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Aston Villa W vs Manchester United W• FA WSL, England

#91.4:1.80-1FT08/11 · Trevor Brown Memorial Ground, Sutton Coldfield1.4:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.00B365X4.20BFR21.61PINMargin at best5.9%Books10Markets81Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:47 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.764.171.617.1%
Dafabet4.804.201.607.1%
Betfair4.754.201.607.4%
Bet3655.004.001.607.5%
BetVictor4.804.101.559.7%
1xBet4.593.981.5710.6%
William Hill4.503.801.6011.0%
Betano4.503.951.5711.2%
Marathonbet4.503.981.5511.9%
SBO4.223.581.4719.7%
Best of all books5.004.201.615.9%
Average4.644.001.5710.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aston Villa WManchester United W
Last 10#9Table position#51.11Points per game1.675Form pts · last 5111.4Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5025Defence rating7542Form rating5829H2H rating7135Goals model6534Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 04:30 UTC

Aston Villa W

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

11 NovALiverpool W1-4L
8 NovHManchester United W0-1L
1 NovAArsenal W1-1D
28 OctHBirmingham City W1-1D
25 OctAEverton W3-2W
21 OctABurnley W2-0W
18 OctHLiverpool W2-1W
4 OctHCrystal Palace W1-1D
30 SepHNewcastle United W3-1W
27 SepATottenham Hotspur W0-4L

Manchester United W

8W 2D 0L · goals 31:8 · per match 3.1 for, 0.8 against

8 NovAAston Villa W1-0W
31 OctAEverton W0-0D
28 OctHBurnley W3-0W
25 OctHManchester City W1-1D
21 OctALiverpool W5-3W
18 OctACharlton Athletic W3-1W
3 OctHLiverpool W1-0W
30 SepADurham W5-1W
27 SepHWest Ham W2-1W
23 SepHSheffield United W10-1W

Head to head

1Aston Villa W wins
3draws
9Manchester United W wins

13 meetings · goals 7:31 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Aston Villa W

25 Jan 2026FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W1-4Manchester United W
8 Nov 2025FA WSLFA WSLManchester United W0-1Aston Villa W
23 Mar 2025FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W0-4Manchester United W
10 Nov 2024FA WSLFA WSLManchester United W0-0Aston Villa W
28 Jan 2024FA WSLFA WSLManchester United W2-1Aston Villa W
1 Oct 2023FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W1-2Manchester United W
28 Apr 2023FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W2-3Manchester United W
3 Dec 2022FA WSLFA WSLManchester United W5-0Aston Villa W
1 Oct 2022WSL CupWSL CupAston Villa W1-1Manchester United W
24 Apr 2022FA WSLFA WSLAston Villa W0-0Manchester United W

FA WSL tableSuper League Womenupdated 14 Nov 16:40 UTC

In the FA WSL table, Aston Villa W sit 9th with 10 points from 9 games, while Manchester United W are 5th with 15 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City W981027:10+1725
2Chelsea W972028:5+2323
3London City Lionesses W961224:11+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W951325:18+716
5Manchester United W943210:11-115
6Arsenal W934210:10013
7Brighton W932416:13+311
8Everton W93248:10-211
9Aston Villa W924310:16-610
10Crystal Palace W923410:19-99
11West Ham W93069:19-109
12Liverpool W922514:16-28
13Birmingham City W913511:21-106
14Charlton Athletic W90095:28-230

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.47X23%3.94257%1.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 03:018 Nov 07:001 4.64X 4.002 1.57
14.59 → 4.64 +1.1%X4.01 → 4.00 -0.2%21.57 → 1.57 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Pinnacle1.562.337.0%
1xBet1.542.279.0%
Marathonbet1.542.279.0%
BetVictor1.552.249.2%
Betano1.552.229.6%
Best of all books1.572.454.5%
Average1.552.308.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.306.0%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
Marathonbet1.582.179.4%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.602.217.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aston Villa W 10%Draw 45%Manchester United W 45%

The statistical model rated Aston Villa W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Manchester United W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.47 | 3.94 | 1.60, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FA WSL table: Aston Villa W are 9th (10 pts, 10-16 goals), Manchester United W 5th (15 pts, 10-11).

Over their last five matches, Aston Villa W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Manchester United W averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Aston Villa W

3-4-2-1

Coach: B. Sorensen

Goalkeeper

  • 23Akane Okuma

Defence

  • 15L. Parker
  • 3M. Harviken
  • 24O. Deslandes

Midfield

  • 14L. Wilms
  • 5J. Kielland
  • 6O. Jean-François
  • 16N. Maritz
  • 17Chasity Grant
  • 21L. Kendall

Attack

  • 20A. Vangsgaard
Substitutes (9)
  • 8Jill Baijings
  • 13M. Hijikata
  • 22R. Imuran
  • 7M. Kearns
  • 40S. Kelly
  • 38R. Maltby
  • 18G. Mullet
  • 19Lily Murphy
  • 25M. Taylor

Manchester United W

4-2-3-1

Coach: Eva Olid

Goalkeeper

  • 91P. Tullis-Joyce

Defence

  • 14J. Riviere
  • 4M. Le Tissier
  • 17D. Janssen
  • 2A. Sandberg

Midfield

  • 5H. Lundkvist
  • 20H. Miyazawa
  • 8Jessica Park
  • 7E. Toone
  • 13Simi Awujo

Attack

  • 10Elisabeth Terland
Substitutes (9)
  • 19E. Wangerheim
  • 24L. Schüller
  • 6Andrea Medina
  • 25J. Leitzig
  • 23M. Jusu Bah
  • 36Mared Griffiths
  • 11Celin Bizet Dønnum
  • 16R. Bernal
  • 15J. Olme

Match Statistics

Aston Villa WManchester United W
0.43Expected Goals2
315Passes accurate430
5Shots insidebox14
1Shots outsidebox4
1Blocked Shots3
11Free Kicks9
4Shots on Goal7
6Goalkeeper Saves4
1Shots off Goal8
3Offsides2
382Total passes495
6Total Shots18
1Yellow Cards2
7Corner Kicks4
9Fouls11
0Red Cards0
44%Ball Possession56%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.644.001.57

Double chance

1XX212
2.191.141.18

Draw no bet

12
3.651.24

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.21

1st half

1X2
4.742.402.02

2nd half

1X2
4.442.781.90

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.6115.017.9
HT X10.36.594.66
HT 236.914.62.34

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.6517.11.48

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.9
1.51.154.65
2.51.552.30
3.52.371.51
4.54.171.18
5.57.881.07
6.512.71.02
7.517.0–
8.521.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.90
1.751.164.10
21.213.58
2.251.392.71
2.751.672.04
31.871.81
3.252.131.63
3.752.741.38
43.421.23
4.253.801.22

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.701.40
+0.52.281.57
+0.752.011.71
+11.761.95
+1.251.582.23
+1.51.452.53
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.671.04
-0.756.801.10
-0.55.001.14
-0.254.131.18
03.701.22
+1.751.342.95
+21.203.84
+2.251.214.10
+2.51.144.72
+31.018.70
+3.51.039.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.73
7.51.293.06
8.51.582.21
9.51.931.80
10.52.451.47
11.53.461.22
12.55.081.08
13.57.231.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.124.50
71.144.27
7.251.213.52
7.751.332.89
81.392.68
8.251.472.43
8.751.652.10
91.751.97
9.251.841.86
9.752.081.66
102.251.56
10.252.381.49
10.752.771.36
113.131.28
11.253.291.25
11.753.941.16
124.701.11
12.254.891.10
12.755.811.05
137.241.01
13.257.011.02

Next FA WSL matches

15 NovWest Ham W – Charlton Athletic W
15 NovAston Villa W – Birmingham City W
15 NovArsenal W – London City Lionesses W

All FA WSL fixtures and the table

Latest FA WSL results

14 NovTottenham Hotspur W 0-0 Everton W
14 NovChelsea W 1-0 Manchester City W
14 NovManchester United W 2-0 Crystal Palace W
8 NovLondon City Lionesses W 4-1 Birmingham City W
8 NovCrystal Palace W 3-2 Charlton Athletic W
8 NovTottenham Hotspur W 2-1 Brighton W