Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#80.8:2.00-0FT27/090.8:2.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.30BFR23.741XBMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets41Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 00:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.95	3.30	3.70	8.6%
Betano	1.95	3.25	3.70	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.00	3.09	3.72	9.2%
1xBet	1.92	3.08	3.79	10.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.25	3.90	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.90	3.08	3.68	12.3%
Best of all books	2.00	3.30	3.90	5.9%
Average	1.92	3.18	3.75	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PlatenseFuerte San Francisco

Last 10#8Table position#111.27Points per game0.807Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 52.250Attack rating5052Defence rating4875Form rating2536H2H rating6466Goals model3454Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Platense

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	Inca Aruba	4-1	W
4 Oct	H	Municipal Limeño	2-1	W
1 Oct	A	Alianza	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Fuerte San Francisco	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Águila	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Atletico Balboa	1-3	L
9 Sep	H	Isidro Metapán	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Cacahuatique	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Inter	0-3	L
26 Aug	H	Alianza	2-2	D

Fuerte San Francisco

1W 3D 6L · goals 7:17 · per match 0.7 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Cacahuatique	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Inter	1-1	D
1 Oct	H	Firpo	0-3	L
27 Sep	A	Platense	0-0	D
24 Sep	A	Alianza	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Inca Aruba	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Municipal Limeño	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	FAS	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Águila	1-4	L
23 Aug	A	Atletico Balboa	0-1	L

Head to head

2Platense wins

8draws

5Fuerte San Francisco wins

15 meetings · goals 16:21 · last 10: 1W 8D 1L for Platense

26 Jul 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco1-1Platense
21 Apr 2026Copa Presidente	Copa Presidente	Fuerte San Francisco1-0Platense
15 Apr 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco1-1Platense
9 Apr 2026Copa Presidente	Copa Presidente	Platense1-1Fuerte San Francisco
18 Feb 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Platense1-1Fuerte San Francisco
1 Nov 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco0-0Platense
31 Aug 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Platense1-1Fuerte San Francisco
30 Mar 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Platense2-2Fuerte San Francisco
2 Feb 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco0-2Platense
13 Oct 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco1-1Platense

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 17 Oct 05:10 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Platense sit 8th with 19 points from 15 games, while Fuerte San Francisco are 11th with 12 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Firpo	15	9	4	2	28:11	+17	31
2	FAS	14	9	3	2	25:12	+13	30
3	Isidro Metapán	14	8	2	4	20:15	+5	26
4	Águila	15	6	5	4	25:18	+7	23
5	Inter	16	5	8	3	22:16	+6	23
6	Municipal Limeño	16	6	2	8	23:23	0	20
7	Alianza	14	4	7	3	22:21	+1	19
8	Platense	15	5	4	6	19:20	-1	19
9	Inca Aruba	16	4	4	8	13:29	-16	16
10	Atletico Balboa	15	3	4	8	15:23	-8	13
11	Fuerte San Francisco	15	2	6	7	11:24	-13	12
12	Cacahuatique	15	2	5	8	15:26	-11	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.90X28%3.24225%3.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.92 → 1.91 -0.5%X3.17 → 3.25 +2.5%23.75 → 3.59 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.19	1.65	6.3%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Betano	2.05	1.62	10.5%
Best of all books	2.19	1.67	5.5%
Average	2.13	1.64	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
Betano	1.87	1.75	10.6%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.89	1.77	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Platense 45%Draw 45%Fuerte San Francisco 10%

The statistical model rated Platense at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fuerte San Francisco at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.24 | 3.56, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Platense win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Platense are 8th (19 pts, 19-20 goals), Fuerte San Francisco 11th (12 pts, 11-24).

Over their last five matches, Platense averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Fuerte San Francisco averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Platense or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.92	3.17	3.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.75	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.58	2.00	4.46

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.68	7.10	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.30
1.5	1.35	2.85
2.5	2.13	1.64
3.5	3.76	1.21
4.5	7.85	1.06
5.5	18.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.45	2.47
2	1.60	2.15
2.25	1.87	1.82
2.75	2.46	1.45
3	3.09	1.30
3.25	3.34	1.24
3.75	4.60	1.13
4	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.86	1.35
-0.75	2.22	1.56
-0.5	1.92	1.85
-0.25	1.67	2.04
0	1.40	2.64
+0.25	1.29	3.11

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.40	1.03
-2	6.60	1.05
-1.75	4.55	1.13
-1.5	3.50	1.22
-1.25	3.21	1.28
+0.75	1.11	4.90
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.02	8.20