Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town• National League - South, England

#61.4:0.81-0FT17/100.8:0.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.16PINX3.41PIN23.10PINMargin at best7.9%Books5Markets78Rating41 · 60Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.16	3.41	3.10	7.9%
William Hill	2.15	3.25	3.00	10.6%
1xBet	2.10	3.28	3.07	10.7%
Marathonbet	2.08	3.28	3.00	11.9%
Bet365	2.10	3.30	2.90	12.4%
Best of all books	2.16	3.41	3.10	7.9%
Average	2.12	3.30	3.01	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tonbridge AngelsHemel Hempstead Town

Last 10#6Table position#161.67Points per game1.177Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 50.464Attack rating3633Defence rating6750Form rating5029H2H rating7131Goals model6941Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:11 UTC

Tonbridge Angels

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Maidenhead	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Torquay	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Ebbsfleet United	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Ramsgate	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Hemel Hempstead Town	1-1	D
8 Sep	H	Maidstone Utd	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Farnborough	4-0	W
31 Aug	H	Walton & Hersham	5-1	W
29 Aug	A	Billericay Town	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Truro City	0-2	L

Hemel Hempstead Town

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Dagenham & Redbridge	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Slough Town	2-0	W
22 Sep	A	Wingate & Finchley	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Wingate & Finchley	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Tonbridge Angels	1-1	D
8 Sep	A	Ebbsfleet United	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Farnham Town	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Folkestone Invicta	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Weston-super-Mare	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Salisbury	2-1	W

Head to head

1Tonbridge Angels wins

5draws

8Hemel Hempstead Town wins

14 meetings · goals 14:24 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Tonbridge Angels

12 Sep 2026National League - South	National League - South	Hemel Hempstead Town1-1Tonbridge Angels
28 Feb 2026National League - South	National League - South	Hemel Hempstead Town1-0Tonbridge Angels
29 Nov 2025National League - South	National League - South	Tonbridge Angels1-3Hemel Hempstead Town
1 Mar 2025National League - South	National League - South	Hemel Hempstead Town2-0Tonbridge Angels
23 Nov 2024National League - South	National League - South	Tonbridge Angels2-0Hemel Hempstead Town
13 Jan 2024National League - South	National League - South	Hemel Hempstead Town2-0Tonbridge Angels
7 Oct 2023National League - South	National League - South	Tonbridge Angels3-3Hemel Hempstead Town
7 Apr 2023National League - South	National League - South	Tonbridge Angels1-1Hemel Hempstead Town
27 Sep 2022National League - South	National League - South	Hemel Hempstead Town1-0Tonbridge Angels
26 Mar 2022National League - South	National League - South	Hemel Hempstead Town4-3Tonbridge Angels

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 19 Oct 18:30 UTC

In the National League - South table, Tonbridge Angels sit 6th with 20 points from 12 games, while Hemel Hempstead Town are 16th with 14 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	12	8	1	3	22:13	+9	25
2	Ebbsfleet United	9	6	3	0	20:4	+16	21
3	Salisbury	11	6	3	2	20:8	+12	21
4	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25:14	+11	21
5	Truro City	11	6	3	2	17:8	+9	21
6	Tonbridge Angels	12	6	2	4	21:11	+10	20
7	Dagenham & Redbridge	12	6	2	4	10:9	+1	20
8	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
9	Dover	11	5	3	3	18:17	+1	18
10	Dorking Wanderers	11	4	5	2	23:17	+6	17
11	Farnham Town	11	5	2	4	17:16	+1	17
12	Folkestone Invicta	12	4	4	4	18:14	+4	16
13	Torquay	11	4	4	3	18:15	+3	16
14	Chelmsford City	10	2	8	0	14:8	+6	14
15	Horsham	11	3	5	3	12:13	-1	14
16	Hemel Hempstead Town	12	3	5	4	10:11	-1	14
17	Farnborough	11	4	2	5	10:17	-7	14
18	Maidenhead	12	3	4	5	13:14	-1	13
19	Chesham United	11	3	1	7	16:24	-8	10
20	Braintree	11	3	1	7	18:27	-9	10
21	AFC Totton	12	3	1	8	9:23	-14	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	11	2	2	7	11:26	-15	8
23	Walton & Hersham	11	2	2	7	10:27	-17	8
24	Slough Town	12	1	1	10	12:31	-19	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.12X27%3.30230%3.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 2.12 -0.9%X3.30 → 3.31 +0.3%23.01 → 3.04 +1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.78	2.01	5.9%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.85	2.02	3.6%
Average	1.75	2.00	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.73	2.23	2.6%
Average	1.62	2.14	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tonbridge Angels 10%Draw 45%Hemel Hempstead Town 45%

The statistical model rated Tonbridge Angels at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hemel Hempstead Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.01, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Tonbridge Angels are 6th (20 pts, 21-11 goals), Hemel Hempstead Town 16th (14 pts, 10-11).

Over their last five matches, Tonbridge Angels averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Hemel Hempstead Town averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hemel Hempstead Town and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.12	3.30	3.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.57	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.62	2.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
2.69	2.17	3.68

2nd half

1	X	2
2.43	2.55	3.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.32	14.2	30.3
HT X	5.37	5.30	7.07
HT 2	25.3	14.3	4.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	13.0	2.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.3
1.5	1.20	3.82
2.5	1.75	2.00
3.5	2.80	1.37
4.5	5.07	1.11
5.5	9.07	1.04
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.98
1	1.03	8.75
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.25	3.38
2	1.31	3.04
2.25	1.51	2.34
2.75	1.89	1.80
3	2.19	1.58
3.25	2.45	1.46
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.50	1.13
4.75	6.10	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.44	1.47
-0.5	2.15	1.69
-0.25	1.85	1.87
0	1.57	2.26
+0.25	1.42	2.60
+0.5	1.36	3.04

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2	7.20	1.03
-1.75	4.95	1.11
-1.5	3.86	1.18
-1.25	3.48	1.22
-1	3.11	1.30
+0.75	1.20	3.68
+1	1.09	5.30
+1.25	1.07	5.75
+1.5	1.06	6.20
+1.75	1.02	8.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.24	3.33
8.5	1.48	2.39
9.5	1.84	1.86
10.5	2.32	1.51
11.5	3.12	1.27
12.5	4.54	1.12
13.5	6.97	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	5.01
7	1.10	4.77
7.25	1.17	3.87
7.75	1.27	3.14
8	1.31	2.97
8.25	1.40	2.61
8.75	1.56	2.24
9	1.63	2.13
9.25	1.75	1.97
9.75	1.96	1.75
10	2.09	1.66
10.25	2.22	1.57
10.75	2.55	1.42
11	2.85	1.34
11.25	3.00	1.30
11.75	3.56	1.21
12	4.16	1.14
12.25	4.35	1.13
12.75	5.31	1.07
13	6.53	1.03
13.25	6.75	1.02

Next National League - South matches

20 Oct

Ebbsfleet United – Horsham

All National League - South fixtures and the table

Latest National League - South results

17 Oct	Ebbsfleet United 6-1 Weston-super-Mare
17 Oct	Folkestone Invicta 2-1 AFC Totton
17 Oct	Maidstone Utd 2-1 Maidenhead
17 Oct	Farnborough 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge
17 Oct	Slough Town 1-2 Horsham
13 Oct	Ebbsfleet United 5-0 AFC Totton