Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon• Pro League, Saudi-Arabia

#91.0:1.21-1FTToday · Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh0.2:2.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93PINX3.63PIN23.84PINMargin at best5.4%Books6Markets69Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 07:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	3.63	3.84	5.4%
1xBet	1.89	3.62	3.78	7.0%
BetVictor	1.83	3.50	3.80	9.5%
Bet365	1.80	3.50	3.70	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.46	3.62	11.8%
William Hill	1.85	3.30	3.40	13.8%
Best of all books	1.93	3.63	3.84	5.4%
Average	1.85	3.50	3.69	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al DiriyahAl Taawon

Last 10#9Table position#171.38Points per game0.387Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 50.21.2Goals against · last 52.483Attack rating1767Defence rating3388Form rating130H2H rating042Goals model5870Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Al Diriyah

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

9 Oct	A	Al-Nassr	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Abha	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	Al-Fateh	2-1	W
3 Sep	H	Al-Qadisiyah FC	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Al-Ettifaq	3-0	W
26 Aug	H	Al Kholood	1-1	D
21 Aug	A	Al-Hazm	1-0	W
18 Aug	H	Al-Nassr	1-4	L
13 Aug	H	Al-Ahli Jeddah	0-1	L
23 Jul	H	FA 2000	2-0	W

Al Taawon

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

14 Oct	H	Al-Rayyan SC	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Al Shabab	0-3	L
16 Sep	A	Al-Nahda	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	0-6	L
8 Sep	A	Al-Hazm	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Al-Fateh	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Al-Nassr	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Al-Fayha	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Al Kholood	2-3	L
19 Aug	A	Damac	3-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Al Diriyah and Al Taawon on record.

Pro League tableSaudi Professional Leagueupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Pro League table, Al Diriyah sit 9th with 11 points from 8 games, while Al Taawon are 17th with 3 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Qadisiyah FC	9	7	1	1	23:9	+14	22
2	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	8	7	0	1	26:7	+19	21
3	Al-Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
4	Al-Ittihad FC	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
5	NEOM	9	5	1	3	14:8	+6	16
6	Al-Ahli Jeddah	8	5	0	3	20:10	+10	15
7	Al-Ettifaq	9	4	3	2	13:12	+1	15
8	Al Kholood	9	3	3	3	14:18	-4	12
9	Al Diriyah	8	3	2	3	7:8	-1	11
10	Al-Hazm	9	2	3	4	10:13	-3	9
11	Al Khaleej Saihat	9	1	6	2	6:11	-5	9
12	Al Riyadh	8	2	3	3	9:17	-8	9
13	Al Shabab	8	1	4	3	9:11	-2	7
14	Al-Fayha	9	1	4	4	8:14	-6	7
15	Al-Faisaly FC	8	1	3	4	8:15	-7	6
16	Al-Fateh	9	1	3	5	7:17	-10	6
17	Al Taawon	8	0	3	5	3:15	-12	3
18	Abha	8	0	2	6	6:15	-9	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.88X26%3.49225%3.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.02 → 1.85 -8.4%X3.51 → 3.50 -0.3%23.29 → 3.69 +12.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.79	2.04	4.9%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
1xBet	1.82	1.93	6.8%
BetVictor	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.82	2.08	3.0%
Average	1.77	1.98	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.69	2.03	8.4%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Best of all books	1.69	2.10	6.8%
Average	1.67	2.06	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Diriyah 45%Draw 45%Al Taawon 10%

The statistical model rated Al Diriyah at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Taawon at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.49 | 3.61, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Al Diriyah win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Pro League table: Al Diriyah are 9th (11 pts, 7-8 goals), Al Taawon 17th (3 pts, 3-15).

Over their last five matches, Al Diriyah averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Al Taawon averaged 0.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Al Diriyah or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Al Diriyah

4-3-3

Coach: Bruno Lage

Goalkeeper

97Amin Al Bukhari

Defence

2Abdulaziz Al Faraj
19B. Djimsiti
99C. Mbemba
16Hussain Al Sibyani

Midfield

14Óscar Rodríguez
5I. Gueye
20E. Millot

Attack

17C. Diandy
29D. Núñez
10A. Boulbina

Substitutes (9)

52Hussain Al Qahtani
75Meshari Al Nemer
88Abdulelah Al Malki
34Mansour Hibatullah Al Sibyani
32Abdullah Al Zaid
6Sultan Al Farhan
21M. Hameran
87Qassem Lajami
12T. Wadi

Al Taawon

3-4-2-1

Coach: V. Rašović

Goalkeeper

1Mailson

Defence

40Ibrahim Mahnashi
5Z. Belaïd
32Muteb Al Mufarrij

Midfield

70A. Hendi
16Faris Al Ghamdi
18A. El Mahdioui
88M. Petkov
7Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
47Y. El Bahraoui

Attack

9A. Hamed Allah

Substitutes (9)

4Nasser Al Haleel
17Mohammed Al Aqel
6Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
30Abdullah Al Jadani
45Mohammed Al Saedi
93Awn Al Saluli
23Rakan Al Tulayhi
10N. Bajrami
8P. Guiagon

Match Statistics

Al DiriyahAl Taawon

1.97Expected Goals0.88

420Passes accurate272

7Shots insidebox4

3Shots outsidebox5

3Blocked Shots2

4Free Kicks10

1Shots on Goal2

6Shots off Goal5

4Offsides1

480Total passes342

10Total Shots9

3Yellow Cards1

4Corner Kicks2

11Fouls5

0Red Cards0

59%Ball Possession41%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.50	3.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.82	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.71

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
2.41	2.23	4.21

2nd half

1	X	2
2.20	2.52	3.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.85	14.0	31.7
HT X	4.83	5.63	8.50
HT 2	23.0	14.8	6.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	12.5	2.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.2
1.5	1.23	3.74
2.5	1.77	1.98
3.5	2.87	1.36
4.5	5.48	1.12
5.5	10.4	1.03
6.5	22.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.75
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.12	4.70
1.75	1.28	3.08
2	1.38	2.76
2.25	1.58	2.25
2.75	1.98	1.75
3	2.31	1.53
3.25	2.60	1.43
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.70	1.12
4.25	5.00	1.10
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.99	1.34
-1	2.60	1.43
-0.75	2.11	1.65
-0.5	1.85	1.92
-0.25	1.63	2.17
0	1.41	2.77

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.47	1.07
-2.25	6.27	1.07
-2	5.90	1.09
-1.75	4.11	1.20
-1.5	3.36	1.28
+0.25	1.32	3.08
+0.5	1.27	3.68
+0.75	1.15	4.50
+1	1.06	6.87
+1.25	1.05	7.07
+1.5	1.03	7.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.97
7.5	1.25	3.32
8.5	1.50	2.40
9.5	1.85	1.86
10.5	2.34	1.52
11.5	3.07	1.30
12.5	4.30	1.15
13.5	5.70	1.08
14.5	7.70	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.40	2.67
8.75	1.53	2.24
9	1.65	2.19
9.25	1.74	1.98
9.75	1.95	1.73
10	2.12	1.70
10.25	2.24	1.56
10.75	2.56	1.40
11.25	3.08	1.31