Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

#61.4:1.81-1FT23/10 · Ushirika Stadium, Moshi1.2:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.06DAFX3.10B36523.45DAFMargin at best9.8%Books6Markets40Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 10:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.06	3.10	3.45	9.8%
Betano	2.05	3.10	3.35	10.9%
1xBet	2.04	3.08	3.40	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.10	3.40	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.02	3.08	3.30	12.3%
William Hill	2.05	2.88	3.40	12.9%
Best of all books	2.06	3.10	3.45	9.8%
Average	2.04	3.06	3.38	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Polisi TanzaniaPamba Jiji

Last 10#6Table position#141.33Points per game0.674Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.854Attack rating4650Defence rating5050Form rating500H2H rating084Goals model1660Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 07:50 UTC

Polisi Tanzania

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	A	Kagera Sugar	1-1	D
8 Oct	A	Mashujaa	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Mbeya City	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Coastal Union	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Singida Black Stars	2-4	L
25 Aug	A	Dodoma Jiji	1-0	W
20 Aug	H	JKT Tanzania	2-0	W
15 Aug	H	Azam	1-1	D
16 Jul	A	Tanzania Prisons	0-1	L
12 Jul	H	Tanzania Prisons	4-0	W

Pamba Jiji

1W 2D 7L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

16 Oct	A	Fountain Gate	1-1	D
8 Oct	H	Geita Gold	4-0	W
13 Sep	H	Tabora United	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	JKT Tanzania	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Young Africans	0-2	L
23 Aug	A	Azam	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	Simba	1-2	L
14 Aug	H	Dodoma Jiji	1-1	D
30 Jun	A	Coastal Union	1-2	L
27 Jun	H	JKT Tanzania	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Polisi Tanzania and Pamba Jiji on record.

Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 27 Oct 01:30 UTC

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Polisi Tanzania sit 6th with 12 points from 9 games, while Pamba Jiji are 14th with 6 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Simba	8	8	0	0	19:4	+15	24
2	Young Africans	8	6	1	1	17:4	+13	19
3	Azam	8	5	2	1	13:7	+6	17
4	JKT Tanzania	9	5	1	3	12:12	0	16
5	Dodoma Jiji	8	4	2	2	8:5	+3	14
6	Polisi Tanzania	9	3	3	3	12:11	+1	12
7	Namungo	9	4	0	5	9:12	-3	12
8	Mashujaa	8	4	0	4	9:13	-4	12
9	Singida Black Stars	8	3	2	3	14:11	+3	11
10	Mbeya City	8	3	1	4	8:9	-1	10
11	Coastal Union	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
12	Geita Gold	9	2	2	5	10:16	-6	8
13	Tabora United	8	1	4	3	6:7	-1	7
14	Pamba Jiji	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	6
15	Kagera Sugar	9	1	3	5	9:17	-8	6
16	Fountain Gate	9	1	3	5	5:13	-8	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.95X29%3.08225%3.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Betano	2.07	1.62	10.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.10	1.64	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Average	1.84	1.82	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Polisi Tanzania 45%Draw 45%Pamba Jiji 10%

The statistical model rated Polisi Tanzania at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pamba Jiji at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.08 | 3.64, which imply roughly 51.3% for a Polisi Tanzania win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Polisi Tanzania are 6th (12 pts, 12-11 goals), Pamba Jiji 14th (6 pts, 10-15).

Over their last five matches, Polisi Tanzania averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Pamba Jiji averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Polisi Tanzania or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.04	3.06	3.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.63	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.69	2.00	4.07

2nd half

1	X	2
2.43	2.28	3.67

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.25	13.8	40.0
HT X	4.85	4.43	7.30
HT 2	29.0	15.0	5.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.75	7.30	2.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.42
1.5	1.33	2.81
2.5	2.10	1.64
3.5	3.68	1.20
4.5	8.00	1.06
5.5	19.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.15
1.25	1.20	3.70
1.75	1.42	2.50
2	1.57	2.14
2.25	1.82	1.82
2.75	2.38	1.47
3	2.97	1.30
3.25	3.34	1.24
4	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.05	1.28
-0.75	2.36	1.48
-0.5	1.95	1.67
-0.25	1.77	1.93
0	1.48	2.39
+0.25	1.35	2.79

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.40	1.03
-1.5	3.88	1.18
-1.25	3.48	1.22
+0.75	1.16	4.15
+1	1.06	6.35
+1.5	1.03	7.30

Next Ligi kuu Bara matches

27 Oct

Dodoma Jiji – JKT Tanzania

All Ligi kuu Bara fixtures and the table

Latest Ligi kuu Bara results

24 Oct	JKT Tanzania 1-0 Kagera Sugar
18 Oct	JKT Tanzania 2-1 Mbeya City
17 Oct	Kagera Sugar 1-1 Polisi Tanzania
16 Oct	Geita Gold 0-3 Dodoma Jiji
16 Oct	Fountain Gate 1-1 Pamba Jiji
13 Oct	Simba 6-1 Mashujaa