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Amora vs Lagoa• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, Portugal

1.3:0.81-1FT11/10 · Medideira Stadium, Amora0.8:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82DAFX3.60DAF24.50DAFMargin at best4.9%Books7Markets42Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.823.604.504.9%
1xBet1.733.324.3610.9%
Bet3651.733.504.0011.4%
Betano1.753.354.1011.4%
Marathonbet1.713.324.2512.1%
Pinnacle1.753.144.2512.5%
William Hill1.803.004.2012.7%
Best of all books1.823.604.504.9%
Average1.763.324.2410.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AmoraLagoa
Last 105Form pts · last 551.3Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 50.863Attack rating3850Defence rating5058Form rating4280H2H rating2044Goals model5660Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 12:41 UTC

Amora

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

11 OctHLagoa1-1D
27 SepHLajense1-0W
20 SepHUD da Serra3-4L
13 SepA1º Dezembro1-1D
6 SepHReal0-1L
23 AugAVitoria Setubal3-1W
1 MayASC Covilha1-1D
25 AprHLusitano Évora 19111-2L
19 AprA1º Dezembro1-0W
12 AprHCaldas1-2L

Lagoa

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

25 OctHLajense1-2L
11 OctAAmora1-1D
19 SepAAtlético CP1-4L
13 SepHFC Serpa0-0D
6 SepASanta Clara B2-1W
23 AugAImortal Albufeira0-1L
16 AugAAljustrelense1-1D
18 AprHAlcochetense1-2L
12 AprAPortimonense B3-1W
4 AprAOriental Lisboa2-0W

Head to head

1Amora wins
1draws
0Lagoa wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Amora

29 Mar 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DAmora1-0Lagoa
8 Dec 2024Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DLagoa1-1Amora

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.76X27%3.32221%4.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 16:4011 Oct 07:301 1.76X 3.322 4.22
11.74 → 1.76 +1.1%X3.52 → 3.32 -5.7%24.15 → 4.22 +1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Pinnacle2.141.628.5%
1xBet2.101.639.0%
Marathonbet2.101.639.0%
Betano1.981.6710.4%
Best of all books2.141.802.3%
Average2.061.678.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.951.758.4%
1xBet1.951.748.8%
Marathonbet1.951.719.8%
Best of all books1.951.758.4%
Average1.951.739.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Amora 45%Draw 45%Lagoa 10%

The statistical model rated Amora at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lagoa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.32 | 4.24, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Amora win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Amora averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Lagoa averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Amora or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.763.324.24

Double chance

1XX212
1.161.871.24

Draw no bet

12
1.333.09

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.951.73

1st half

1X2
2.322.084.83

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.598.552.71

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.32
1.51.342.81
2.52.061.67
3.53.781.19
4.58.001.06
5.519.01.01
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.056.65
1.251.193.82
1.751.432.48
21.582.15
2.251.851.82
2.752.431.46
33.051.29
3.253.421.23
3.754.151.16
46.751.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.771.35
-12.401.47
-0.751.961.73
-0.51.731.94
-0.251.502.31
01.283.11
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.751.04
-25.851.07
-1.754.001.17
-1.53.141.27
+0.251.213.61
+1.51.019.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
10.51.921.81

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D matches

1 NovLajense – Sintrense
1 NovVitoria Setubal – Lagoa

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D results

25 Oct1º Dezembro 1-0 Vitoria Setubal
25 OctSintrense 2-1 Amora
25 OctLagoa 1-2 Lajense
11 OctFC Serpa 2-0 Sintrense
11 OctLajense 0-1 1º Dezembro