Al-Nassr vs NEOM• Pro League, Saudi-Arabia

#31.8:1.018:00Tomorrow · Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh2.0:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42BTNX5.27PIN27.50BFRMargin at best2.7%Books10Markets81Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 16:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.42	5.10	6.80	4.7%
Dafabet	1.40	5.20	6.80	5.4%
1xBet	1.35	5.19	7.27	7.1%
Pinnacle	1.36	5.27	6.60	7.7%
Betfair	1.33	5.00	7.50	8.5%
BetVictor	1.36	4.75	6.50	10.0%
Bet365	1.36	5.00	5.75	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.32	4.75	6.65	11.8%
William Hill	1.33	4.60	6.50	12.3%
SBO	1.36	4.16	5.42	16.0%
Best of all books	1.42	5.27	7.50	2.7%
Average	1.36	4.90	6.58	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al-NassrNEOM

Last 10#3Table position#62.38Points per game1.7810Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5344Defence rating5650Form rating50100H2H rating066Goals model3457Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 16:40 UTC

Al-Nassr

7W 1D 2L · goals 23:13 · per match 2.3 for, 1.3 against

12 Oct	H	Neftchi	3-1	W
9 Oct	H	Al Diriyah	3-0	W
15 Sep	A	Al Ain	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Al Khaleej Saihat	1-1	D
9 Sep	H	Abha	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Al-Ittihad FC	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Al Taawon	2-1	W
25 Aug	A	Al-Ettifaq	3-2	W
21 Aug	A	Al Riyadh	4-0	W
18 Aug	A	Al Diriyah	4-1	W

NEOM

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	H	Al-Ettifaq	0-1	L
13 Oct	H	Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Al-Hazm	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Al-Fateh	4-2	W
7 Sep	A	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	2-0	W
3 Sep	H	Al Khaleej Saihat	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Al Riyadh	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Al-Qadisiyah FC	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Al-Faisaly FC	2-0	W
18 Aug	A	Al-Faisaly FC	3-1	W

Head to head

2Al-Nassr wins

0draws

0NEOM wins

2 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Al-Nassr

7 Mar 2026Pro League	Pro League	Al-Nassr1-0NEOM
8 Nov 2025Pro League	Pro League	NEOM1-3Al-Nassr

Pro League tableSaudi Professional Leagueupdated 19 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Pro League table, Al-Nassr sit 3rd with 19 points from 8 games, while NEOM are 6th with 16 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Qadisiyah FC	9	7	1	1	23:9	+14	22
2	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	8	7	0	1	26:7	+19	21
3	Al-Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
4	Al-Ahli Jeddah	9	6	0	3	23:12	+11	18
5	Al-Ittihad FC	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
6	NEOM	9	5	1	3	14:8	+6	16
7	Al-Ettifaq	9	4	3	2	13:12	+1	15
8	Al Diriyah	9	3	3	3	8:9	-1	12
9	Al Kholood	9	3	3	3	14:18	-4	12
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	10	2	6	2	9:13	-4	12
11	Al-Hazm	9	2	3	4	10:13	-3	9
12	Al Riyadh	8	2	3	3	9:17	-8	9
13	Al Shabab	8	1	4	3	9:11	-2	7
14	Al-Fayha	10	1	4	5	10:17	-7	7
15	Al-Faisaly FC	8	1	3	4	8:15	-7	6
16	Al-Fateh	10	1	3	6	9:20	-11	6
17	Al Taawon	9	0	4	5	4:16	-12	4
18	Abha	8	0	2	6	6:15	-9	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.36X19%4.90214%6.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.37 → 1.36 -0.7%X4.82 → 4.90 +1.7%26.30 → 6.58 +4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.52	2.60	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.53	5.8%
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.47	2.55	7.2%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.52	2.63	3.8%
Average	1.47	2.54	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.05	9.4%
William Hill	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.72	2.15	4.7%
Average	1.67	2.08	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al-Nassr 45%Draw 45%NEOM 10%

The statistical model rates Al-Nassr at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and NEOM at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 4.90 | 6.58, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Al-Nassr win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Pro League table: Al-Nassr are 3rd (19 pts, 19-7 goals), NEOM 6th (16 pts, 14-8).

Over their last five matches, Al-Nassr averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; NEOM averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Al-Nassr or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.36	4.90	6.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.86	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
1.79	2.60	6.00

2nd half

1	X	2
1.66	3.04	5.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.93	16.6	48.6
HT X	4.28	7.92	14.5
HT 2	18.0	17.6	11.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	19.3	3.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.1
1.5	1.13	5.34
2.5	1.47	2.54
3.5	2.21	1.62
4.5	3.74	1.24
5.5	6.97	1.08
6.5	14.0	1.03
7.5	24.7	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.5
1.75	1.12	4.75
2	1.15	4.30
2.25	1.28	3.05
2.75	1.56	2.24
3	1.74	2.00
3.25	1.96	1.76
3.75	2.44	1.47
4	2.92	1.31
4.25	3.20	1.26
4.75	4.30	1.15
5	5.70	1.08
5.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.77	1.40
-1.75	2.30	1.56
-1.5	2.02	1.74
-1.25	1.80	1.94
-1	1.56	2.31
-0.75	1.43	2.61

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.23	1.07
-3.25	5.96	1.09
-3	5.57	1.10
-2.75	4.08	1.18
-2.5	3.35	1.28
-2.25	3.06	1.33
-0.5	1.39	2.98
-0.25	1.23	3.65
0	1.12	5.23
+0.25	1.10	5.70
+1	1.01	9.70
+1.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.76	1.95

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.05	7.55
6.5	1.13	4.92
7.5	1.27	3.29
8.5	1.52	2.37
9.5	1.88	1.86
10.5	2.38	1.51
11.5	3.17	1.29
12.5	4.45	1.15
13.5	6.00	1.09
14.5	8.25	1.05
15.5	10.3	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.42	2.60
8.75	1.55	2.20
9	1.71	2.11
9.25	1.76	1.95
9.75	1.97	1.71
10	2.15	1.68
10.25	2.26	1.55
10.75	2.59	1.39
11.25	3.08	1.30

Next Pro League matches

20 Oct	Al Diriyah – Al Riyadh
20 Oct	Al Taawon – Al-Qadisiyah FC
20 Oct	Al-Ettifaq – Al-Ittihad FC
22 Oct	Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Khaleej Saihat

All Pro League fixtures and the table

Latest Pro League results

19 Oct	Al-Fayha 2-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah
18 Oct	Al-Fateh 2-3 Al Khaleej Saihat
17 Oct	Al Diriyah 1-1 Al Taawon
17 Oct	NEOM 0-1 Al-Ettifaq
16 Oct	Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-1 Abha
15 Oct	Al-Hazm 2-3 Al-Fateh