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Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare• National League - South, England

#22.2:0.46-1FT17/10 · Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet1.4:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80WHX3.71PIN24.20BVCMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets81Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:51 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.763.714.187.7%
BetVictor1.733.604.209.4%
William Hill1.803.404.0010.0%
1xBet1.743.454.1410.6%
Bet3651.753.503.9011.4%
Marathonbet1.723.454.0511.8%
Best of all books1.803.714.206.3%
Average1.753.524.0810.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ebbsfleet UnitedWeston-super-Mare
Last 10#2Table position#82.33Points per game1.5012Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.261Attack rating3975Defence rating2565Form rating350H2H rating10088Goals model1262Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Ebbsfleet United

6W 3D 1L · goals 22:7 · per match 2.2 for, 0.7 against

17 OctHWeston-super-Mare6-1W
13 OctHAFC Totton5-0W
10 OctAHampton & Richmond2-0W
6 OctHFolkestone Invicta1-0W
3 OctHSholing1-2L
29 SepASlough Town1-1D
26 SepATonbridge Angels2-1W
19 SepAMaidenhead3-1W
12 SepHSalisbury1-1D
8 SepHHemel Hempstead Town0-0D

Weston-super-Mare

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

10 OctHFolkestone Invicta1-1D
26 SepAFarnham Town2-3L
22 SepAWimborne Town1-1D
19 SepHWimborne Town1-1D
12 SepHDagenham & Redbridge1-0W
8 SepHAFC Totton3-1W
5 SepAMaidstone Utd0-1L
31 AugHChelmsford City1-1D
29 AugAHemel Hempstead Town3-1W
22 AugHDover2-3L

Head to head

0Ebbsfleet United wins
0draws
2Weston-super-Mare wins

2 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Ebbsfleet United

21 Mar 2026National League - SouthNational League - SouthEbbsfleet United1-3Weston-super-Mare
18 Nov 2025National League - SouthNational League - SouthWeston-super-Mare1-0Ebbsfleet United

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 20 Oct 18:40 UTC

In the National League - South table, Ebbsfleet United sit 2nd with 21 points from 9 games, while Weston-super-Mare are 8th with 18 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Maidstone Utd1281322:13+925
2Ebbsfleet United963020:4+1621
3Salisbury1163220:8+1221
4Billericay Town1163225:14+1121
5Truro City1163217:8+921
6Tonbridge Angels1262421:11+1020
7Dagenham & Redbridge1262410:9+120
8Weston-super-Mare1253420:17+318
9Dover1153318:17+118
10Dorking Wanderers1145223:17+617
11Farnham Town1152417:16+117
12Folkestone Invicta1244418:14+416
13Torquay1144318:15+316
14Chelmsford City1028014:8+614
15Horsham1135312:13-114
16Hemel Hempstead Town1235410:11-114
17Farnborough1142510:17-714
18Maidenhead1234513:14-113
19Chesham United1131716:24-810
20Braintree1131718:27-910
21AFC Totton123189:23-1410
22Hampton & Richmond1122711:26-158
23Walton & Hersham1122710:27-178
24Slough Town12111012:31-194

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.75X26%3.52222%4.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 01:5017 Oct 11:501 1.75X 3.522 4.08
11.78 → 1.75 -1.7%X3.51 → 3.52 +0.3%23.91 → 4.08 +4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.841.975.1%
Bet3651.901.905.3%
1xBet1.791.889.1%
BetVictor1.791.889.1%
Marathonbet1.791.889.1%
Best of all books1.901.973.4%
Average1.821.907.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
1xBet1.721.988.6%
Marathonbet1.721.959.4%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.741.968.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ebbsfleet United 45%Draw 45%Weston-super-Mare 10%

The statistical model rated Ebbsfleet United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Weston-super-Mare at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.52 | 4.06, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Ebbsfleet United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Ebbsfleet United are 2nd (21 pts, 20-4 goals), Weston-super-Mare 8th (18 pts, 20-17).

Over their last five matches, Ebbsfleet United averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Weston-super-Mare averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ebbsfleet United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.753.524.08

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.891.24

Draw no bet

12
1.372.93

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.741.96

1st half

1X2
2.342.184.56

2nd half

1X2
2.162.464.10

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6915.138.7
HT X4.675.308.90
HT 225.015.46.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5911.52.49

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.50
1.51.243.53
2.51.821.90
3.53.051.32
4.56.001.08
5.511.01.04
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
1–9.10
1.251.114.90
1.751.303.11
21.382.74
2.251.592.19
2.752.011.70
32.371.49
3.252.681.39
3.753.581.21
44.951.11
4.255.351.09
4.757.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.781.38
-12.421.50
-0.751.991.73
-0.51.752.01
-0.251.532.32
01.333.00
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-39.901.01
-2.758.571.01
-2.56.501.07
-2.256.081.08
-25.621.10
-1.753.891.20
-1.53.161.30
+0.251.263.45
+0.51.243.90
+0.751.115.28
+11.018.70
+1.251.018.40
+1.51.028.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.82
7.51.283.09
8.51.542.25
9.51.941.76
10.52.481.44
11.53.371.23
12.54.991.09
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.114.58
71.134.34
7.251.213.58
7.751.322.93
81.362.76
8.251.462.46
8.751.632.13
91.722.01
9.251.831.87
9.752.061.68
102.231.57
10.252.361.50
10.752.731.37
113.081.29
11.253.241.26
11.753.881.17
124.601.11
12.254.791.10
12.755.831.05
137.261.01

Latest National League - South results

20 OctEbbsfleet United 2-2 Horsham
17 OctFolkestone Invicta 2-1 AFC Totton
17 OctMaidstone Utd 2-1 Maidenhead
17 OctFarnborough 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge
17 OctSlough Town 1-2 Horsham
17 OctTonbridge Angels 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town