Azam vs 
Mbeya City• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 4.75 | 8.50 | 11.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.27 | 4.75 | 8.50 | 11.6% |
| Average | 1.27 | 4.75 | 8.50 | 11.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 06:50 UTC
Azam
6W 3D 1L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against
| 24 Oct | H | Masr | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Masr | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Oct | A | Coastal Union | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Simba | 0-2 | L |
| 7 Sep | H | Namungo | 2-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Kagera Sugar | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Geita Gold | 2-2 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | Pamba Jiji | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | Tabora United | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Polisi Tanzania | 1-1 | D |
Mbeya City
4W 2D 4L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against
| 18 Oct | A | JKT Tanzania | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Oct | H | Kagera Sugar | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Polisi Tanzania | 0-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | A | Tabora United | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Fountain Gate | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Mashujaa | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Aug | H | Dodoma Jiji | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Geita Gold | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Jul | A | Tanzania Prisons | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Jul | H | Tanzania Prisons | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
16 meetings · goals 25:9 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Azam
| 9 Apr 2026Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City0-0Azam |
| 24 Sep 2025Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Azam2-0Mbeya City |
| 31 Dec 2022Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Azam6-1Mbeya City |
| 13 Sep 2022Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City0-1Azam |
| 10 May 2022Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City2-1Azam |
| 18 Dec 2021Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Azam2-2Mbeya City |
| 18 Feb 2021Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Azam2-1Mbeya City |
| 20 Sep 2020Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City0-1Azam |
| 23 Jul 2020Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Azam1-0Mbeya City |
| 2 Feb 2020Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City1-1Azam |
Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 28 Oct 06:50 UTC
In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Azam sit 3rd with 17 points from 8 games, while Mbeya City are 10th with 10 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:5 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Tabora United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.6% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Azam at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mbeya City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 4.75 | 8.50, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Azam win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Azam are 3rd (17 pts, 13-7 goals), Mbeya City 10th (10 pts, 8-9).
Over their last five matches, Azam averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Mbeya City averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Azam or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | 3.40 | 1.12 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.08 | 7.00 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 2.38 | 10.0 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.83 | 23.0 | 51.0 |
| HT X | 3.75 | 7.00 | 17.0 |
| HT 2 | 26.0 | 26.0 | 19.0 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | 9.50 | 4.33 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.82 | 1.98 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.67 | 2.10 |