Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham• National League - South, England

#23.0:0.418:45Today · Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet1.0:1.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.48B365X4.40BFR26.611XBMargin at best5.4%Books9Markets87Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.48	4.50	5.80	7.0%
Pinnacle	1.45	4.29	6.46	7.8%
Betano	1.45	4.15	6.30	8.9%
BetVictor	1.44	4.20	6.00	9.9%
1xBet	1.40	4.15	6.61	10.7%
Bet365	1.48	3.80	5.75	11.3%
Betfair	1.36	4.40	6.50	11.6%
William Hill	1.44	3.90	6.00	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.39	4.15	6.30	11.9%
Best of all books	1.48	4.50	6.61	4.9%
Average	1.43	4.17	6.19	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ebbsfleet UnitedHorsham

Last 10#2Table position#152.33Points per game1.2712Form pts · last 573.0Goals for · last 51.00.4Goals against · last 51.675Attack rating2580Defence rating2072Form rating2820H2H rating8081Goals model1961Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 17:20 UTC

Ebbsfleet United

6W 3D 1L · goals 22:7 · per match 2.2 for, 0.7 against

17 Oct	H	Weston-super-Mare	6-1	W
13 Oct	H	AFC Totton	5-0	W
10 Oct	A	Hampton & Richmond	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Folkestone Invicta	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Sholing	1-2	L
29 Sep	A	Slough Town	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Tonbridge Angels	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Maidenhead	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Salisbury	1-1	D
8 Sep	H	Hemel Hempstead Town	0-0	D

Horsham

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Slough Town	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Maidstone Utd	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Plymouth Parkway	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Chelmsford City	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Walton & Hersham	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Chesham United	1-4	L
8 Sep	A	Folkestone Invicta	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Dagenham & Redbridge	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Farnham Town	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Braintree	2-1	W

Head to head

0Ebbsfleet United wins

1draws

1Horsham wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Ebbsfleet United

24 Feb 2026National League - South	National League - South	Horsham1-1Ebbsfleet United
25 Nov 2025National League - South	National League - South	Ebbsfleet United1-2Horsham

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 19 Oct 18:30 UTC

In the National League - South table, Ebbsfleet United sit 2nd with 21 points from 9 games, while Horsham are 15th with 14 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	12	8	1	3	22:13	+9	25
2	Ebbsfleet United	9	6	3	0	20:4	+16	21
3	Salisbury	11	6	3	2	20:8	+12	21
4	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25:14	+11	21
5	Truro City	11	6	3	2	17:8	+9	21
6	Tonbridge Angels	12	6	2	4	21:11	+10	20
7	Dagenham & Redbridge	12	6	2	4	10:9	+1	20
8	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
9	Dover	11	5	3	3	18:17	+1	18
10	Dorking Wanderers	11	4	5	2	23:17	+6	17
11	Farnham Town	11	5	2	4	17:16	+1	17
12	Folkestone Invicta	12	4	4	4	18:14	+4	16
13	Torquay	11	4	4	3	18:15	+3	16
14	Chelmsford City	10	2	8	0	14:8	+6	14
15	Horsham	11	3	5	3	12:13	-1	14
16	Hemel Hempstead Town	12	3	5	4	10:11	-1	14
17	Farnborough	11	4	2	5	10:17	-7	14
18	Maidenhead	12	3	4	5	13:14	-1	13
19	Chesham United	11	3	1	7	16:24	-8	10
20	Braintree	11	3	1	7	18:27	-9	10
21	AFC Totton	12	3	1	8	9:23	-14	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	11	2	2	7	11:26	-15	8
23	Walton & Hersham	11	2	2	7	10:27	-17	8
24	Slough Town	12	1	1	10	12:31	-19	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.43X22%4.12215%6.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.47 → 1.43 -2.7%X4.01 → 4.12 +2.7%25.62 → 6.23 +10.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.21	5.9%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.21	4.1%
Average	1.65	2.11	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.81	1.88	8.4%
BetVictor	1.78	1.91	8.5%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.85	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.80	1.89	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ebbsfleet United 45%Draw 45%Horsham 10%

The statistical model rates Ebbsfleet United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Horsham at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 4.12 | 6.23, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Ebbsfleet United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Ebbsfleet United are 2nd (21 pts, 20-4 goals), Horsham 15th (14 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Ebbsfleet United averaged 3 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Horsham averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Ebbsfleet United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.43	4.17	6.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.57	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
1.91	2.37	6.17

2nd half

1	X	2
1.75	2.75	5.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.08	17.4	51.8
HT X	4.04	6.28	13.1
HT 2	22.3	18.4	11.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	13.1	3.14

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.1
1.5	1.18	4.17
2.5	1.65	2.11
3.5	2.59	1.43
4.5	4.71	1.14
5.5	8.35	1.04
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.40
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.29	3.18
2.25	1.47	2.46
2.75	1.81	1.88
3	2.06	1.66
3.25	2.33	1.51
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.50	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.62	1.42
-1.5	2.19	1.60
-1.25	1.98	1.74
-1	1.71	2.02
-0.75	1.53	2.32
-0.5	1.44	2.64

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.40	1.01
-3.25	6.60	1.07
-3	7.33	1.05
-2.75	5.13	1.12
-2.5	4.00	1.19
-2.25	3.65	1.22
-2	3.34	1.28
-0.25	1.29	3.27
0	1.13	4.97
+0.25	1.10	5.58
+0.5	1.12	6.00
+0.75	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.85
7.5	1.21	3.60
8.5	1.43	2.52
9.5	1.78	1.95
10.5	2.21	1.56
11.5	2.91	1.32
12.5	4.08	1.15
13.5	6.12	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.60
7	1.07	5.34
7.25	1.14	4.26
7.75	1.23	3.44
8	1.25	3.25
8.25	1.34	2.82
8.75	1.48	2.40
9	1.56	2.26
9.25	1.66	2.09
9.75	1.85	1.85
10	1.99	1.73
10.25	2.09	1.66
10.75	2.37	1.50
11	2.61	1.40
11.25	2.76	1.36
11.75	3.24	1.26
12	3.73	1.19
12.25	3.90	1.17
12.75	4.72	1.10
13	5.71	1.06
13.25	5.91	1.05

Latest National League - South results

17 Oct	Ebbsfleet United 6-1 Weston-super-Mare
17 Oct	Folkestone Invicta 2-1 AFC Totton
17 Oct	Maidstone Utd 2-1 Maidenhead
17 Oct	Farnborough 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge
17 Oct	Slough Town 1-2 Horsham
17 Oct	Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town