Provincial Ovalle vs Santiago Morning• Segunda División, Chile

#141.2:1.819:00Today · Estadio Diaguita1.0:1.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.241XBX3.40DAF23.13BVCMargin at best6.0%Books9Markets41Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.19	3.40	3.05	7.9%
Betano	2.20	3.25	3.05	9.0%
BetVictor	2.20	3.10	3.13	9.7%
Pinnacle	2.16	3.38	2.94	9.9%
1xBet	2.24	3.06	2.98	10.9%
Betfair	2.20	3.10	3.00	11.0%
Bet365	2.15	3.20	3.00	11.1%
William Hill	2.20	3.10	2.90	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.22	3.06	2.90	12.2%
Best of all books	2.24	3.40	3.13	6.0%
Average	2.20	3.18	2.99	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Provincial OvalleSantiago Morning

Last 10#14Table position#130.50Points per game0.837Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.855Attack rating4550Defence rating5070Form rating3050H2H rating5034Goals model6652Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 16:31 UTC

Provincial Ovalle

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	A	Real San Joaquín	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	General Velásquez	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Deportes Rengo	1-5	L
26 Sep	A	Lota Schwager	2-1	W
7 Sep	H	Colina	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Santiago Morning	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Real San Joaquín	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	General Velásquez	0-1	L
4 Jul	H	Colina	2-1	W
26 Jun	A	Santiago City	2-3	L

Santiago Morning

1W 6D 3L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	H	Lota Schwager	1-4	L
24 Oct	A	Colina	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Real San Joaquín	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	General Velásquez	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Deportes Rengo	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Provincial Ovalle	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Lota Schwager	1-1	D
17 Aug	H	Colina	2-1	W
10 Aug	A	Real San Joaquín	2-2	D
4 Jul	A	Deportes Rengo	1-3	L

Head to head

0Provincial Ovalle wins

1draws

0Santiago Morning wins

1 meeting · goals 0:0 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Provincial Ovalle

30 Aug 2026Segunda División

Segunda División

Santiago Morning0-0Provincial Ovalle

Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 8 Nov 01:10 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Provincial Ovalle sit 14th with 6 points from 12 games, while Santiago Morning are 13th with 10 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Provincial Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	+10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	+6	22
3	Colchagua	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22
4	Concón National	12	6	3	3	16:10	+6	21
5	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	-1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	+4	19
7	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	+2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	-4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	-2	13
11	Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	+1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	-7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.20X28%3.18230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.62 → 2.20 -16.0%X3.10 → 3.18 +2.6%22.45 → 2.99 +22.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.20	1.61	7.6%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
BetVictor	2.14	1.60	9.2%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.17	1.60	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
Best of all books	1.93	1.85	5.9%
Average	1.88	1.80	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Provincial Ovalle 35%Draw 35%Santiago Morning 30%

The statistical model rates Provincial Ovalle at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Santiago Morning at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.18 | 2.99, which imply roughly 45.5% for a Provincial Ovalle win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Provincial Ovalle are 14th (6 pts, 11-24 goals), Santiago Morning 13th (10 pts, 9-14).

Over their last five matches, Provincial Ovalle averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Santiago Morning averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Provincial Ovalle or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.18	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.56	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.89	2.00	3.74

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.25	3.42

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.52	16.2	37.0
HT X	5.27	4.58	6.93
HT 2	29.0	16.2	5.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	7.40	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.77
1.5	1.37	2.76
2.5	2.17	1.61
3.5	3.93	1.19
4.5	7.40	1.07
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.05
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.48	2.41
2	1.63	2.09
2.25	1.90	1.78
2.75	2.50	1.44
3	3.20	1.27
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	5.00	1.14
4	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.61	1.41
-0.5	2.15	1.62
-0.25	1.89	1.81
0	1.64	2.14
+0.25	1.43	2.53
+0.5	1.36	2.87

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.02
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.5	4.50	1.13
-1.25	4.05	1.16
-1	3.52	1.23
+0.75	1.21	3.58
+1	1.09	5.35
+1.25	1.11	5.25
+1.5	1.06	6.30

Next Segunda División matches

8 Nov	Lota Schwager – Colina
8 Nov	Trasandino – Provincial Osorno

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

7 Nov	Linares Unido 1-1 Concón National
7 Nov	Deportes Rengo 3-3 Real San Joaquín
1 Nov	Colchagua 0-1 Trasandino
1 Nov	Real San Joaquín 1-1 Provincial Ovalle
31 Oct	General Velásquez 1-0 Deportes Rengo
31 Oct	Concón National 0-0 Municipal Salamanca