ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse• Ligue 1, Tunisia

#100.8:1.32-0FT11/10 · Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, Zarzis0.3:1.3#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80BTNX3.10DAF25.321XBMargin at best6.6%Books9Markets49Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.78	3.08	5.26	7.7%
Betano	1.83	3.00	5.00	8.0%
Dafabet	1.77	3.10	5.20	8.0%
Betfair	1.75	3.00	5.00	10.5%
1xBet	1.69	3.05	5.32	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.67	3.05	5.15	12.1%
Bet365	1.73	3.00	4.75	12.2%
William Hill	1.75	2.80	5.00	12.9%
BetVictor	1.62	2.75	4.60	19.8%
Best of all books	1.83	3.10	5.32	5.7%
Average	1.73	2.98	5.03	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ES ZarzisES Hammam-Sousse

Last 10#10Table position#161.20Points per game0.203Form pts · last 510.8Goals for · last 50.31.3Goals against · last 51.375Attack rating2550Defence rating5075Form rating2538H2H rating62100Goals model058Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

ES Zarzis

4W 0D 6L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Réal Bamako	1-3	L
11 Oct	H	ES Hammam-Sousse	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Club Africain	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	US Monastirienne	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Diambars	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	Diambars	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	CS Sfaxien	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Olympique Béja	1-0	W
31 May	H	ES Tunis	0-1	L
24 May	A	CS Sfaxien	1-0	W

ES Hammam-Sousse

0W 4D 6L · goals 7:15 · per match 0.7 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	A	ES Zarzis	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Stade Tunisien	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	ES Metlaoui	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Club Africain	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	US Monastirienne	0-0	D
29 May	H	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	2-3	L
11 May	A	CS Hammam-Lif	1-1	D
1 May	H	Sfax Railways	2-2	D
27 Apr	A	Kerkennah	1-2	L
22 Apr	A	M'saken	0-0	D

Head to head

2ES Zarzis wins

2draws

3ES Hammam-Sousse wins

7 meetings · goals 8:9 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for ES Zarzis

29 May 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ES Zarzis1-1Hammam-Sousse
18 May 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Hammam-Sousse1-1ES Zarzis
22 Apr 2021Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Hammam-Sousse2-1ES Zarzis
20 Mar 2021Ligue 2	Ligue 2	ES Zarzis3-1Hammam-Sousse
14 Feb 2021Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Hammam-Sousse2-1ES Zarzis
26 Sep 2012Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Hammam-Sousse2-0ES Zarzis
8 Apr 2012Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ES Zarzis1-0Hammam-Sousse

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 17 Oct 17:20 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, ES Zarzis sit 10th with 6 points from 5 games, while ES Hammam-Sousse are 16th with 1 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ES Tunis	5	4	0	1	10:7	+3	12
2	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	5	3	2	0	5:1	+4	11
3	US Ben Guerdane	5	3	2	0	9:6	+3	11
4	Club Africain	4	3	0	1	4:2	+2	9
5	US Monastirienne	5	2	3	0	7:5	+2	9
6	CS Sfaxien	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
7	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	5	2	2	1	5:4	+1	8
8	CA Bizertin	5	2	2	1	3:3	0	8
9	Stade Tunisien	4	2	1	1	7:5	+2	7
10	ES Zarzis	5	2	0	3	5:5	0	6
11	AS Marsa	5	1	2	2	2:3	-1	5
12	ES Sahel	5	1	1	3	5:7	-2	4
13	CS Hammam-Lif	5	1	0	4	1:4	-3	3
14	ES Metlaoui	5	1	0	4	3:6	-3	3
15	Olympique Béja	5	0	2	3	4:8	-4	2
16	ES Hammam-Sousse	5	0	1	4	1:7	-6	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.73X30%2.98218%5.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.73 → 1.73 0.0%X3.04 → 2.98 -2.0%25.13 → 5.03 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.96	1.37	6.8%
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Betano	2.80	1.38	8.2%
Betfair	2.88	1.36	8.3%
1xBet	2.78	1.34	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.78	1.34	10.6%
Best of all books	2.96	1.40	5.2%
Average	2.82	1.37	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	2.50	1.47	8.0%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.53	1.44	9.0%
William Hill	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Marathonbet	2.53	1.42	9.9%
BetVictor	2.20	1.33	20.6%
Best of all books	2.53	1.50	6.2%
Average	2.44	1.43	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ES Zarzis 45%Draw 45%ES Hammam-Sousse 10%

The statistical model rated ES Zarzis at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and ES Hammam-Sousse at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 2.98 | 5.03, which imply roughly 57.8% for a ES Zarzis win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: ES Zarzis are 10th (6 pts, 5-5 goals), ES Hammam-Sousse 16th (1 pts, 1-7).

Over their last five matches, ES Zarzis averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; ES Hammam-Sousse averaged 0.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : ES Zarzis or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	2.98	5.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	1.92	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.44	1.43

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	1.84	5.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	5.45	3.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	5.93
1.5	1.58	2.15
2.5	2.83	1.37
3.5	5.90	1.09
4.5	11.6	1.03
5.5	10.8	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.20
1	1.16	4.38
1.25	1.37	2.63
1.75	1.75	1.86
2	2.08	1.60
2.25	2.39	1.43
2.75	3.50	1.22
3	5.05	1.10
3.25	5.50	1.08
3.75	8.48	1.02
4	9.45	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.34	1.24
-1.25	2.95	1.33
-1	2.55	1.45
-0.75	1.93	1.71
-0.5	1.79	2.01
-0.25	1.47	2.46

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2.25	7.50	1.03
-2	6.95	1.04
-1.75	4.40	1.14
0	1.22	3.70
+0.25	1.16	4.41
+0.75	1.03	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.55	2.30
8	1.78	2.02
8.5	2.00	1.73
9.5	2.65	1.42

Latest Ligue 1 results

18 Oct	Olympique Béja 1-2 ES Sahel
18 Oct	US Monastirienne 1-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
18 Oct	AS Marsa 3-0 ES Metlaoui
18 Oct	CS Hammam-Lif 1-1 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
17 Oct	ES Hammam-Sousse 0-2 US Ben Guerdane
11 Oct	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0-0 AS Marsa