Modena vs Mantova• Serie B, Italy

#22.0:1.214:0031/10 · Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena1.6:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.90BFR24.92PINMargin at best3.1%Books7Markets55Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 20:53 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.75	3.75	4.70	5.1%
Dafabet	1.75	3.80	4.60	5.2%
Pinnacle	1.72	3.72	4.92	5.3%
1xBet	1.72	3.75	4.51	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.75	4.55	7.5%
Betfair	1.67	3.90	4.50	7.7%
BetVictor	1.67	3.80	4.33	9.3%
Best of all books	1.75	3.90	4.92	3.1%
Average	1.71	3.78	4.59	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ModenaMantova

Last 10#2Table position#42.11Points per game1.8912Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4445Defence rating5550Form rating5085H2H rating1546Goals model5459Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Modena

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

27 Oct	A	Vicenza Virtus	2-1	W
24 Oct	H	Cesena	3-0	W
17 Oct	A	Carrarese	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Hellas Verona	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Empoli	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sudtirol	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Avellino	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Cremonese	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Benevento	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Venezia	2-3	L

Mantova

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

27 Oct	H	Cremonese	0-2	L
24 Oct	A	Virtus Entella	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Palermo	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	Catanzaro	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Pisa	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Sampdoria	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Cesena	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Palermo	2-5	L
30 Aug	H	Empoli	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Carrarese	2-1	W

Head to head

4Modena wins

3draws

1Mantova wins

8 meetings · goals 11:5 · last 8: 4W 3D 1L for Modena

21 Mar 2026Serie B	Serie B	Modena2-1Mantova
20 Sep 2025Serie B	Serie B	Mantova1-3Modena
1 Feb 2025Serie B	Serie B	Modena3-1Mantova
30 Nov 2024Serie B	Serie B	Mantova0-0Modena
14 Mar 2021Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	Modena1-1Mantova
16 Nov 2020Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	Mantova0-0Modena
30 Apr 2017Serie C	Serie C	Modena2-0Mantova
11 Dec 2016Serie C	Serie C	Mantova1-0Modena

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 27 Oct 22:20 UTC

In the Serie B table, Modena sit 2nd with 19 points from 9 games, while Mantova are 4th with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	8	7	1	0	18:8	+10	22
2	Modena	9	6	1	2	17:9	+8	19
3	Ascoli	9	5	3	1	16:6	+10	18
4	Mantova	9	5	2	2	14:10	+4	17
5	Benevento	9	4	3	2	14:8	+6	15
6	Pisa	8	4	2	2	15:10	+5	14
7	Padova	9	4	1	4	9:10	-1	13
8	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	10:9	+1	13
9	Avellino	9	3	3	3	13:10	+3	12
10	Cesena	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	2	4	3	11:10	+1	10
12	Arezzo	8	3	1	4	8:17	-9	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	2	3	3	15:13	+2	9
14	Cremonese	9	2	3	4	8:11	-3	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	2	3	4	12:17	-5	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	3	3	2	9:8	+1	8
17	Empoli	9	2	1	6	8:15	-7	7
18	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	7:9	-2	7
19	Sampdoria	9	1	2	6	8:18	-10	5
20	Catanzaro	9	1	2	6	10:21	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.71X25%3.78220%4.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.83	2.02	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.19	4.8%
1xBet	1.64	2.17	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.17	7.1%
BetVictor	1.63	2.09	9.2%
Best of all books	1.83	2.19	0.3%
Average	1.69	2.13	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
1xBet	1.61	2.18	8.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.15	8.6%
Best of all books	1.72	2.18	4.0%
Average	1.64	2.13	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Modena 45%Draw 45%Mantova 10%

The statistical model rates Modena at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mantova at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.78 | 4.59, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Modena win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Modena are 2nd (19 pts, 17-9 goals), Mantova 4th (17 pts, 14-10).

Over their last five matches, Modena averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Mantova averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Modena or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.71	3.78	4.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	2.07	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.29	4.83

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.69	4.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.58	15.1	42.3
HT X	4.52	5.70	9.98
HT 2	23.3	15.6	7.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	14.5	2.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.3
1.5	1.20	4.18
2.5	1.69	2.13
3.5	2.65	1.44
4.5	4.81	1.15
5.5	8.80	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.10
1.25	1.08	5.70
1.75	1.19	3.77
2	1.30	3.24
2.25	1.46	2.53
2.75	1.80	1.93
3	2.10	1.67
3.25	2.29	1.55
3.75	2.89	1.33
4	3.72	1.20
4.25	4.06	1.17
4.75	5.45	1.08
5	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.86	1.38
-1.25	2.49	1.46
-1	2.24	1.62
-0.75	1.86	1.85
-0.5	1.71	2.12
-0.25	1.47	2.48

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.02
-3	9.30	1.02
-2.75	6.55	1.05
-2.5	5.27	1.11
-2.25	4.80	1.12
-2	4.40	1.14
-1.75	3.40	1.26
0	1.27	3.37
+0.25	1.20	3.92
+0.75	1.08	5.50
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.03	9.35

Next Serie B matches

28 Oct	Pisa – Palermo
28 Oct	Juve Stabia – Hellas Verona
28 Oct	Carrarese – Arezzo
31 Oct	Cremonese – Benevento
31 Oct	Sudtirol – Cesena
31 Oct	Catanzaro – Padova

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

27 Oct	Vicenza Virtus 1-2 Modena
27 Oct	Ascoli 2-0 Sampdoria
27 Oct	Padova 2-0 Sudtirol
27 Oct	Mantova 0-2 Cremonese
27 Oct	Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino
27 Oct	Cesena 2-1 Empoli