Colina vs Provincial Ovalle• Segunda División, Chile

#111.4:1.41-1LiveToday1.4:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82BTNX3.55DAF24.33BVCMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets46Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.82	3.55	4.00	8.1%
Betano	1.82	3.50	3.95	8.8%
BetVictor	1.75	3.40	4.33	9.6%
Pinnacle	1.75	3.47	4.18	9.9%
Betfair	1.80	3.40	3.90	10.6%
1xBet	1.76	3.42	4.03	10.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.50	3.80	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.42	3.92	12.2%
William Hill	1.80	3.10	3.90	13.5%
Best of all books	1.82	3.55	4.33	6.2%
Average	1.78	3.42	4.00	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ColinaProvincial Ovalle

Last 10#11Table position#141.00Points per game0.507Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5059Defence rating4150Form rating5033H2H rating6767Goals model3352Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 19:01 UTC

Colina

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

8 Nov	A	Lota Schwager	1-2	L
24 Oct	H	Santiago Morning	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Deportes Rengo	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	General Velásquez	3-2	W
27 Sep	H	Real San Joaquín	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Provincial Ovalle	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Lota Schwager	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Santiago Morning	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	Deportes Rengo	0-1	L
12 Jul	H	Real San Joaquín	5-1	W

Provincial Ovalle

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

8 Nov	H	Santiago Morning	2-1	W
1 Nov	A	Real San Joaquín	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	General Velásquez	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Deportes Rengo	1-5	L
26 Sep	A	Lota Schwager	2-1	W
7 Sep	H	Colina	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Santiago Morning	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Real San Joaquín	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	General Velásquez	0-1	L
4 Jul	H	Colina	2-1	W

Head to head

1Colina wins

0draws

2Provincial Ovalle wins

3 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Colina

7 Sep 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Provincial Ovalle1-0Colina
4 Jul 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Provincial Ovalle2-1Colina
2 May 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Colina2-0Provincial Ovalle

Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 14 Nov 19:10 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Colina sit 11th with 12 points from 12 games, while Provincial Ovalle are 14th with 6 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Provincial Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	+10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	+6	22
3	Colchagua	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22
4	Concón National	12	6	3	3	16:10	+6	21
5	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	-1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	+4	19
7	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	+2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	-4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	-2	13
11	Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	+1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	-7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.69X26%3.54221%4.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.21 → 1.78 -19.5%X3.17 → 3.42 +7.9%22.97 → 4.00 +34.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.99	1.75	7.4%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
BetVictor	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.08	1.75	5.2%
Average	1.99	1.73	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.81	9.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.85	6.7%
Average	1.85	1.82	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Colina 45%Draw 45%Provincial Ovalle 10%

The statistical model rates Colina at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Provincial Ovalle at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.54 | 4.41, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Colina win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Colina are 11th (12 pts, 15-14 goals), Provincial Ovalle 14th (6 pts, 11-24).

Over their last five matches, Colina averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Provincial Ovalle averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Colina or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.78	3.42	4.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.85	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.40	2.09	4.58

2nd half

1	X	2
2.15	2.39	4.23

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.01	16.7	41.3
HT X	4.83	4.93	8.35
HT 2	24.7	16.7	6.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.75	8.50	2.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.40
1.5	1.30	3.08
2.5	1.99	1.73
3.5	3.45	1.25
4.5	6.35	1.09
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.60
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.38	2.70
2	1.49	2.36
2.25	1.74	1.95
2.75	2.23	1.55
3	2.76	1.36
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.07	1.17
4	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.85	1.36
-1	2.49	1.46
-0.75	2.03	1.70
-0.5	1.80	1.94
-0.25	1.55	2.26
0	1.35	2.94

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.80	1.06
-2.25	6.05	1.12
-2	5.93	1.09
-1.75	3.88	1.23
-1.5	3.24	1.28
+0.25	1.31	3.11
+0.5	1.31	3.26
+0.75	1.17	4.49
+1	1.04	7.80
+1.25	1.12	5.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.81	1.97

Next Segunda División matches

16 Nov

Santiago Morning – Deportes Rengo

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

8 Nov	Trasandino 2-1 Provincial Osorno
8 Nov	Lota Schwager 2-1 Colina
8 Nov	Provincial Ovalle 2-1 Santiago Morning
8 Nov	Municipal Salamanca 2-3 Colchagua
7 Nov	Linares Unido 1-1 Concón National
7 Nov	Deportes Rengo 3-3 Real San Joaquín