Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United• National League - South, England

#13.0:1.21-0FT07/11 · Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet0.8:3.4#21

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.34PINX5.60DAF28.00BFRMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets97Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 10:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.34	5.26	7.55	6.9%
Dafabet	1.32	5.60	7.40	7.1%
BetVictor	1.29	5.25	8.00	9.1%
Betano	1.34	5.00	6.90	9.1%
William Hill	1.33	4.80	7.50	9.4%
Betfair	1.29	5.00	8.00	10.0%
Bet365	1.33	4.75	7.00	10.5%
1xBet	1.29	4.90	7.85	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.28	4.90	7.50	11.9%
SBO	1.27	4.84	6.76	14.2%
Best of all books	1.34	5.60	8.00	5.0%
Average	1.31	5.03	7.45	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ebbsfleet UnitedChesham United

Last 10#1Table position#212.27Points per game0.7312Form pts · last 523.0Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 53.479Attack rating2174Defence rating2691Form rating950H2H rating5084Goals model1669Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 16:30 UTC

Ebbsfleet United

8W 1D 1L · goals 30:7 · per match 3.0 for, 0.7 against

7 Nov	H	Chesham United	1-0	W
3 Nov	A	Farnborough	6-0	W
31 Oct	A	Truro City	0-3	L
27 Oct	A	Maidstone Utd	3-1	W
24 Oct	H	Maidenhead	4-0	W
20 Oct	H	Horsham	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Weston-super-Mare	6-1	W
13 Oct	H	AFC Totton	5-0	W
10 Oct	A	Hampton & Richmond	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Folkestone Invicta	1-0	W

Chesham United

3W 2D 5L · goals 19:28 · per match 1.9 for, 2.8 against

31 Oct	H	Folkestone Invicta	2-2	D
27 Oct	H	Farnham Town	2-4	L
24 Oct	A	Dagenham & Redbridge	0-2	L
20 Oct	A	Forest Green	0-5	L
17 Oct	H	Forest Green	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Chelmsford City	0-5	L
3 Oct	H	Real Bedford	4-3	W
26 Sep	H	Maidenhead	0-4	L
19 Sep	H	Ware	7-2	W
12 Sep	A	Horsham	4-1	W

Head to head

1Ebbsfleet United wins

0draws

1Chesham United wins

2 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Ebbsfleet United

21 Feb 2026National League - South	National League - South	Chesham United4-1Ebbsfleet United
22 Nov 2025National League - South	National League - South	Ebbsfleet United2-1Chesham United

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 8 Nov 15:02 UTC

In the National League - South table, Ebbsfleet United sit 1st with 34 points from 15 games, while Chesham United are 21st with 11 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	15	10	4	1	36:10	+26	34
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	28:19	+9	32
3	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27:12	+15	30
4	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	32:20	+12	29
5	Salisbury	14	8	4	2	25:10	+15	28
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	34:23	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	34:18	+16	26
8	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	15:13	+2	25
9	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	28:19	+9	24
10	Chelmsford City	15	5	9	1	23:15	+8	24
11	Horsham	16	5	7	4	23:19	+4	22
12	Dover	14	6	4	4	20:19	+1	22
13	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	25:22	+3	21
14	Torquay	14	5	5	4	22:17	+5	20
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22:18	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	17:29	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	13:33	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	15:20	-5	16
19	Braintree	15	5	1	9	22:38	-16	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	16	3	6	7	15:24	-9	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	20:33	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	19:37	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	11:36	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	18:40	-22	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.30X18%5.03212%7.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.32 → 1.31 -0.8%X4.89 → 5.03 +2.9%26.91 → 7.45 +7.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.51	7.0%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Betano	1.47	2.45	8.8%
BetVictor	1.46	2.46	9.1%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.60	5.1%
Average	1.46	2.49	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.75	1.97	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ebbsfleet United 45%Draw 45%Chesham United 10%

The statistical model rated Ebbsfleet United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chesham United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.30 | 5.03 | 7.45, which imply roughly 76.9% for a Ebbsfleet United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Ebbsfleet United are 1st (34 pts, 36-10 goals), Chesham United 21st (11 pts, 20-33).

Over their last five matches, Ebbsfleet United averaged 3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Chesham United averaged 0.8 scored and 3.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Ebbsfleet United and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.31	5.03	7.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.10	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	5.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
1.71	2.67	6.58

2nd half

1	X	2
1.59	3.10	6.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.80	18.3	50.1
HT X	4.18	8.26	16.3
HT 2	18.8	18.9	13.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.31	19.6	3.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.5
1.5	1.12	5.18
2.5	1.46	2.49
3.5	2.15	1.63
4.5	3.52	1.24
5.5	6.26	1.08
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.0
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.15	4.20
2.25	1.31	3.05
2.75	1.56	2.25
3	1.71	2.00
3.25	1.93	1.78
3.75	2.42	1.48
4	2.82	1.36
4.25	3.09	1.28
4.75	4.11	1.16
5	5.35	1.09
5.25	5.65	1.08
6	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.68	1.41
-2	2.44	1.48
-1.75	2.08	1.67
-1.5	1.87	1.86
-1.25	1.65	2.10
-1	1.45	2.52

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.65	1.01
-4	9.00	1.01
-3.75	5.87	1.09
-3.5	5.33	1.11
-3.25	4.97	1.13
-3	4.60	1.14
-2.75	3.52	1.24
-2.5	2.91	1.35
-0.75	1.37	2.85
-0.5	1.32	3.30
-0.25	1.19	4.01
0	1.09	6.05
+0.25	1.10	6.80
+0.75	1.01	8.82

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.48
7.5	1.17	3.91
8.5	1.37	2.71
9.5	1.67	2.07
10.5	2.08	1.64
11.5	2.70	1.37
12.5	3.72	1.19
13.5	5.47	1.07

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.22
7	1.05	5.95
7.25	1.11	4.68
7.75	1.19	3.74
8	1.21	3.54
8.25	1.29	3.04
8.75	1.42	2.56
9	1.48	2.43
9.25	1.58	2.21
9.75	1.76	1.95
10	1.88	1.86
10.25	1.97	1.74
10.75	2.23	1.57
11	2.44	1.47
11.25	2.56	1.42
11.75	2.98	1.31
12	3.39	1.23
12.25	3.56	1.21
12.75	4.26	1.14
13	5.08	1.08
13.25	5.28	1.08
13.75	5.67	1.06
14	6.98	1.02

Next National League - South matches

9 Nov	Chelmsford City – Ebbsfleet United
10 Nov	Salisbury – Braintree
10 Nov	Hemel Hempstead Town – Torquay

All National League - South fixtures and the table

Latest National League - South results

7 Nov	Chelmsford City 2-1 Farnborough
7 Nov	Farnham Town 3-1 Tonbridge Angels
7 Nov	Hampton & Richmond 1-1 Maidenhead
7 Nov	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Maidstone Utd
7 Nov	Dagenham & Redbridge 2-2 Billericay Town
7 Nov	Horsham 2-3 AFC Totton