NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq• Pro League, Saudi-Arabia

#52.0:0.80-1FTToday · King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabuk1.0:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91PINX3.84PIN23.821XBMargin at best4.6%Books6Markets69Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 07:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.91	3.84	3.72	5.3%
1xBet	1.83	3.82	3.82	7.0%
BetVictor	1.80	3.70	3.70	9.6%
Bet365	1.80	3.60	3.60	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.75	3.65	3.66	11.9%
William Hill	1.83	3.40	3.50	12.6%
Best of all books	1.91	3.84	3.82	4.6%
Average	1.82	3.67	3.67	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NEOMAl-Ettifaq

Last 10#5Table position#71.78Points per game1.6710Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3364Defence rating3663Form rating3850H2H rating5051Goals model4958Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

NEOM

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	H	Al-Ettifaq	0-1	L
13 Oct	H	Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Al-Hazm	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Al-Fateh	4-2	W
7 Sep	A	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	2-0	W
3 Sep	H	Al Khaleej Saihat	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Al Riyadh	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Al-Qadisiyah FC	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Al-Faisaly FC	2-0	W
18 Aug	A	Al-Faisaly FC	3-1	W

Al-Ettifaq

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	A	NEOM	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Kazma	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Al Khaleej Saihat	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Al-Qadisiyah FC	3-3	D
8 Sep	H	Al-Faisaly FC	0-0	D
4 Sep	A	Abha	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Al Diriyah	0-3	L
25 Aug	H	Al-Nassr	2-3	L
22 Aug	A	Al-Fateh	1-0	W
18 Aug	A	Al Jabalain	0-1	L

Head to head

0NEOM wins

2draws

0Al-Ettifaq wins

2 meetings · goals 1:1 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for NEOM

21 May 2026Pro League	Pro League	NEOM1-1Al-Ettifaq
21 Jan 2026Pro League	Pro League	Al-Ettifaq0-0NEOM

Pro League tableSaudi Professional Leagueupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Pro League table, NEOM sit 5th with 16 points from 9 games, while Al-Ettifaq are 7th with 15 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Qadisiyah FC	9	7	1	1	23:9	+14	22
2	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	8	7	0	1	26:7	+19	21
3	Al-Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
4	Al-Ittihad FC	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
5	NEOM	9	5	1	3	14:8	+6	16
6	Al-Ahli Jeddah	8	5	0	3	20:10	+10	15
7	Al-Ettifaq	9	4	3	2	13:12	+1	15
8	Al Kholood	9	3	3	3	14:18	-4	12
9	Al Diriyah	8	3	2	3	7:8	-1	11
10	Al-Hazm	9	2	3	4	10:13	-3	9
11	Al Khaleej Saihat	9	1	6	2	6:11	-5	9
12	Al Riyadh	8	2	3	3	9:17	-8	9
13	Al Shabab	8	1	4	3	9:11	-2	7
14	Al-Fayha	9	1	4	4	8:14	-6	7
15	Al-Faisaly FC	8	1	3	4	8:15	-7	6
16	Al-Fateh	9	1	3	5	7:17	-10	6
17	Al Taawon	8	0	3	5	3:15	-12	3
18	Abha	8	0	2	6	6:15	-9	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.90X26%3.56226%3.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.90 → 1.82 -4.2%X3.64 → 3.67 +0.8%23.55 → 3.67 +3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.28	4.5%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.22	7.2%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.28	4.5%
Average	1.61	2.22	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.55	2.27	8.6%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.23	9.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Average	1.55	2.25	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NEOM 45%Draw 45%Al-Ettifaq 10%

The statistical model rated NEOM at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Al-Ettifaq at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.56 | 3.53, which imply roughly 52.6% for a NEOM win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Pro League table: NEOM are 5th (16 pts, 14-8 goals), Al-Ettifaq 7th (15 pts, 13-12).

Over their last five matches, NEOM averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Al-Ettifaq averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : NEOM or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NEOM

4-4-2

Coach: C. Galtier

Goalkeeper

1M. Bułka

Defence

4Khalifah Al Dawsari
5M. Sarr
44N. Zézé
27Islam Hawsawi

Midfield

7G. Masouras
15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
23V. Vada
19Mohannad Abu Taha

Attack

10S. Benrahma
91A. Lacazette

Substitutes (9)

33Abdulrahman Dagriri
55Muhammad Al Dosari
2Mohammed Al Burayk
14Khalil Al Absi
8Faisal Al Ghamdi
6A. Al Hassan
75Khalid Al Rammah
77Muhannad Al Saad
70Haroune Camara

Al-Ettifaq

Coach: Arthur Papas

Squad

61Radhi Al Otaibi
7Khalid Al Ghannam
1M. Rodák
5Pedro Henrique
42A. Kanté
17J. Larsson
99Sultan Ali Huran
4J. Hendry
11O. Duda
43B. Celina
33Madallah Al Olayan

Substitutes (9)

13Meshal Al Alaeli
29Z. Al Ghamdi
92Turki Ba Al Jawsh
71M. Gluščević
77Abdulelah
87Meshal Sibyani
70Abdullah Khateeb
58Yasir Shammari
26Riyadh Sharahili

Match Statistics

NEOMAl-Ettifaq

0.72Expected Goals0.14

437Passes accurate299

3Shots insidebox2

8Shots outsidebox2

3Blocked Shots0

12Free Kicks14

4Shots on Goal1

4Shots off Goal3

4Offsides0

516Total passes378

11Total Shots4

1Yellow Cards2

10Corner Kicks2

0Goalkeeper Saves4

14Fouls12

0Red Cards0

58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	3.67	3.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.87	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.33	2.34	4.11

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.63	3.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.75	13.8	30.3
HT X	4.90	6.27	8.77
HT 2	21.0	14.7	6.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	15.4	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.4
1.5	1.17	4.41
2.5	1.61	2.22
3.5	2.46	1.48
4.5	4.43	1.17
5.5	8.55	1.04
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.07	5.80
1.75	1.18	3.82
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.43	2.65
2.75	1.75	1.99
3	1.95	1.74
3.25	2.21	1.58
3.75	2.83	1.33
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.90	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.74	1.40
-1	2.43	1.49
-0.75	2.02	1.71
-0.5	1.83	1.94
-0.25	1.60	2.23
0	1.39	2.86

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.77	1.09
-2.25	5.45	1.11
-2	5.05	1.13
-1.75	3.62	1.23
-1.5	3.06	1.33
+0.25	1.30	3.22
+0.5	1.27	3.75
+0.75	1.14	4.66
+1	1.05	6.60
+1.25	1.04	7.00
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	6.55
6.5	1.17	4.15
7.5	1.35	2.78
8.5	1.65	2.11
9.5	2.07	1.67
10.5	2.70	1.38
11.5	3.73	1.20
12.5	4.90	1.11
13.5	6.80	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.25	1.28	3.18
7.75	1.38	2.67
8	1.47	2.62
8.25	1.56	2.27
8.75	1.73	1.95
9	1.88	1.92
9.25	1.97	1.73
9.75	2.24	1.52
10	2.41	1.54
10.25	2.64	1.41