FC Serpa vs Sintrense• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, Portugal

1.5:1.02-0FT11/102.8:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.20DAFX3.65DAF21.85B365Margin at best5.3%Books7Markets42Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.30	3.60	1.84	5.4%
Bet365	3.75	3.50	1.80	10.8%
1xBet	3.34	3.25	1.99	11.0%
Betano	3.35	3.15	2.02	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.26	3.25	1.97	12.2%
Pinnacle	3.21	2.87	2.15	12.5%
William Hill	4.00	3.10	1.80	12.8%
Best of all books	4.30	3.60	2.15	-2.5%
Average	3.60	3.25	1.94	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC SerpaSintrense

Last 106Form pts · last 591.5Goals for · last 52.81.0Goals against · last 50.835Attack rating6543Defence rating5738Form rating6338H2H rating6240Goals model6040Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

FC Serpa

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

26 Sep	A	Real	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Louletano	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Lagoa	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	1º Dezembro	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	O Grandolense	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Vitoria Setubal	4-2	W
18 Apr	A	Oriental Lisboa	1-2	L
12 Apr	H	FC Alverca II	0-1	L
4 Apr	A	O Elvas	2-3	L
22 Mar	H	Juventude Évora	0-3	L

Sintrense

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	A	FC Serpa	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	AVS	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Santa Clara B	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Imortal Albufeira	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Caldas	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Aljustrelense	4-0	W
16 Aug	A	Portel	2-2	D
11 Jul	A	Benfica B	0-0	D
18 Apr	H	Portimonense B	2-1	W
12 Apr	A	Atlético Malveira	2-0	W

Head to head

1FC Serpa wins

2draws

3Sintrense wins

6 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 6: 1W 2D 3L for FC Serpa

8 Mar 2026Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	FC Serpa1-0Sintrense
2 Nov 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Sintrense1-1FC Serpa
29 Mar 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	FC Serpa0-1Sintrense
8 Dec 2024Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Sintrense1-0FC Serpa
24 Mar 2024Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	FC Serpa2-2Sintrense
10 Dec 2023Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D	Sintrense2-1FC Serpa

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.60X28%3.25247%1.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.00 → 3.90 +30.0%X3.10 → 3.48 +12.3%22.20 → 1.77 -19.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Betano	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.95	1.75	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.87	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Average	1.78	1.87	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Serpa 10%Draw 45%Sintrense 45%

The statistical model rated FC Serpa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sintrense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.94, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, FC Serpa averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sintrense averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sintrense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.60	3.25	1.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.71	1.23	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.50	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
4.09	2.11	2.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	7.90	1.82

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.80
1.5	1.28	3.14
2.5	1.95	1.75
3.5	3.19	1.28
4.5	5.85	1.09
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.35	2.75
2	1.52	2.30
2.25	1.73	1.94
2.75	2.23	1.53
3	2.76	1.35
3.25	3.02	1.30
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.76	1.35
0	2.36	1.48
+0.25	1.87	1.82
+0.5	1.69	2.04
+0.75	1.48	2.37
+1	1.30	3.09

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.40	1.03
-1	6.40	1.05
-0.75	3.58	1.21
-0.5	3.14	1.28
+1.25	1.28	3.17
+1.5	1.23	3.52
+1.75	1.11	4.95
+2	1.03	7.40
+2.5	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.96	1.82

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D results

25 Oct	Sintrense 2-1 Amora
25 Oct	1º Dezembro 1-0 Vitoria Setubal
25 Oct	Lagoa 1-2 Lajense
11 Oct	Amora 1-1 Lagoa
11 Oct	Lajense 0-1 1º Dezembro