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VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II• Regionalliga - Nord, Germany

#91.8:1.24-1FT17/10 · Lubeck2.2:1.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.061XBX3.841XB23.13PINMargin at best6.5%Books4Markets44Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.023.593.139.3%
1xBet2.063.842.7411.1%
William Hill2.003.503.0011.9%
Marathonbet1.963.583.0012.3%
Best of all books2.063.843.136.5%
Average2.013.632.9711.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VfB LübeckSt. Pauli II
Last 10#9Table position#171.29Points per game0.7711Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 52.21.2Goals against · last 51.445Attack rating5554Defence rating4665Form rating3562H2H rating3853Goals model4757Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

VfB Lübeck

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against

12 OctASSV Jeddeloh2-1W
2 OctHEimsbütteler TV0-0D
25 SepHTodesfelde3-2W
19 SepHBremer SV2-1W
16 SepAHannover 96 II2-2D
12 SepHHSC Hannover1-1D
6 SepAEintracht Norderstedt1-1D
29 AugHSV Drochtersen/Assel2-3L
26 AugHHamburger SV II1-3L
15 AugAPhönix Lübeck0-4L

St. Pauli II

3W 1D 6L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

11 OctHHSC Hannover3-4L
26 SepHKickers Emden0-2L
19 SepASV Drochtersen/Assel0-1L
16 SepAHamburger SV II3-0W
13 SepHEintracht Norderstedt5-0W
4 SepAHannover 96 II2-3L
30 AugHPhönix Lübeck2-2D
26 AugASchöningen2-3L
16 AugHWerder Bremen II2-1W
12 AugASSV Jeddeloh0-2L

Head to head

5VfB Lübeck wins
3draws
2St. Pauli II wins

10 meetings · goals 17:10 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for VfB Lübeck

29 Nov 2025Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordSt. Pauli II1-1VfB Lübeck
28 Oct 2025Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordVfB Lübeck1-1St. Pauli II
14 Dec 2024Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordVfB Lübeck2-0St. Pauli II
29 Oct 2024Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordSt. Pauli II1-3VfB Lübeck
19 Mar 2023Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordSt. Pauli II2-1VfB Lubeck
18 Sep 2022Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordVfB Lubeck1-1St. Pauli II
16 Oct 2021Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordSt. Pauli II1-0VfB Lubeck
13 Aug 2021Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordVfB Lubeck3-0St. Pauli II
14 Feb 2020Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordSt. Pauli II1-2VfB Lubeck
17 Aug 2019Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - NordVfB Lubeck3-2St. Pauli II

Regionalliga - Nord tableRegionalliga: Northupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Regionalliga - Nord table, VfB Lübeck sit 9th with 18 points from 14 games, while St. Pauli II are 17th with 10 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Weiche Flensburg14111243:14+2934
2Hannover 96 II1493232:18+1430
3SV Drochtersen/Assel1491443:21+2228
4Phönix Lübeck1383236:12+2427
5VfB Oldenburg1281337:17+2025
6Schöningen1473422:24-224
7Atlas Delmenhorst1354419:20-119
8Kickers Emden1454534:38-419
9VfB Lübeck1446420:23-318
10HSC Hannover1344521:29-816
11Eimsbütteler TV1342721:35-1414
12Eintracht Norderstedt1234524:31-713
13Hamburger SV II1241718:26-813
14SSV Jeddeloh1441922:36-1413
15Werder Bremen II1333718:23-512
16Todesfelde1332821:42-2111
17St. Pauli II1331924:29-510
18Bremer SV132299:26-178

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.01X25%3.63230%2.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 17:301 2.01X 3.652 2.94
12.05 → 2.01 -2.0%X3.96 → 3.65 -7.8%22.70 → 2.94 +8.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.462.567.6%
1xBet1.462.469.1%
Marathonbet1.422.4910.6%
Best of all books1.462.567.6%
Average1.452.509.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.432.559.1%
William Hill1.402.629.6%
Marathonbet1.402.609.9%
Best of all books1.432.628.1%
Average1.412.599.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

VfB Lübeck 45%Draw 45%St. Pauli II 10%

The statistical model rated VfB Lübeck at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and St. Pauli II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.63 | 2.97, which imply roughly 49.8% for a VfB Lübeck win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - Nord table: VfB Lübeck are 9th (18 pts, 20-23 goals), St. Pauli II 17th (10 pts, 24-29).

Over their last five matches, VfB Lübeck averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; St. Pauli II averaged 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : VfB Lübeck or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.013.632.97

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.641.20

Draw no bet

12
1.572.25

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.412.59

1st half

1X2
2.452.463.32

2nd half

1X2
2.352.673.17

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.0213.327.0
HT X5.406.307.70
HT 220.513.55.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6818.52.11

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.105.05
2.51.452.50
3.52.161.62
4.53.431.24
5.55.901.07
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.124.65
21.154.25
2.251.283.05
2.751.542.28
31.712.00
3.251.901.81
3.752.371.50
43.021.32
4.253.081.28
4.754.101.16
55.351.09
5.255.651.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.871.35
-0.752.251.55
-0.52.011.76
-0.251.761.95
01.562.27
+0.251.402.66
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.251.06
-25.651.08
-1.754.151.16
-1.53.341.24
-1.253.041.29
+0.51.333.07
+0.751.213.58
+11.114.95
+1.251.095.30
+1.51.085.70
+1.751.037.30

Latest Regionalliga - Nord results

18 OctHSC Hannover 1-1 Todesfelde
18 OctHamburger SV II 1-2 VfB Oldenburg
17 OctKickers Emden 2-2 Phönix Lübeck
17 OctSSV Jeddeloh 3-2 Werder Bremen II
17 OctHannover 96 II 4-2 Schöningen
16 OctWeiche Flensburg 3-0 SV Drochtersen/Assel