Ermis vs MEAP Nisou• 2. Division, Cyprus

#51.3:0.72-0FT17/10 · Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca0.3:3.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62WHX3.80B36524.611XBMargin at best9.7%Books4Markets41Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 07:53 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.60	3.75	4.61	10.9%
Bet365	1.60	3.80	4.33	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.58	3.75	4.50	12.2%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	4.50	13.4%
Best of all books	1.62	3.80	4.61	9.7%
Average	1.60	3.68	4.49	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ErmisMEAP Nisou

Last 10#5Table position#162.25Points per game0.257Form pts · last 521.3Goals for · last 50.30.7Goals against · last 53.080Attack rating2082Defence rating1886Form rating1436H2H rating6488Goals model1269Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:20 UTC

Ermis

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

10 Oct	A	Polemidion	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Nea Salamis	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	PAEEK	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Akritas	2-0	W
25 Apr	H	Kedros Agia Marina	1-1	D
17 Apr	A	Ethnikos Assias	0-1	L
4 Apr	A	ASPIS	1-0	W
28 Mar	H	AEP Polemidion	2-0	W
21 Mar	A	Anagennisi Deryneia	3-3	D
14 Mar	H	Anorthosis Mouttagiakas	3-0	W

MEAP Nisou

1W 2D 7L · goals 8:21 · per match 0.8 for, 2.1 against

17 Oct	A	Ermis	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Ethnikos Achna	0-5	L
18 Sep	A	Spartakos Kitiou	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Digenis Morphou	0-0	D
24 Apr	H	Omonia 29is Maiou	3-3	D
17 Apr	A	ASIL Lysi	1-2	L
4 Apr	H	Doxa	0-2	L
21 Mar	A	Karmiotissa	0-1	L
18 Mar	H	PAEEK	1-2	L
14 Mar	A	Ayia Napa	2-0	W

Head to head

1Ermis wins

1draws

2MEAP Nisou wins

4 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Ermis

14 Apr 20242. Division	2. Division	Ermis1-2MEAP Nisou
17 Feb 20242. Division	2. Division	MEAP Nisou0-0Ermis
7 Oct 20232. Division	2. Division	MEAP Nisou1-2Ermis
22 Dec 20222. Division	2. Division	Ermis0-1MEAP Nisou

2. Division tableDivision 2updated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the 2. Division table, Ermis sit 5th with 9 points from 4 games, while MEAP Nisou are 16th with 1 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Doxa	4	3	1	0	12:7	+5	10
2	Enosis	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
3	Ethnikos Achna	4	3	0	1	12:3	+9	9
4	PAEEK	4	3	0	1	10:6	+4	9
5	Ermis	4	3	0	1	6:2	+4	9
6	APEA	4	2	2	0	5:3	+2	8
7	ASIL Lysi	4	2	1	1	7:4	+3	7
8	Digenis Morphou	4	1	2	1	4:3	+1	5
9	Iraklis Yerolakkou	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
10	Spartakos Kitiou	4	1	1	2	6:5	+1	4
11	Anagennisi Deryneia	4	1	0	3	5:10	-5	3
12	Polemidion	4	1	0	3	1:8	-7	3
13	Halkanoras	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
14	Akritas	4	0	2	2	2:5	-3	2
15	Ayia Napa	4	0	1	3	3:9	-6	1
16	MEAP Nisou	4	0	1	3	1:11	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.60X24%3.68220%4.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.60 -6.4%X3.78 → 3.68 -2.6%24.06 → 4.49 +10.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.71	1.99	8.7%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.72	2.00	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Average	1.69	1.99	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ermis 45%Draw 45%MEAP Nisou 10%

The statistical model rated Ermis at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and MEAP Nisou at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.68 | 4.49, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Ermis win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division table: Ermis are 5th (9 pts, 6-2 goals), MEAP Nisou 16th (1 pts, 1-11).

Over their last five matches, Ermis averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; MEAP Nisou averaged 0.3 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Ermis.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.60	3.68	4.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.05	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.26	4.71

2nd half

1	X	2
1.97	2.56	4.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.65	16.5	33.5
HT X	4.97	6.10	9.30
HT 2	20.0	16.5	6.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	13.0	2.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.0
1.5	1.18	3.86
2.5	1.72	2.01
3.5	2.74	1.36
4.5	5.25	1.09
5.5	11.0	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.31	2.96
2.25	1.50	2.31
2.75	1.89	1.78
3	2.18	1.56
3.25	2.46	1.44
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.50	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.69	1.37
-1.25	2.38	1.47
-1	2.09	1.63
-0.75	1.79	1.90
-0.5	1.70	2.08
-0.25	1.41	2.53

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.50	1.08
-2	4.65	1.12
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.23	3.42
+0.25	1.18	3.92
+1	1.01	9.00
+1.5	1.04	7.60

Next 2. Division matches

23 Oct	Anagennisi Deryneia – Ethnikos Achna
24 Oct	ASIL Lysi – Doxa
24 Oct	MEAP Nisou – PAEEK

All 2. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Division results

18 Oct	Digenis Morphou 1-1 Halkanoras
17 Oct	Akritas 0-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
17 Oct	Spartakos Kitiou 2-3 Anagennisi Deryneia
17 Oct	PAEEK 4-0 Polemidion
17 Oct	Doxa 3-0 Ayia Napa
17 Oct	Ethnikos Achna 0-1 APEA