Renate vs Desenzano Calvina• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#172.2:1.213:30Tomorrow · Mino Favini, Meda0.8:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.87BTNX3.60PIN24.20DAFMargin at best5.1%Books9Markets50Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 17:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.81	3.60	4.20	6.8%
Pinnacle	1.81	3.60	4.16	7.1%
BetVictor	1.85	3.50	3.90	8.3%
Betano	1.85	3.35	3.85	9.9%
Betfair	1.85	3.40	3.75	10.1%
1xBet	1.80	3.32	3.96	10.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.30	3.80	12.2%
Marathonbet	1.78	3.32	3.85	12.3%
William Hill	1.75	3.25	3.90	13.6%
Best of all books	1.85	3.60	4.20	5.6%
Average	1.81	3.40	3.93	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RenateDesenzano Calvina

Last 10#17Table position#130.85Points per game1.008Form pts · last 532.2Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.673Attack rating2757Defence rating4373Form rating270H2H rating042Goals model5861Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 06:01 UTC

Renate

2W 5D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

7 Nov	A	Pergolettese	3-2	W
1 Nov	A	Athletic Carpi	5-0	W
25 Oct	H	Albinoleffe	0-0	D
19 Oct	A	Juventus U23	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Giana Erminio	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Ospitaletto	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Treviso	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Arzignano Valchiampo	1-2	L
17 Sep	H	Dolomiti Bellunesi	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Lumezzane	2-2	D

Desenzano Calvina

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.8 for, 1.2 against

8 Nov	H	Ospitaletto	0-1	L
2 Nov	A	Novara	0-1	L
28 Oct	A	Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Giana Erminio	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Alcione	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Dolomiti Bellunesi	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Folgore Caratese	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Juventus U23	0-0	D
21 Sep	A	Treviso	0-0	D
17 Sep	H	Lecco	1-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Renate and Desenzano Calvina on record.

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 13 Nov 21:30 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Renate sit 17th with 11 points from 13 games, while Desenzano Calvina are 13th with 13 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	19:6	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	26:11	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	19:7	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	19:11	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	14:9	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	19:15	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	22:11	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	21:19	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	20:19	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	14:15	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	14:17	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	15:22	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	10:15	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	11:18	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	16:26	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	13:17	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	17:18	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	12:23	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	10:22	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	11:21	-10	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.81X27%3.43223%3.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.00 → 1.81 -9.5%X3.18 → 3.43 +7.9%23.47 → 3.91 +12.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.84	1.97	5.1%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.83	1.90	7.3%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.97	4.8%
Average	1.81	1.91	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
William Hill	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.15	4.3%
Average	1.69	2.03	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Renate 45%Draw 45%Desenzano Calvina 10%

The statistical model rates Renate at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Desenzano Calvina at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.43 | 3.91, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Renate win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Renate are 17th (11 pts, 17-18 goals), Desenzano Calvina 13th (13 pts, 10-15).

Over their last five matches, Renate averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Desenzano Calvina averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Renate or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.40	3.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.84	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.40	2.16	4.37

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.49	3.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.83	14.9	39.0
HT X	4.66	5.13	8.54
HT 2	24.8	14.7	6.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	11.3	2.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.74
1.5	1.24	3.62
2.5	1.81	1.91
3.5	2.96	1.35
4.5	5.73	1.10
5.5	10.3	1.04
6.5	13.6	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.30
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.11	4.90
1.75	1.28	3.19
2	1.38	2.74
2.25	1.59	2.18
2.75	2.01	1.70
3	2.37	1.50
3.25	2.67	1.40
3.75	3.59	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.30	1.09
4.75	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.85	1.37
-1	2.51	1.46
-0.75	2.06	1.68
-0.5	1.82	1.91
-0.25	1.58	2.23
0	1.35	2.94

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.83	1.06
-2.25	6.28	1.08
-2	5.87	1.09
-1.75	4.07	1.18
-1.5	3.22	1.28
+0.25	1.27	3.39
+0.5	1.18	3.80
+0.75	1.12	5.12
+1	1.05	7.67
+1.25	1.01	8.68
+1.5	1.06	9.47
+1.75	1.01	8.70

Next Serie C - Girone A matches

14 Nov	Albinoleffe – Union Brescia
14 Nov	Arzignano Valchiampo – Alcione
14 Nov	Athletic Carpi – Giana Erminio
14 Nov	Lumezzane – Trento
15 Nov	Novara – Lecco
15 Nov	Juventus U23 – Treviso

All Serie C - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie C - Girone A results

13 Nov	Ospitaletto 1-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
8 Nov	Desenzano Calvina 0-1 Ospitaletto
8 Nov	Folgore Caratese 0-0 Athletic Carpi
8 Nov	Treviso 2-0 Novara
8 Nov	Giana Erminio 0-0 Cittadella
8 Nov	Lecco 4-0 Juventus U23