Workington vs Alfreton Town• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#91.0:1.619:45Today1.0:1.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.62PINX3.60B36522.75BFRMargin at best2.3%Books9Markets47Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.55	3.50	2.48	8.1%
Betano	2.60	3.60	2.35	8.8%
Pinnacle	2.62	3.57	2.29	9.8%
Betfair	2.20	3.50	2.75	10.4%
1xBet	2.55	3.44	2.28	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.55	3.44	2.28	12.1%
Bet365	2.50	3.60	2.25	12.2%
William Hill	2.50	3.25	2.30	14.2%
BetVictor	2.40	3.13	2.15	20.1%
Best of all books	2.62	3.60	2.75	2.3%
Average	2.50	3.45	2.35	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WorkingtonAlfreton Town

Last 10#9Table position#111.59Points per game1.359Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5053Defence rating4755Form rating450H2H rating069Goals model3157Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 15:01 UTC

Workington

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

7 Nov	H	Ashton United	0-1	L
31 Oct	A	Bury	2-1	W
27 Oct	H	Cleethorpes Town	3-2	W
17 Oct	A	Bamber Bridge	2-1	W
13 Oct	H	Whitby Town	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Quorn	0-3	L
6 Oct	A	Warrington Town	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Cleethorpes Town	1-1	D
29 Sep	A	AFC Emley	3-1	W
26 Sep	H	Blyth Spartans	4-2	W

Alfreton Town

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

6 Nov	A	Quorn	0-4	L
31 Oct	H	AFC Emley	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Mickleover Sports	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Warrington Town	1-1	D
13 Oct	A	Ashton United	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Bury	2-3	L
6 Oct	H	United of Manchester	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Redcar Athletic	1-3	L
29 Sep	H	Guiseley AFC	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Shifnal Town FC	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Workington and Alfreton Town on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Workington sit 9th with 27 points from 17 games, while Alfreton Town are 11th with 23 points from 17.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	16	11	3	2	34:9	+25	36
2	Redcar Athletic	17	10	5	2	37:19	+18	35
3	Curzon Ashton	17	11	1	5	31:18	+13	34
4	Guiseley AFC	15	10	2	3	33:15	+18	32
5	Gainsborough Trinity	17	9	2	6	33:24	+9	29
6	Warrington Town	17	8	5	4	31:24	+7	29
7	Rylands	16	9	2	5	30:23	+7	29
8	Avro	17	9	2	6	39:33	+6	29
9	Workington	17	8	3	6	28:27	+1	27
10	Bury	15	8	2	5	31:18	+13	26
11	Alfreton Town	17	7	2	8	23:22	+1	23
12	AFC Emley	18	6	5	7	21:29	-8	23
13	Quorn	16	5	6	5	31:32	-1	21
14	Lancaster City	18	6	3	9	20:31	-11	21
15	Whitby Town	17	6	1	10	23:44	-21	19
16	Hyde United	17	5	3	9	19:32	-13	18
17	Ashton United	17	4	5	8	19:21	-2	17
18	Leek Town	17	4	5	8	34:39	-5	17
19	Stockton Town	17	4	3	10	23:29	-6	15
20	Ilkeston Town	17	4	1	12	13:37	-24	13
21	United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20:27	-7	12
22	Bamber Bridge	17	2	5	10	18:38	-20	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.50X26%3.45238%2.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.32 → 2.50 +7.8%X3.61 → 3.45 -4.4%22.48 → 2.35 -5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.19	7.4%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.14	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.14	10.4%
BetVictor	1.49	1.89	20.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.58	2.12	10.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
1xBet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.31	10.0%
William Hill	1.50	2.30	10.1%
BetVictor	1.40	2.05	20.2%
Best of all books	1.52	2.36	8.2%
Average	1.48	2.27	11.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Workington 45%Draw 45%Alfreton Town 10%

The statistical model rates Workington at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alfreton Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.35, which imply roughly 40% for a Workington win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Workington are 9th (27 pts, 28-27 goals), Alfreton Town 11th (23 pts, 23-22).

Over their last five matches, Workington averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Alfreton Town averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Workington or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.50	3.45	2.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.48	1.45	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
2.96	2.28	2.85

2nd half

1	X	2
2.87	2.58	2.58

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.99	13.9	23.8
HT X	6.38	6.00	6.05
HT 2	25.0	13.8	3.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	14.3	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.9
1.5	1.16	3.87
2.5	1.58	2.12
3.5	2.39	1.45
4.5	3.94	1.15
5.5	6.58	1.04

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.07	5.75
1.75	1.19	3.78
2	1.24	3.16
2.25	1.41	2.44
2.75	1.70	1.89
3	1.93	1.69
3.25	2.13	1.53
3.75	2.66	1.32
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.92	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.10	1.04
5.25	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.42	1.43
-0.25	2.21	1.53
0	1.93	1.73
+0.25	1.67	1.98
+0.5	1.52	2.20
+0.75	1.41	2.65

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.65	1.01
-1.75	6.13	1.08
-1.5	4.77	1.14
-1.25	4.42	1.16
-1	4.03	1.19
-0.75	3.05	1.32
+1	1.25	3.47
+1.25	1.21	3.81
+1.5	1.18	4.20
+1.75	1.11	5.35
+2	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.01	8.50

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

10 Nov	Quorn – Stockton Town
10 Nov	Redcar Athletic – Bamber Bridge
10 Nov	Rylands – Guiseley AFC
10 Nov	Curzon Ashton – Ilkeston Town
10 Nov	Bury – Cleethorpes Town
11 Nov	Avro – Whitby Town

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

7 Nov	Rylands 3-1 Gainsborough Trinity
7 Nov	Hyde United 4-2 Redcar Athletic
7 Nov	Lancaster City 0-2 Cleethorpes Town
7 Nov	AFC Emley 2-1 Whitby Town
7 Nov	Leek Town 3-2 Ilkeston Town
7 Nov	Avro 0-3 Warrington Town