Chelmsford City vs Farnborough• National League - South, England

#102.4:1.22-1FT07/110.8:2.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53WHX4.50DAF25.201XBMargin at best6.8%Books10Markets90Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 10:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.53	4.46	5.12	7.3%
Dafabet	1.53	4.50	5.00	7.6%
Betano	1.53	4.20	5.00	9.2%
BetVictor	1.50	4.33	5.00	9.8%
William Hill	1.53	4.00	5.00	10.4%
1xBet	1.48	4.20	5.20	10.6%
Betfair	1.47	4.40	5.00	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.47	4.20	5.00	11.8%
Bet365	1.50	4.10	4.75	12.1%
SBO	1.45	4.03	4.79	14.7%
Best of all books	1.53	4.50	5.20	6.8%
Average	1.50	4.24	4.99	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chelmsford CityFarnborough

Last 10#10Table position#171.60Points per game1.0610Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 52.875Attack rating2570Defence rating3063Form rating3829H2H rating7158Goals model4256Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 16:30 UTC

Chelmsford City

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

7 Nov	H	Farnborough	2-1	W
2 Nov	H	Farnham Town	0-2	L
31 Oct	A	AFC Totton	3-1	W
27 Oct	A	Dover	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Tonbridge Angels	3-3	D
17 Oct	A	Wimborne Town	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Chesham United	5-0	W
3 Oct	A	Brackley Town	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Horsham	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Canvey Island	1-0	W

Farnborough

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:25 · per match 0.8 for, 2.5 against

3 Nov	H	Ebbsfleet United	0-6	L
31 Oct	H	Horsham	0-5	L
28 Oct	H	Weston-super-Mare	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Folkestone Invicta	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Dagenham & Redbridge	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Billericay Town	0-4	L
26 Sep	A	Walton & Hersham	2-2	D
22 Sep	H	Uxbridge	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Uxbridge	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Dover	0-1	L

Head to head

4Chelmsford City wins

1draws

3Farnborough wins

8 meetings · goals 15:17 · last 8: 4W 1D 3L for Chelmsford City

25 Mar 2026National League - South	National League - South	Farnborough4-2Chelmsford City
1 Sep 2025National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City2-5Farnborough
8 Feb 2025National League - South	National League - South	Farnborough3-4Chelmsford City
19 Oct 2024National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City1-2Farnborough
27 Feb 2024National League - South	National League - South	Farnborough1-1Chelmsford City
5 Aug 2023National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City1-0Farnborough
7 Apr 2023National League - South	National League - South	Chelmsford City3-2Farnborough
27 Sep 2022National League - South	National League - South	Farnborough0-1Chelmsford City

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 9 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the National League - South table, Chelmsford City sit 10th with 24 points from 15 games, while Farnborough are 17th with 17 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	15	10	4	1	36:10	+26	34
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	28:19	+9	32
3	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27:12	+15	30
4	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	32:20	+12	29
5	Salisbury	14	8	4	2	25:10	+15	28
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	34:23	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	34:18	+16	26
8	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	15:13	+2	25
9	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	28:19	+9	24
10	Chelmsford City	15	5	9	1	23:15	+8	24
11	Horsham	16	5	7	4	23:19	+4	22
12	Dover	14	6	4	4	20:19	+1	22
13	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	25:22	+3	21
14	Torquay	14	5	5	4	22:17	+5	20
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22:18	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	17:29	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	13:33	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	15:20	-5	16
19	Braintree	15	5	1	9	22:38	-16	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	16	3	6	7	15:24	-9	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	20:33	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	19:37	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	11:36	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	18:40	-22	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.50X21%4.25218%4.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.42 → 1.50 +5.6%X4.47 → 4.24 -5.1%25.50 → 4.99 -9.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.45	2.63	7.0%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.45	2.50	9.0%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.45	2.75	5.3%
Average	1.43	2.59	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Betano	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.34	9.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.52	2.35	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chelmsford City 45%Draw 45%Farnborough 10%

The statistical model rated Chelmsford City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Farnborough at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.25 | 4.98, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Chelmsford City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Chelmsford City are 10th (24 pts, 23-15 goals), Farnborough 17th (17 pts, 13-33).

Over their last five matches, Chelmsford City averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Farnborough averaged 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Chelmsford City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.50	4.24	4.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.37	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.35

1st half

1	X	2
1.95	2.52	4.88

2nd half

1	X	2
1.80	2.94	4.61

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.17	14.9	38.2
HT X	4.53	7.27	11.5
HT 2	18.2	15.7	8.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.43	20.0	2.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.5
1.5	1.11	5.44
2.5	1.43	2.59
3.5	2.10	1.66
4.5	3.44	1.25
5.5	6.18	1.08
6.5	9.50	1.04
7.5	14.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.0
1.75	1.10	5.05
2	1.13	4.55
2.25	1.27	3.15
2.75	1.52	2.32
3	1.67	2.05
3.25	1.90	1.81
3.75	2.37	1.50
4	2.85	1.35
4.25	3.15	1.27
4.75	4.20	1.15
5	5.65	1.08
5.25	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.70	1.40
-1.5	2.30	1.54
-1.25	2.06	1.67
-1	1.82	1.91
-0.75	1.62	2.15
-0.5	1.50	2.44

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.20	1.02
-3	7.27	1.05
-2.75	5.13	1.12
-2.5	4.03	1.19
-2.25	3.69	1.22
-2	3.33	1.27
-0.25	1.35	2.91
0	1.19	3.99
+0.25	1.16	4.43
+0.5	1.17	5.00
+0.75	1.07	6.57
+1	1.03	8.40
+1.5	1.02	9.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.04	6.21
7.5	1.18	3.83
8.5	1.39	2.65
9.5	1.75	1.96
10.5	2.10	1.63
11.5	2.76	1.36
12.5	3.86	1.17
13.5	5.73	1.06
14.5	7.28	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.05	5.95
7	1.06	5.69
7.25	1.12	4.50
7.75	1.20	3.61
8	1.23	3.42
8.25	1.31	2.95
8.75	1.45	2.49
9	1.50	2.38
9.25	1.61	2.16
9.75	1.80	1.91
10	1.89	1.82
10.25	2.02	1.71
10.75	2.29	1.54
11	2.47	1.46
11.25	2.64	1.40
11.75	3.08	1.28
12	3.52	1.21
12.25	3.70	1.19
12.75	4.44	1.12
13	5.33	1.07
13.25	5.53	1.06
13.75	5.58	1.06
14	6.85	1.02
14.25	7.06	1.01

Next National League - South matches

9 Nov	Chelmsford City – Ebbsfleet United
10 Nov	Salisbury – Braintree
10 Nov	Hemel Hempstead Town – Torquay

All National League - South fixtures and the table

Latest National League - South results

7 Nov	Farnham Town 3-1 Tonbridge Angels
7 Nov	Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Chesham United
7 Nov	Hampton & Richmond 1-1 Maidenhead
7 Nov	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 Maidstone Utd
7 Nov	Dagenham & Redbridge 2-2 Billericay Town
7 Nov	Horsham 2-3 AFC Totton