Sudtirol vs Cesena• Serie B, Italy

#81.2:1.214:0031/10 · Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano0.8:1.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.33PINX3.35DAF23.40BTNMargin at best2.2%Books8Markets47Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 20:53 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.33	3.27	3.19	4.8%
Dafabet	2.21	3.35	3.35	5.0%
Betano	2.22	3.25	3.40	5.2%
1xBet	2.25	3.26	3.14	7.0%
Marathonbet	2.23	3.26	3.12	7.6%
Betfair	2.25	3.30	3.00	8.1%
William Hill	2.25	3.10	3.10	9.0%
BetVictor	2.25	3.20	3.00	9.0%
Best of all books	2.33	3.35	3.40	2.2%
Average	2.25	3.25	3.16	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SudtirolCesena

Last 10#8Table position#101.44Points per game1.222Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.860Attack rating4060Defence rating4067Form rating3325H2H rating7585Goals model1556Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Sudtirol

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

27 Oct	A	Padova	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Sampdoria	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Juve Stabia	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Ascoli	0-0	D
2 Oct	H	Wacker Innsbruck	2-3	L
20 Sep	A	Arezzo	4-1	W
15 Sep	A	Genoa	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Modena	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Catanzaro	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Benevento	1-1	D

Cesena

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

27 Oct	H	Empoli	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Modena	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Avellino	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Benevento	0-2	L
18 Sep	A	Juve Stabia	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Cremonese	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Mantova	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Virtus Entella	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Sampdoria	1-1	D
17 Aug	A	Sassuolo	0-3	L

Head to head

1Sudtirol wins

4draws

2Cesena wins

7 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 7: 1W 4D 2L for Sudtirol

6 Apr 2026Serie B	Serie B	Cesena1-1Sudtirol
25 Oct 2025Serie B	Serie B	Sudtirol0-1Cesena
5 Apr 2025Serie B	Serie B	Sudtirol1-1Cesena
3 Nov 2024Serie B	Serie B	Cesena1-0Sudtirol
25 Apr 2021Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	Sudtirol1-1Cesena
9 Jan 2021Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	Cesena0-0Sudtirol
23 Oct 2019Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	Cesena0-1Sudtirol

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 27 Oct 22:20 UTC

In the Serie B table, Sudtirol sit 8th with 13 points from 9 games, while Cesena are 10th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	8	7	1	0	18:8	+10	22
2	Modena	9	6	1	2	17:9	+8	19
3	Ascoli	9	5	3	1	16:6	+10	18
4	Mantova	9	5	2	2	14:10	+4	17
5	Benevento	9	4	3	2	14:8	+6	15
6	Pisa	8	4	2	2	15:10	+5	14
7	Padova	9	4	1	4	9:10	-1	13
8	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	10:9	+1	13
9	Avellino	9	3	3	3	13:10	+3	12
10	Cesena	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	2	4	3	11:10	+1	10
12	Arezzo	8	3	1	4	8:17	-9	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	2	3	3	15:13	+2	9
14	Cremonese	9	2	3	4	8:11	-3	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	2	3	4	12:17	-5	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	3	3	2	9:8	+1	8
17	Empoli	9	2	1	6	8:15	-7	7
18	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	7:9	-2	7
19	Sampdoria	9	1	2	6	8:18	-10	5
20	Catanzaro	9	1	2	6	10:21	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.25X29%3.25230%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.10	1.78	3.8%
Pinnacle	2.13	1.73	4.8%
1xBet	1.98	1.77	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.77	7.0%
BetVictor	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.13	1.78	3.1%
Average	2.03	1.75	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.80	1.93	7.4%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.80	1.97	6.3%
Average	1.78	1.94	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sudtirol 45%Draw 45%Cesena 10%

The statistical model rates Sudtirol at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cesena at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.16, which imply roughly 44.4% for a Sudtirol win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Sudtirol are 8th (13 pts, 10-9 goals), Cesena 10th (11 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Sudtirol averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Cesena averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sudtirol or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.25	3.25	3.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.60	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.59	2.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.06	3.79

2nd half

1	X	2
2.58	2.36	3.42

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.55	14.5	36.7
HT X	5.27	4.75	7.13
HT 2	30.0	14.7	5.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	8.60	2.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.43
1.5	1.32	3.14
2.5	2.03	1.75
3.5	3.54	1.26
4.5	6.98	1.07
5.5	12.5	1.02
6.5	17.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.15	4.21
1.75	1.40	2.73
2	1.53	2.38
2.25	1.77	1.97
2.75	2.29	1.56
3	2.80	1.39
3.25	2.99	1.31
3.75	4.16	1.16
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06
5	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.63	1.42
-0.5	2.24	1.64
-0.25	1.91	1.82
0	1.61	2.23
+0.25	1.43	2.60
+0.5	1.36	3.26

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.30	1.04
-2	8.40	1.01
-1.75	5.50	1.08
-1.5	4.33	1.16
-1.25	3.97	1.20
-1	3.49	1.27
+0.75	1.22	3.84
+1	1.08	5.55
+1.25	1.07	6.06
+1.5	1.06	6.53
+1.75	1.01	8.65
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Next Serie B matches

28 Oct	Pisa – Palermo
28 Oct	Juve Stabia – Hellas Verona
28 Oct	Carrarese – Arezzo
31 Oct	Cremonese – Benevento
31 Oct	Modena – Mantova
31 Oct	Catanzaro – Padova

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

27 Oct	Vicenza Virtus 1-2 Modena
27 Oct	Ascoli 2-0 Sampdoria
27 Oct	Padova 2-0 Sudtirol
27 Oct	Mantova 0-2 Cremonese
27 Oct	Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino
27 Oct	Cesena 2-1 Empoli