	1	6:2	+4	9
6	APEA	4	2	2	0	5:3	+2	8
7	ASIL Lysi	4	2	1	1	7:4	+3	7
8	Digenis Morphou	4	1	2	1	4:3	+1	5
9	Iraklis Yerolakkou	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
10	Spartakos Kitiou	4	1	1	2	6:5	+1	4
11	Anagennisi Deryneia	4	1	0	3	5:10	-5	3
12	Polemidion	4	1	0	3	1:8	-7	3
13	Halkanoras	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
14	Akritas	4	0	2	2	2:5	-3	2
15	Ayia Napa	4	0	1	3	3:9	-6	1
16	MEAP Nisou	4	0	1	3	1:11	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg173%1.23X19%4.8128%11.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.41 → 1.23 -12.8%X4.16 → 4.81 +15.6%26.79 → 11.2 +65.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.05	8.0%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.69	2.04	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.53	10.0%
Best of all books	2.25	1.55	9.0%
Average	2.24	1.54	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Doxa 45%Draw 45%Ayia Napa 10%

The statistical model rated Doxa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ayia Napa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.23 | 4.81 | 11.24, which imply roughly 81.3% for a Doxa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division table: Doxa are 1st (10 pts, 12-7 goals), Ayia Napa 15th (1 pts, 3-9).

Over their last five matches, Doxa averaged 3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; Ayia Napa averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Doxa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.23	4.81	11.2

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	3.38	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.24	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
1.71	2.35	9.25

2nd half

1	X	2
1.50	2.94	9.00

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.90	23.0	70.5
HT X	3.95	7.00	18.0
HT 2	21.0	24.0	15.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.27	11.4	4.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	11.6
1.5	1.18	3.85
2.5	1.69	2.04
3.5	2.65	1.38
4.5	5.10	1.12
5.5	10.0	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.30	3.04
2.25	1.49	2.35
2.75	1.84	1.82
3	2.13	1.60
3.25	2.38	1.47
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.10	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.60	1.40
-2	2.31	1.50
-1.75	1.97	1.71
-1.5	1.78	1.94
-1.25	1.65	2.12
-1	1.36	2.76

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.35	1.09
-3	4.65	1.12
-2.5	2.83	1.33
-0.75	1.28	3.12
-0.25	1.12	4.92
0	1.04	8.25

Next 2. Division matches

23 Oct	Anagennisi Deryneia – Ethnikos Achna
24 Oct	ASIL Lysi – Doxa
24 Oct	MEAP Nisou – PAEEK

All 2. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Division results

18 Oct	Digenis Morphou 1-1 Halkanoras
17 Oct	Akritas 0-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
17 Oct	Ermis 2-0 MEAP Nisou
17 Oct	Spartakos Kitiou 2-3 Anagennisi Deryneia
17 Oct	PAEEK 4-0 Polemidion
17 Oct	Ethnikos Achna 0-1 APEA