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Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#101.0:1.21-1FT17/101.6:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.091XBX3.60B36522.91PINMargin at best10.0%Books5Markets46Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.083.552.9110.6%
1xBet2.093.482.9110.9%
Bet3652.053.602.8811.3%
Marathonbet2.073.482.8412.3%
BetVictor1.953.102.7519.9%
Best of all books2.093.602.9110.0%
Average2.053.442.8612.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Alfreton TownWarrington Town
Last 10#10Table position#71.33Points per game1.777Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.838Attack rating6260Defence rating4047Form rating5367H2H rating3353Goals model4753Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:20 UTC

Alfreton Town

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

13 OctAAshton United0-0D
10 OctHBury2-3L
6 OctHUnited of Manchester1-0W
3 OctARedcar Athletic1-3L
29 SepHGuiseley AFC1-0W
26 SepHShifnal Town FC2-1W
12 SepABamber Bridge0-1L
5 SepHStratford Town0-2L
31 AugAWhitby Town4-1W
29 AugHRylands1-2L

Warrington Town

3W 5D 2L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

17 OctAAlfreton Town1-1D
13 OctABamber Bridge1-0W
10 OctHLancaster City2-2D
6 OctHWorkington2-2D
3 OctAMarine0-2L
26 SepHAshton United2-2D
19 SepHSouth Liverpool3-0W
12 SepAUnited of Manchester1-4L
8 SepHShildon AFC4-0W
5 SepAShildon AFC2-2D

Head to head

1Alfreton Town wins
3draws
0Warrington Town wins

4 meetings · goals 6:5 · last 4: 1W 3D 0L for Alfreton Town

1 Mar 2025National League - NorthNational League - NorthAlfreton Town2-2Warrington Town
9 Nov 2024National League - NorthNational League - NorthWarrington Town0-1Alfreton Town
13 Jan 2024National League - NorthNational League - NorthWarrington Town2-2Alfreton Town
7 Oct 2023National League - NorthNational League - NorthAlfreton Town1-1Warrington Town

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 20 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Alfreton Town sit 10th with 20 points from 15 games, while Warrington Town are 7th with 23 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Redcar Athletic15104133:13+2034
2Cleethorpes Town1493231:9+2230
3Guiseley AFC1391327:12+1528
4Gainsborough Trinity1381429:16+1325
5Avro1381434:25+925
6Workington1573526:25+124
7Warrington Town1365224:19+523
8Rylands1472525:21+423
9Curzon Ashton1371524:17+722
10Alfreton Town1562721:17+420
11Lancaster City1562720:28-820
12Bury1161422:11+1119
13Whitby Town1461720:33-1319
14Hyde United1543815:29-1415
15Leek Town1335526:26014
16Ashton United1335515:15014
17Quorn1335523:29-614
18AFC Emley1435615:26-1114
19Stockton Town1533918:28-1012
20Bamber Bridge1424817:34-1710
21Ilkeston Town15311110:34-2410
22United of Manchester1214715:23-87

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.05X26%3.44231%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 04:3017 Oct 02:301 2.05X 3.442 2.86
12.08 → 2.05 -1.4%X3.55 → 3.44 -3.1%22.88 → 2.86 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Pinnacle1.722.037.4%
1xBet1.672.039.1%
Marathonbet1.672.039.1%
BetVictor1.541.8120.2%
Best of all books1.722.105.8%
Average1.662.0010.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.572.1610.0%
BetVictor1.441.9520.7%
Best of all books1.572.209.1%
Average1.532.1013.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alfreton Town 45%Draw 45%Warrington Town 10%

The statistical model rated Alfreton Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Warrington Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.44 | 2.85, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Alfreton Town win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Alfreton Town are 10th (20 pts, 21-17 goals), Warrington Town 7th (23 pts, 24-19).

Over their last five matches, Alfreton Town averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Warrington Town averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alfreton Town or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.053.442.86

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.581.18

Draw no bet

12
1.542.08

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.10

1st half

1X2
2.582.213.39

2nd half

1X2
2.452.533.19

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.2214.227.3
HT X5.536.077.13
HT 223.714.34.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7713.62.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.8
1.51.173.56
2.51.662.00
3.52.581.37
4.54.331.11
5.57.331.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.70
1.251.095.30
1.751.233.42
21.292.88
2.251.472.28
2.751.821.78
32.081.57
3.252.331.45
3.753.141.27
44.101.16
4.254.451.14
4.755.951.07
58.201.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.321.45
-0.51.971.60
-0.251.801.83
01.562.13
+0.251.422.41
+0.51.362.85
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.701.02
-27.101.04
-1.754.891.11
-1.53.841.18
-1.253.421.23
-13.061.30
+0.751.233.42
+11.114.90
+1.251.095.30
+1.51.075.75
+1.751.037.40

Next Non League Premier - Northern matches

21 OctAvro – Ashton United
24 OctWarrington Town – Gainsborough Trinity

All Non League Premier - Northern fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

20 OctGuiseley AFC 2-1 Cleethorpes Town
17 OctStockton Town 1-3 AFC Emley
17 OctGainsborough Trinity 4-0 Hyde United
17 OctIlkeston Town 2-0 Avro
17 OctBamber Bridge 1-2 Workington
17 OctLancaster City 1-2 Leek Town