Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United• National League - South, England

#101.8:1.419:45Today · Melbourne Stadium2.8:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.70BVCX3.76PIN21.91BFRMargin at best6.0%Books10Markets79Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Nov 12:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.55	3.70	1.94	6.7%
Pinnacle	3.59	3.75	1.90	7.2%
Betano	3.55	3.65	1.87	9.0%
BetVictor	3.70	3.70	1.80	9.6%
1xBet	3.53	3.54	1.85	10.6%
Betfair	3.60	3.60	1.80	11.1%
William Hill	3.50	3.50	1.85	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.45	3.54	1.83	11.9%
Bet365	3.50	3.60	1.80	11.9%
SBO	3.26	3.25	1.81	16.7%
Best of all books	3.70	3.75	1.94	5.2%
Average	3.52	3.58	1.84	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chelmsford CityEbbsfleet United

Last 10#10Table position#11.60Points per game2.2710Form pts · last 5121.8Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 50.839Attack rating6136Defence rating6445Form rating550H2H rating10026Goals model7432Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 16:30 UTC

Chelmsford City

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

7 Nov	H	Farnborough	2-1	W
2 Nov	H	Farnham Town	0-2	L
31 Oct	A	AFC Totton	3-1	W
27 Oct	A	Dover	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Tonbridge Angels	3-3	D
17 Oct	A	Wimborne Town	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Chesham United	5-0	W
3 Oct	A	Brackley Town	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Horsham	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Canvey Island	1-0	W

Ebbsfleet United

8W 1D 1L · goals 30:7 · per match 3.0 for, 0.7 against

7 Nov	H	Chesham United	1-0	W
3 Nov	A	Farnborough	6-0	W
31 Oct	A	Truro City	0-3	L
27 Oct	A	Maidstone Utd	3-1	W
24 Oct	H	Maidenhead	4-0	W
20 Oct	H	Horsham	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Weston-super-Mare	6-1	W
13 Oct	H	AFC Totton	5-0	W
10 Oct	A	Hampton & Richmond	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Folkestone Invicta	1-0	W

Head to head

1Chelmsford City wins

2draws

5Ebbsfleet United wins

8 meetings · goals 3:8 · last 8: 1W 2D 5L for Chelmsford City

20 Dec 2025National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City0-1Ebbsfleet United
19 Aug 2025National League - South	National League - South	Ebbsfleet United1-0Chelmsford City
25 Feb 2023National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City0-1Ebbsfleet United
17 Jan 2023National League - South	National League - South	Ebbsfleet United2-0Chelmsford City
7 May 2022National League - South	National League - South	Ebbsfleet United2-1Chelmsford City
30 Aug 2021National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City0-0Ebbsfleet United
29 Sep 2015FA Cup	FA Cup	Ebbsfleet United1-2Chelmsford City
26 Sep 2015FA Cup	FA Cup	Chelmsford City0-0Ebbsfleet United

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 9 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the National League - South table, Chelmsford City sit 10th with 24 points from 15 games, while Ebbsfleet United are 1st with 34 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	15	10	4	1	36:10	+26	34
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	28:19	+9	32
3	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27:12	+15	30
4	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	32:20	+12	29
5	Salisbury	14	8	4	2	25:10	+15	28
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	34:23	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	34:18	+16	26
8	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	15:13	+2	25
9	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	28:19	+9	24
10	Chelmsford City	15	5	9	1	23:15	+8	24
11	Horsham	16	5	7	4	23:19	+4	22
12	Dover	14	6	4	4	20:19	+1	22
13	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	25:22	+3	21
14	Torquay	14	5	5	4	22:17	+5	20
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22:18	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	17:29	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	13:33	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	15:20	-5	16
19	Braintree	15	5	1	9	22:38	-16	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	16	3	6	7	15:24	-9	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	20:33	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	19:37	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	11:36	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	18:40	-22	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.53X25%3.59249%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.61	2.24	6.8%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.60	2.19	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.54	2.29	8.6%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.25	9.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.55	2.27	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chelmsford City 10%Draw 45%Ebbsfleet United 45%

The statistical model rates Chelmsford City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ebbsfleet United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.53 | 3.59 | 1.86, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Chelmsford City are 10th (24 pts, 23-15 goals), Ebbsfleet United 1st (34 pts, 36-10).

Over their last five matches, Chelmsford City averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ebbsfleet United averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ebbsfleet United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.52	3.58	1.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.83	1.23	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.70	1.41

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
3.92	2.31	2.34

2nd half

1	X	2
3.63	2.65	2.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.92	13.7	19.8
HT X	8.35	6.08	4.96
HT 2	30.5	13.7	2.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.31	15.1	1.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.6
1.5	1.18	4.28
2.5	1.60	2.19
3.5	2.46	1.48
4.5	4.32	1.17
5.5	7.75	1.05
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.30
1.25	1.07	5.75
1.75	1.19	3.81
2	1.26	3.35
2.25	1.42	2.59
2.75	1.73	1.98
3	1.95	1.74
3.25	2.20	1.58
3.75	2.85	1.35
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.91	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.72	1.40
+0.25	2.16	1.61
+0.5	1.92	1.84
+0.75	1.68	2.07
+1	1.46	2.47
+1.25	1.37	2.82

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.82	1.01
-1.5	7.30	1.05
-1.25	6.55	1.05
-1	6.43	1.07
-0.75	4.35	1.16
-0.5	3.55	1.27
-0.25	2.97	1.34
+1.5	1.30	3.09
+1.75	1.21	3.80
+2	1.11	5.28
+2.25	1.14	5.75
+2.5	1.08	6.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.88
7.5	1.28	3.11
8.5	1.55	2.24
9.5	1.96	1.76
10.5	2.46	1.45
11.5	3.39	1.23
12.5	4.92	1.09
13.5	6.45	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.64
7	1.13	4.40
7.25	1.20	3.62
7.75	1.31	2.96
8	1.35	2.79
8.25	1.45	2.48
8.75	1.62	2.14
9	1.74	2.01
9.25	1.82	1.89
9.75	2.05	1.69
10	2.21	1.59
10.25	2.34	1.51
10.75	2.70	1.38
11	3.04	1.29
11.25	3.20	1.26
11.75	3.82	1.18
12	4.53	1.12
12.25	4.72	1.10
12.75	5.80	1.05
13	7.23	1.01
13.25	6.24	1.04

Next National League - South matches

10 Nov	Salisbury – Braintree
10 Nov	Hemel Hempstead Town – Torquay

All National League - South fixtures and the table

Latest National League - South results

7 Nov	Chelmsford City 2-1 Farnborough
7 Nov	Farnham Town 3-1 Tonbridge Angels
7 Nov	Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Chesham United
7 Nov	Hampton & Richmond 1-1 Maidenhead
7 Nov	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Maidstone Utd
7 Nov	Dagenham & Redbridge 2-2 Billericay Town