Inca Aruba vs Inter• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#91.0:1.80-2FTToday1.2:1.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.811XBX4.33B36521.70PINMargin10.7%Books8Markets52Rating41 · 60Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 19:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	6.00	4.10	1.50	7.7%
Betano	5.80	3.90	1.52	8.7%
Pinnacle	4.51	3.55	1.70	9.2%
Betfair	6.00	4.20	1.44	9.9%
1xBet	6.81	3.95	1.41	10.9%
Bet365	5.25	4.33	1.45	11.1%
William Hill	6.50	3.80	1.44	11.1%
BetVictor	5.50	3.50	1.36	20.3%
Best of all books	6.81	4.33	1.70	-3.4%
Average	5.80	3.92	1.48	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Inca ArubaInter

Last 10#9Table position#40.94Points per game1.535Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.645Attack rating5547Defence rating5363Form rating380H2H rating10028Goals model7241Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 13:00 UTC

Inca Aruba

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

16 Oct	A	Firpo	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Platense	1-4	L
5 Oct	A	FAS	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Municipal Limeño	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Alianza	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Fuerte San Francisco	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Águila	1-3	L
9 Sep	H	Atletico Balboa	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Isidro Metapán	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Cacahuatique	1-1	D

Inter

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	H	Municipal Limeño	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Alianza	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Fuerte San Francisco	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Águila	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Atletico Balboa	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Isidro Metapán	0-0	D
17 Sep	H	FAS	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Cacahuatique	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Firpo	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Platense	3-0	W

Head to head

0Inca Aruba wins

0draws

1Inter wins

1 meeting · goals 1:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Inca Aruba

22 Aug 2026Primera Division

Primera Division

Inter4-1Inca Aruba

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 24 Oct 04:10 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Inca Aruba sit 9th with 16 points from 17 games, while Inter are 4th with 26 points from 17.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Firpo	15	9	4	2	28:11	+17	31
2	FAS	16	9	4	3	27:15	+12	31
3	Isidro Metapán	16	9	3	4	23:17	+6	30
4	Inter	17	6	8	3	24:16	+8	26
5	Águila	16	6	6	4	27:20	+7	24
6	Platense	16	6	4	6	22:22	0	22
7	Alianza	15	4	8	3	22:21	+1	20
8	Municipal Limeño	16	6	2	8	23:23	0	20
9	Inca Aruba	17	4	4	9	13:31	-18	16
10	Atletico Balboa	16	3	5	8	17:25	-8	14
11	Cacahuatique	16	2	6	8	15:26	-11	12
12	Fuerte San Francisco	16	2	6	8	13:27	-14	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%5.90X23%3.96262%1.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.45 → 5.80 +30.3%X3.55 → 3.92 +10.4%21.66 → 1.48 -10.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.93	5.6%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
BetVictor	1.61	1.73	19.9%
Best of all books	1.86	2.00	3.8%
Average	1.75	1.93	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.83	7.0%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
BetVictor	1.75	1.60	19.6%
Best of all books	1.91	1.85	6.4%
Average	1.83	1.79	10.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Inca Aruba 10%Draw 45%Inter 45%

The statistical model rated Inca Aruba at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Inter at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.90 | 3.96 | 1.46, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Inca Aruba are 9th (16 pts, 13-31 goals), Inter 4th (26 pts, 24-16).

Over their last five matches, Inca Aruba averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Inter averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Inter.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.80	3.92	1.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.41	1.11	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
4.23	1.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
5.87	2.25	1.95

2nd half

1	X	2
5.58	2.68	1.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	10.1	17.0	19.7
HT X	12.3	5.87	4.18
HT 2	53.7	16.5	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.46
1.5	1.21	3.56
2.5	1.75	1.93
3.5	2.75	1.34
4.5	4.85	1.11
5.5	9.73	1.04

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.10
1.25	1.15	4.80
1.75	1.28	3.25
2	1.34	2.67
2.25	1.53	2.15
2.75	1.91	1.70
3	2.20	1.49
3.25	2.46	1.40
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.40	1.14
4.25	4.70	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.12	1.57
+0.75	2.04	1.65
+1	1.83	1.84
+1.25	1.63	2.06
+1.5	1.45	2.35
+1.75	1.35	2.44

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.20	1.02
-1	9.70	1.01
-0.25	5.65	1.08
0	4.21	1.19
+0.25	2.69	1.34
+2	1.24	3.34
+2.25	1.22	3.80
+2.5	1.16	4.15
+2.75	1.12	5.30
+3	1.02	7.70
+3.5	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.81	1.92

Next Primera Division matches

25 Oct	Municipal Limeño – Cacahuatique
25 Oct	Platense – Firpo
25 Oct	Fuerte San Francisco – Atletico Balboa

All Primera Division fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Division results

22 Oct	FAS 0-0 Isidro Metapán
18 Oct	FAS 2-3 Platense
18 Oct	Atletico Balboa 2-2 Águila
18 Oct	Isidro Metapán 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco
17 Oct	Cacahuatique 0-0 Alianza
17 Oct	Inter 1-2 Municipal Limeño