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London City Lionesses W vs Birmingham City W• FA WSL, England

#32.6:1.24-1FT08/11 · Princes Park, Dartford1.4:2.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.20SBOX8.00B365215.2PINMargin at best2.4%Books10Markets97Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.157.6615.26.6%
Dafabet1.177.6012.07.0%
Betfair1.148.0014.07.4%
Bet3651.148.0012.08.6%
BetVictor1.137.0015.09.4%
William Hill1.156.5013.010.0%
Betano1.176.2010.511.1%
Marathonbet1.107.4013.811.7%
1xBet1.107.4013.711.7%
SBO1.204.836.6619.1%
Best of all books1.208.0015.22.4%
Average1.147.0612.69.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

London City Lionesses WBirmingham City W
Last 10#3Table position#132.11Points per game0.6710Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 52.065Attack rating3563Defence rating3867Form rating3329H2H rating7182Goals model1858Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 03:00 UTC

London City Lionesses W

8W 1D 1L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against

8 NovHBirmingham City W4-1W
1 NovHManchester City W1-2L
28 OctHCrystal Palace W4-2W
25 OctALiverpool W2-2D
21 OctAWest Ham W2-1W
18 OctHEverton W2-1W
4 OctATottenham Hotspur W6-1W
30 SepAIpswich Town W1-0W
26 SepHBrighton W2-0W
23 SepALeicester City FC W2-0W

Birmingham City W

3W 3D 4L · goals 20:20 · per match 2.0 for, 2.0 against

11 NovHSunderland W3-1W
8 NovALondon City Lionesses W1-4L
1 NovHTottenham Hotspur W1-4L
28 OctAAston Villa W1-1D
25 OctHCharlton Athletic W1-0W
21 OctADurham W5-0W
17 OctAArsenal W1-1D
4 OctAEverton W1-2L
30 SepHLiverpool W3-4L
27 SepHCrystal Palace W3-3D

Head to head

3London City Lionesses W wins
2draws
3Birmingham City W wins

8 meetings · goals 11:11 · last 8: 3W 2D 3L for London City Lionesses W

4 May 2025Women's ChampionshipWomen's ChampionshipBirmingham City W2-2London City Lionesses W
10 Nov 2024Women's ChampionshipWomen's ChampionshipLondon City Lionesses W1-2Birmingham City W
28 Jan 2024Women's ChampionshipWomen's ChampionshipBirmingham City W1-0London City Lionesses W
12 Nov 2023Women's ChampionshipWomen's ChampionshipLondon City Lionesses W0-1Birmingham City W
12 Feb 2023Women's ChampionshipWomen's ChampionshipBirmingham City W0-1London City Lionesses W
17 Dec 2022WSL CupWSL CupBirmingham City W1-2London City Lionesses W
6 Nov 2022Women's ChampionshipWomen's ChampionshipLondon City Lionesses W3-2Birmingham City W
15 Dec 2021WSL CupWSL CupLondon City Lionesses W2-2Birmingham City W

FA WSL tableSuper League Womenupdated 14 Nov 20:50 UTC

In the FA WSL table, London City Lionesses W sit 3rd with 19 points from 9 games, while Birmingham City W are 13th with 6 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Chelsea W1082029:5+2426
2Manchester City W1081127:11+1625
3London City Lionesses W961224:11+1319
4Manchester United W1053212:11+118
5Tottenham Hotspur W1052325:18+717
6Arsenal W934210:10013
7Everton W103348:10-212
8Liverpool W1032517:16+111
9Brighton W1032516:16011
10Aston Villa W924310:16-610
11West Ham W93069:19-109
12Crystal Palace W1023510:21-119
13Birmingham City W913511:21-106
14Charlton Athletic W90095:28-230

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg181%1.14X12%7.3627%13.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 03:018 Nov 13:101 1.15X 7.062 12.6
11.27 → 1.15 -9.4%X5.26 → 7.06 +34.2%27.94 → 12.6 +58.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
Pinnacle1.372.897.6%
Betfair1.293.307.8%
BetVictor1.303.208.2%
1xBet1.283.0510.9%
Marathonbet1.283.0510.9%
Best of all books1.373.303.3%
Average1.313.128.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.831.917.0%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
BetVictor1.931.788.0%
Marathonbet1.861.809.3%
Best of all books2.001.912.4%
Average1.911.807.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

London City Lionesses W 45%Draw 45%Birmingham City W 10%

The statistical model rated London City Lionesses W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Birmingham City W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.14 | 7.36 | 13.31, which imply roughly 87.7% for a London City Lionesses W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FA WSL table: London City Lionesses W are 3rd (19 pts, 24-11 goals), Birmingham City W 13th (6 pts, 11-21).

Over their last five matches, London City Lionesses W averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Birmingham City W averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : London City Lionesses W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

London City Lionesses W

4-2-3-1

Coach: Eder Maestre

Goalkeeper

  • 27M. Earps

Defence

  • 2Jana Fernández
  • 6María Pérez
  • 44Mapi León
  • 3P. Pattinson

Midfield

  • 88G. Geyoro
  • 16Daniela Arques
  • 20D. Cascarino
  • 11Alexia Putellas
  • 10D. van de Donk

Attack

  • 19N. Anyomi
Substitutes (9)
  • 97J. Thomsen
  • 21K. Diani
  • 14F. Godfrey
  • 23I. Goodwin
  • 99C. Henson
  • 76R. Kafaji
  • 77Elene Lete
  • 13E. Linari
  • 17N. Parris

Birmingham City W

4-2-3-1

Coach: Amy Merricks

Goalkeeper

  • 23S. Baggaley

Defence

  • 3Marie Levasseur
  • 6S. Cooke
  • 21M. Turner
  • 30N. Herron

Midfield

  • 26Asato Miyagawa
  • 8L. Naalsund
  • 16L. Crosthwaite
  • 18R. McKenna
  • 22Oceane Hurtre

Attack

  • 10W. Leidhammar
Substitutes (8)
  • 40K. Startup
  • 4J. Rastocle
  • 7Lee Geum-Min
  • 15R. Holloway
  • 2Martha Harris
  • 19Chelsea Cornet
  • 14S. Amano
  • 1L Thomas

Match Statistics

London City Lionesses WBirmingham City W
1.52Expected Goals0.19
604Passes accurate264
13Shots insidebox3
7Shots outsidebox1
7Blocked Shots1
8Free Kicks14
8Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal2
1Offsides4
683Total passes322
20Total Shots4
3Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks4
0Goalkeeper Saves4
14Fouls8
0Red Cards0
67%Ball Possession33%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.157.0612.6

Double chance

1XX212
1.044.561.06

Draw no bet

12
1.039.86

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.911.80

1st half

1X2
1.493.038.84

2nd half

1X2
1.383.678.91

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.5822.575.1
HT X4.2410.723.5
HT 217.222.818.8

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2025.54.22

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0122.8
1.51.076.98
2.51.313.12
3.51.821.87
4.52.831.36
5.54.991.15
6.58.331.05
7.513.01.02
8.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.5
1.751.154.80
21.075.85
2.251.213.74
2.751.362.78
31.492.40
3.251.672.07
3.752.011.69
42.311.52
4.252.571.42
4.753.341.24
54.301.15

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.752.451.47
-2.52.151.62
-2.251.901.80
-21.712.00
-1.751.552.27
-1.51.512.39
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.56.651.09
-4.256.401.12
-45.931.09
-3.754.301.19
-3.53.511.24
-3.253.281.27
-33.001.33
-1.251.362.87
-11.253.61
-0.751.213.87
-0.51.184.65
-0.251.096.02
01.079.60
+0.51.049.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.25
7.51.094.98
8.51.253.26
9.51.502.39
10.51.901.82
11.52.301.53
12.53.001.30
13.54.181.14
14.56.211.04
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.036.31
71.017.21
7.251.104.74
7.751.183.79
81.124.54
8.251.293.07
8.751.412.59
91.322.94
9.251.572.23
9.751.751.96
101.682.09
10.251.771.94
10.751.931.78
112.071.67
11.252.541.43
11.752.951.31
122.721.37
12.253.511.22
12.754.201.14
133.841.18
13.255.191.08
145.821.05

Next FA WSL matches

15 NovWest Ham W – Charlton Athletic W
15 NovAston Villa W – Birmingham City W
15 NovArsenal W – London City Lionesses W

All FA WSL fixtures and the table

Latest FA WSL results

14 NovBrighton W 0-3 Liverpool W
14 NovTottenham Hotspur W 0-0 Everton W
14 NovChelsea W 1-0 Manchester City W
14 NovManchester United W 2-0 Crystal Palace W
8 NovCrystal Palace W 3-2 Charlton Athletic W
8 NovTottenham Hotspur W 2-1 Brighton W