Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W• FA WSL, England

#101.4:1.214:00Tomorrow · Trevor Brown Memorial Ground, Sutton Coldfield1.0:2.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15B365X3.77PIN23.05DAFMargin at best5.8%Books9Markets77Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 21:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.12	3.70	3.05	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.11	3.77	3.01	7.1%
Betfair	2.10	3.75	3.00	7.6%
Bet365	2.15	3.60	3.00	7.6%
BetVictor	2.15	3.60	2.88	9.0%
1xBet	2.08	3.54	2.92	10.6%
Betano	2.15	3.55	2.72	11.4%
William Hill	2.10	3.40	2.90	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.06	3.54	2.85	11.9%
Best of all books	2.15	3.77	3.05	5.8%
Average	2.11	3.61	2.93	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aston Villa WBirmingham City W

Last 10#10Table position#131.11Points per game0.675Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 52.258Attack rating4265Defence rating3567Form rating3350H2H rating5062Goals model3859Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 04:30 UTC

Aston Villa W

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

11 Nov	A	Liverpool W	1-4	L
8 Nov	H	Manchester United W	0-1	L
1 Nov	A	Arsenal W	1-1	D
28 Oct	H	Birmingham City W	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Everton W	3-2	W
21 Oct	A	Burnley W	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Liverpool W	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Crystal Palace W	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	Newcastle United W	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Tottenham Hotspur W	0-4	L

Birmingham City W

3W 3D 4L · goals 20:20 · per match 2.0 for, 2.0 against

11 Nov	H	Sunderland W	3-1	W
8 Nov	A	London City Lionesses W	1-4	L
1 Nov	H	Tottenham Hotspur W	1-4	L
28 Oct	A	Aston Villa W	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Charlton Athletic W	1-0	W
21 Oct	A	Durham W	5-0	W
17 Oct	A	Arsenal W	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Everton W	1-2	L
30 Sep	H	Liverpool W	3-4	L
27 Sep	H	Crystal Palace W	3-3	D

Head to head

1Aston Villa W wins

3draws

2Birmingham City W wins

6 meetings · goals 6:7 · last 6: 1W 3D 2L for Aston Villa W

28 Oct 2026WSL Cup	WSL Cup	Aston Villa W1-1Birmingham City W
21 Nov 2025WSL Cup	WSL Cup	Aston Villa W3-3Birmingham City W
8 May 2022FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W0-1Birmingham City W
14 Nov 2021FA WSL	FA WSL	Birmingham City W0-1Aston Villa W
28 Apr 2021FA WSL	FA WSL	Birmingham City W1-1Aston Villa W
15 Nov 2020FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W0-1Birmingham City W

FA WSL tableSuper League Womenupdated 14 Nov 20:50 UTC

In the FA WSL table, Aston Villa W sit 10th with 10 points from 9 games, while Birmingham City W are 13th with 6 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Chelsea W	10	8	2	0	29:5	+24	26
2	Manchester City W	10	8	1	1	27:11	+16	25
3	London City Lionesses W	9	6	1	2	24:11	+13	19
4	Manchester United W	10	5	3	2	12:11	+1	18
5	Tottenham Hotspur W	10	5	2	3	25:18	+7	17
6	Arsenal W	9	3	4	2	10:10	0	13
7	Everton W	10	3	3	4	8:10	-2	12
8	Liverpool W	10	3	2	5	17:16	+1	11
9	Brighton W	10	3	2	5	16:16	0	11
10	Aston Villa W	9	2	4	3	10:16	-6	10
11	West Ham W	9	3	0	6	9:19	-10	9
12	Crystal Palace W	10	2	3	5	10:21	-11	9
13	Birmingham City W	9	1	3	5	11:21	-10	6
14	Charlton Athletic W	9	0	0	9	5:28	-23	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.12X25%3.61231%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.17 → 2.12 -2.3%X3.60 → 3.61 +0.3%22.79 → 2.93 +5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.33	7.0%
BetVictor	1.54	2.27	9.0%
1xBet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Betano	1.53	2.25	9.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Average	1.54	2.32	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.40	9.2%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.47	2.52	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aston Villa W 45%Draw 45%Birmingham City W 10%

The statistical model rates Aston Villa W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Birmingham City W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 3.61 | 2.93, which imply roughly 47.2% for a Aston Villa W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FA WSL table: Aston Villa W are 10th (10 pts, 10-16 goals), Birmingham City W 13th (6 pts, 11-21).

Over their last five matches, Aston Villa W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Birmingham City W averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Aston Villa W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.11	3.61	2.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.62	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.63	2.34	3.32

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.68	3.02

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.41	14.0	23.8
HT X	5.80	6.18	7.28
HT 2	20.3	13.6	4.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	16.9	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.9
1.5	1.15	4.64
2.5	1.54	2.32
3.5	2.33	1.53
4.5	4.11	1.19
5.5	7.88	1.07
6.5	12.7	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.75	1.17	4.05
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.38	2.72
2.75	1.67	2.05
3	1.85	1.82
3.25	2.10	1.64
3.75	2.70	1.38
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.70	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.40	1.50
-0.5	2.11	1.68
-0.25	1.84	1.87
0	1.59	2.22
+0.25	1.45	2.54
+0.5	1.38	2.97

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.55	1.06
-2	6.57	1.07
-1.75	4.65	1.18
-1.5	3.65	1.22
-1.25	3.34	1.27
-1	3.00	1.33
+0.75	1.25	3.46
+1	1.13	4.92
+1.25	1.15	5.23
+1.5	1.10	5.75
+2.5	1.02	10.8

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.04	6.31
7.5	1.18	3.86
8.5	1.42	2.59
9.5	1.75	1.98
10.5	2.09	1.66
11.5	2.75	1.36
12.5	3.80	1.18
13.5	5.63	1.06

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.05
7	1.05	5.79
7.25	1.11	4.57
7.75	1.20	3.66
8	1.22	3.46
8.25	1.31	2.98
8.75	1.44	2.52
9	1.53	2.30
9.25	1.60	2.18
9.75	1.78	1.92
10	1.89	1.84
10.25	2.00	1.72
10.75	2.26	1.55
11	2.47	1.46
11.25	2.61	1.40
11.75	3.04	1.29
12	3.48	1.22
12.25	3.64	1.20
12.75	4.37	1.13
13	5.23	1.08
13.25	5.43	1.07

Next FA WSL matches

15 Nov	West Ham W – Charlton Athletic W
15 Nov	Arsenal W – London City Lionesses W

All FA WSL fixtures and the table

Latest FA WSL results

14 Nov	Brighton W 0-3 Liverpool W
14 Nov	Tottenham Hotspur W 0-0 Everton W
14 Nov	Chelsea W 1-0 Manchester City W
14 Nov	Manchester United W 2-0 Crystal Palace W
8 Nov	London City Lionesses W 4-1 Birmingham City W
8 Nov	Crystal Palace W 3-2 Charlton Athletic W