ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien• Ligue 1, Tunisia

#140.5:1.01-2FT11/10 · Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui1.7:1.3#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60B365X2.88B36522.37BTNMargin at best4.7%Books8Markets39Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.45	2.80	2.33	7.6%
Betano	3.40	2.80	2.35	7.7%
Pinnacle	3.60	2.73	2.31	7.7%
1xBet	3.38	2.80	2.19	11.0%
Bet365	3.60	2.88	2.05	11.3%
Betfair	3.30	2.80	2.20	11.5%
William Hill	3.40	2.62	2.25	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.28	2.80	2.17	12.3%
Best of all books	3.60	2.88	2.35	5.1%
Average	3.43	2.78	2.23	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ES MetlaouiStade Tunisien

Last 10#14Table position#100.50Points per game1.753Form pts · last 5100.5Goals for · last 51.71.0Goals against · last 51.329Attack rating7150Defence rating5043Form rating5738H2H rating6233Goals model6738Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:20 UTC

ES Metlaoui

3W 1D 6L · goals 7:10 · per match 0.7 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Stade Tunisien	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	ES Hammam-Sousse	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	ES Sahel	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Club Africain	0-1	L
17 May	H	ES Tunis	1-3	L
14 May	H	JS Kairouanaise	0-0	D
9 May	A	ES Zarzis	0-1	L
4 May	A	US Monastirienne	1-0	W
29 Apr	H	ES Sahel	2-0	W

Stade Tunisien

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	ES Metlaoui	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	ES Hammam-Sousse	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	US Monastirienne	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	CS Sfaxien	1-1	D
13 May	A	AS Gabes	1-0	W
8 May	H	US Ben Guerdane	0-0	D
3 May	A	Club Africain	0-2	L
29 Apr	H	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	1-2	L
26 Apr	A	CS Sfaxien	0-1	L
11 Apr	H	CA Bizertin	1-1	D

Head to head

7ES Metlaoui wins

5draws

9Stade Tunisien wins

21 meetings · goals 17:22 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for ES Metlaoui

1 Feb 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ES Metlaoui0-0Stade Tunisien
27 Aug 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade Tunisien2-0ES Metlaoui
1 Feb 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ES Metlaoui0-0Stade Tunisien
26 Sep 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade Tunisien1-0ES Metlaoui
27 May 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	ES Metlaoui2-1Stade Tunisien
26 Apr 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade Tunisien1-1ES Metlaoui
26 Feb 2023Cup	Cup	Stade Tunisien2-1ES Metlaoui
31 Mar 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Etoile S. Metlaoui1-0Stade Tunisien
12 Jan 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade Tunisien0-0Etoile S. Metlaoui
2 Aug 2020Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Etoile S. Metlaoui2-1Stade Tunisien

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, ES Metlaoui sit 14th with 3 points from 6 games, while Stade Tunisien are 10th with 7 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	US Ben Guerdane	6	4	2	0	11:6	+5	14
2	ES Tunis	5	4	0	1	10:7	+3	12
3	Monastir	6	3	3	0	8:5	+3	12
4	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	6	3	2	1	5:2	+3	11
5	Club Africain	4	3	0	1	4:2	+2	9
6	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
7	CS Sfaxien	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
8	CA Bizertin	5	2	2	1	3:3	0	8
9	AS Marsa	6	2	2	2	5:3	+2	8
10	Stade Tunisien	4	2	1	1	7:5	+2	7
11	ES Sahel	6	2	1	3	7:8	-1	7
12	ES Zarzis	5	2	0	3	5:5	0	6
13	CS Hammam-Lif	6	1	1	4	2:5	-3	4
14	ES Metlaoui	6	1	0	5	3:9	-6	3
15	Olympique Béja	6	0	2	4	5:10	-5	2
16	ES Hammam-Sousse	6	0	1	5	1:9	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.43X33%2.78241%2.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.19 → 3.40 +6.6%X2.77 → 2.74 -1.1%22.34 → 2.26 -3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	3.06	1.35	6.8%
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Betano	2.82	1.38	7.9%
1xBet	2.83	1.33	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.83	1.33	10.5%
Best of all books	3.06	1.40	4.1%
Average	2.86	1.36	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	2.30	1.55	8.0%
William Hill	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.51	9.9%
Best of all books	2.30	1.57	7.2%
Average	2.28	1.54	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ES Metlaoui 10%Draw 45%Stade Tunisien 45%

The statistical model rated ES Metlaoui at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Stade Tunisien at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.43 | 2.78 | 2.23, which imply roughly 36% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: ES Metlaoui are 14th (3 pts, 3-9 goals), Stade Tunisien 10th (7 pts, 7-5).

Over their last five matches, ES Metlaoui averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Stade Tunisien averaged 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Stade Tunisien.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.43	2.78	2.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.57	1.25	1.35

Draw no bet

1	2
2.42	1.51

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.28	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
4.31	1.81	3.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.54	5.40	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	5.47
1.5	1.61	2.19
2.5	2.86	1.36
3.5	5.83	1.08
4.5	11.9	1.04

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.10
1	1.16	4.34
1.25	1.38	2.75
1.75	1.79	1.89
2	2.17	1.61
2.25	2.54	1.44
2.75	3.50	1.22
3	5.15	1.10
3.25	5.65	1.08
3.75	8.70	1.02
4	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.53	1.27
-0.25	2.92	1.35
0	2.41	1.52
+0.25	1.87	1.85
+0.5	1.64	2.22
+0.75	1.41	2.66

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	8.40	1.01
-1	7.70	1.03
-0.75	4.48	1.15
+1	1.22	3.79
+1.25	1.18	4.20
+1.5	1.14	4.75
+1.75	1.08	6.40
+2.5	1.01	9.60

Next Ligue 1 matches

23 Oct	AS Marsa – CS Hammam-Lif
23 Oct	CA Bizertin – ES Hammam-Sousse
23 Oct	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane – Olympique Béja
23 Oct	US Ben Guerdane – Stade Tunisien

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

18 Oct	AS Marsa 3-0 ES Metlaoui
18 Oct	Olympique Béja 1-2 ES Sahel
18 Oct	US Monastirienne 1-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
18 Oct	CS Hammam-Lif 1-1 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
17 Oct	ES Hammam-Sousse 0-2 US Ben Guerdane
11 Oct	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0-0 AS Marsa