Ascoli vs Sampdoria• Serie B, Italy

#42.0:0.819:00Today · Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno1.0:2.0#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20DAFX3.40BVC23.62PINMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets72Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.18	3.29	3.63	3.8%
Betano	2.15	3.35	3.55	4.5%
Dafabet	2.15	3.30	3.50	5.4%
1xBet	2.13	3.24	3.42	7.1%
Betfair	2.05	3.25	3.60	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.11	3.24	3.42	7.5%
Bet365	2.10	3.20	3.40	8.3%
William Hill	2.10	3.30	3.25	8.7%
BetVictor	2.05	3.30	3.25	9.9%
SBO	2.08	3.06	3.08	13.2%
Best of all books	2.18	3.35	3.63	3.3%
Average	2.11	3.25	3.41	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AscoliSampdoria

Last 10#4Table position#191.88Points per game0.638Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 52.067Attack rating3371Defence rating2967Form rating3329H2H rating7185Goals model1561Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 19:20 UTC

Ascoli

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

24 Oct	A	Catanzaro	6-1	W
17 Oct	H	Empoli	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Sudtirol	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Avellino	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Padova	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Benevento	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Carrarese	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Hellas Verona	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Genoa	1-4	L
8 Aug	H	Potenza	3-1	W

Sampdoria

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

24 Oct	A	Sudtirol	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Arezzo	1-2	L
9 Oct	A	Avellino	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Catanzaro	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Mantova	0-2	L
7 Sep	A	Palermo	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Juve Stabia	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Cesena	1-1	D
17 Aug	A	Cremonese	0-2	L
9 Aug	A	Parma	2-0	W

Head to head

0Ascoli wins

2draws

1Sampdoria wins

3 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 3: 0W 2D 1L for Ascoli

11 Mar 2024Serie B	Serie B	Sampdoria2-1Ascoli
7 Oct 2023Serie B	Serie B	Ascoli1-1Sampdoria
20 Oct 2022Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Sampdoria2-2Ascoli

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 26 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the Serie B table, Ascoli sit 4th with 15 points from 8 games, while Sampdoria are 19th with 5 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	8	7	1	0	18:8	+10	22
2	Mantova	8	5	2	1	14:8	+6	17
3	Modena	8	5	1	2	15:8	+7	16
4	Ascoli	8	4	3	1	14:6	+8	15
5	Benevento	8	4	2	2	13:7	+6	14
6	Pisa	8	4	2	2	15:10	+5	14
7	Sudtirol	8	3	4	1	10:7	+3	13
8	Avellino	8	3	2	3	12:9	+3	11
9	Padova	8	3	1	4	7:10	-3	10
10	Arezzo	8	3	1	4	8:17	-9	10
11	Hellas Verona	8	2	3	3	15:13	+2	9
12	Virtus Entella	8	2	3	3	10:9	+1	9
13	Vicenza Virtus	8	2	3	3	11:15	-4	9
14	Juve Stabia	8	3	3	2	9:8	+1	8
15	Cesena	8	1	5	2	8:12	-4	8
16	Empoli	8	2	1	5	7:13	-6	7
17	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	7:9	-2	7
18	Cremonese	8	1	3	4	6:11	-5	6
19	Sampdoria	8	1	2	5	8:16	-8	5
20	Catanzaro	8	1	1	6	9:20	-11	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.12X29%3.24227%3.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.30 → 2.12 -7.8%X3.35 → 3.24 -3.3%23.04 → 3.38 +11.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	1.94	3.4%
Betano	1.93	1.91	4.2%
SBO	1.94	1.90	4.2%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
1xBet	1.81	1.93	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.93	7.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Best of all books	1.94	1.94	3.1%
Average	1.88	1.90	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.64	2.13	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.10	8.6%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.70	2.15	5.3%
Average	1.67	2.09	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ascoli 45%Draw 45%Sampdoria 10%

The statistical model rates Ascoli at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sampdoria at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 3.24 | 3.38, which imply roughly 47.2% for a Ascoli win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Ascoli are 4th (15 pts, 14-6 goals), Sampdoria 19th (5 pts, 8-16).

Over their last five matches, Ascoli averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Sampdoria averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Ascoli.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.11	3.25	3.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.69	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.13	3.91

2nd half

1	X	2
2.45	2.48	3.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.33	13.3	32.1
HT X	5.15	5.04	7.59
HT 2	24.9	14.1	5.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	9.50	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.71
1.5	1.26	3.60
2.5	1.88	1.90
3.5	3.11	1.33
4.5	6.12	1.10
5.5	11.7	1.03
6.5	22.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.12	4.76
1.75	1.27	3.16
2	1.40	2.77
2.25	1.62	2.20
2.75	2.08	1.70
3	2.44	1.51
3.25	2.54	1.42
3.75	3.35	1.25
4	4.55	1.13
4.25	4.90	1.11
5	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.13	1.33
-0.75	2.41	1.51
-0.5	2.11	1.72
-0.25	1.81	1.96
0	1.52	2.45
+0.25	1.38	2.87

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.04
-2	6.80	1.04
-1.75	4.92	1.13
-1.5	3.84	1.21
-1.25	3.52	1.26
+0.5	1.32	3.50
+0.75	1.19	4.28
+1	1.08	6.12
+1.25	1.07	6.64
+1.5	1.06	7.10
+1.75	1.01	8.90
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.47	2.55
4.5	1.92	1.80
5.5	2.72	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.06	7.20
6.5	1.14	4.72
7.5	1.30	3.13
8.5	1.56	2.28
9.5	1.95	1.80
10.5	2.50	1.46
11.5	3.33	1.27
12.5	4.68	1.14
13.5	6.30	1.08
14.5	8.50	1.05
15.5	10.8	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.31	2.92
8.25	1.44	2.47
8.75	1.60	2.14
9	1.77	2.01
9.25	1.83	1.87
9.75	2.05	1.65
10	2.26	1.60
10.25	2.36	1.48
10.75	2.74	1.35

Next Serie B matches

27 Oct	Benevento – Catanzaro
27 Oct	Virtus Entella – Avellino
27 Oct	Padova – Sudtirol
27 Oct	Cesena – Empoli
27 Oct	Vicenza Virtus – Modena
27 Oct	Mantova – Cremonese

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

25 Oct	Hellas Verona 1-1 Pisa
25 Oct	Palermo 2-1 Carrarese
24 Oct	Arezzo 0-3 Benevento
24 Oct	Catanzaro 1-6 Ascoli
24 Oct	Sudtirol 1-1 Sampdoria
24 Oct	Modena 3-0 Cesena