ES Hammam-Sousse vs US Ben Guerdane• Ligue 1, Tunisia

#160.2:1.40-2FT17/10 · Bou Ali Lahouar Stadium, Sousse1.8:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70WHX2.75B36522.93PINMargin at best7.5%Books5Markets41Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 07:49 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.68	2.65	2.93	9.2%
William Hill	2.70	2.50	2.90	11.5%
Bet365	2.60	2.75	2.70	11.9%
1xBet	2.56	2.67	2.80	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.56	2.67	2.80	12.2%
Best of all books	2.70	2.75	2.93	7.5%
Average	2.62	2.65	2.83	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ES Hammam-SousseUS Ben Guerdane

Last 10#16Table position#10.17Points per game2.330Form pts · last 5110.2Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 51.210Attack rating9046Defence rating548Form rating9220H2H rating8015Goals model8523Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

ES Hammam-Sousse

0W 3D 7L · goals 7:17 · per match 0.7 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	US Ben Guerdane	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	ES Zarzis	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Stade Tunisien	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	ES Metlaoui	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Club Africain	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	US Monastirienne	0-0	D
29 May	H	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	2-3	L
11 May	A	CS Hammam-Lif	1-1	D
1 May	H	Sfax Railways	2-2	D
27 Apr	A	Kerkennah	1-2	L

US Ben Guerdane

5W 3D 2L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	ES Hammam-Sousse	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Club Africain	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	CS Hammam-Lif	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	CS Sfaxien	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	US Monastirienne	3-3	D
30 Aug	A	Olympique Béja	2-1	W
14 May	H	ES Tunis	0-1	L
8 May	A	Stade Tunisien	0-0	D
3 May	H	AS Soliman	0-1	L
30 Apr	A	JS Kairouanaise	1-0	W

Head to head

0ES Hammam-Sousse wins

1draws

1US Ben Guerdane wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for ES Hammam-Sousse

10 Apr 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Hammam-Sousse1-1US BEN Guerdane
18 Nov 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	US BEN Guerdane2-1Hammam-Sousse

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, ES Hammam-Sousse sit 16th with 1 points from 6 games, while US Ben Guerdane are 1st with 14 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	US Ben Guerdane	6	4	2	0	11:6	+5	14
2	ES Tunis	5	4	0	1	10:7	+3	12
3	Monastir	6	3	3	0	8:5	+3	12
4	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	6	3	2	1	5:2	+3	11
5	Club Africain	4	3	0	1	4:2	+2	9
6	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
7	CS Sfaxien	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
8	CA Bizertin	5	2	2	1	3:3	0	8
9	AS Marsa	6	2	2	2	5:3	+2	8
10	Stade Tunisien	4	2	1	1	7:5	+2	7
11	ES Sahel	6	2	1	3	7:8	-1	7
12	ES Zarzis	5	2	0	3	5:5	0	6
13	CS Hammam-Lif	6	1	1	4	2:5	-3	4
14	ES Metlaoui	6	1	0	5	3:9	-6	3
15	Olympique Béja	6	0	2	4	5:10	-5	2
16	ES Hammam-Sousse	6	0	1	5	1:9	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.62X34%2.65232%2.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.00	1.36	6.9%
Pinnacle	2.87	1.38	7.3%
1xBet	2.70	1.36	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.70	1.36	10.6%
Best of all books	3.00	1.38	5.8%
Average	2.82	1.37	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.56	10.0%
Best of all books	2.18	1.62	7.6%
Average	2.17	1.59	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ES Hammam-Sousse 10%Draw 45%US Ben Guerdane 45%

The statistical model rated ES Hammam-Sousse at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and US Ben Guerdane at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 2.65 | 2.83, which imply roughly 37.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: ES Hammam-Sousse are 16th (1 pts, 1-9 goals), US Ben Guerdane 1st (14 pts, 11-6).

Over their last five matches, ES Hammam-Sousse averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; US Ben Guerdane averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : US Ben Guerdane.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.62	2.65	2.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.39	1.37

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.17	1.59

1st half

1	X	2
3.43	1.78	3.70

2nd half

1	X	2
3.03	2.03	3.36

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.43	16.8	42.3
HT X	5.53	3.56	6.03
HT 2	41.0	16.8	4.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	5.20	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	5.40
1.5	1.57	2.24
2.5	2.82	1.37
3.5	5.45	1.08
4.5	13.0	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	4.80
1	1.16	4.21
1.25	1.37	2.78
1.75	1.75	1.95
2	2.07	1.65
2.25	2.42	1.47
2.75	3.34	1.24
3	4.65	1.12
3.25	5.10	1.10
3.75	7.40	1.04
4	9.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.20	1.28
-0.5	2.63	1.44
-0.25	2.17	1.60
0	1.79	1.94
+0.25	1.49	2.37
+0.5	1.37	2.88

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.90	1.02
-1.5	5.90	1.07
-1.25	5.35	1.09
-1	4.80	1.12
+0.75	1.23	3.57
+1	1.08	5.55
+1.25	1.06	6.15
+1.5	1.05	6.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.67	2.10
8	1.92	1.88

Next Ligue 1 matches

23 Oct	AS Marsa – CS Hammam-Lif
23 Oct	US Ben Guerdane – Stade Tunisien
23 Oct	CA Bizertin – ES Hammam-Sousse
23 Oct	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane – Olympique Béja

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

18 Oct	Olympique Béja 1-2 ES Sahel
18 Oct	US Monastirienne 1-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
18 Oct	AS Marsa 3-0 ES Metlaoui
18 Oct	CS Hammam-Lif 1-1 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
11 Oct	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0-0 AS Marsa
11 Oct	ES Zarzis 2-0 ES Hammam-Sousse