Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck• Regionalliga - Nord, Germany

#82.0:2.82-2FTToday4.0:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.071XBX4.10PIN21.69PINMargin at best8.1%Books4Markets55Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L55.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.91	4.10	1.69	9.1%
1xBet	4.07	3.98	1.64	10.7%
William Hill	4.00	3.80	1.67	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.98	3.98	1.62	12.0%
Best of all books	4.07	4.10	1.69	8.1%
Average	3.99	3.96	1.66	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kickers EmdenPhönix Lübeck

Last 10#8Table position#41.36Points per game2.086Form pts · last 5122.0Goals for · last 54.02.8Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6730Defence rating7033Form rating6729H2H rating7149Goals model5134Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Kickers Emden

4W 2D 4L · goals 23:24 · per match 2.3 for, 2.4 against

11 Oct	A	VfB Oldenburg	0-4	L
3 Oct	H	Todesfelde	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	St. Pauli II	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Schöningen	5-0	W
15 Sep	A	SV Drochtersen/Assel	2-8	L
12 Sep	H	SSV Jeddeloh	4-1	W
6 Sep	A	Bremer SV	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Hannover 96 II	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Atlas Delmenhorst	3-3	D
15 Aug	H	Eimsbütteler TV	2-3	L

Phönix Lübeck

7W 1D 2L · goals 33:12 · per match 3.3 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	H	Eintracht Norderstedt	4-1	W
3 Oct	A	Hannover 96 II	2-3	L
19 Sep	A	Weiche Flensburg	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Todesfelde	9-0	W
12 Sep	A	Eimsbütteler TV	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Werder Bremen II	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	HSC Hannover	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	St. Pauli II	2-2	D
23 Aug	H	SC Paderborn 07	2-4	L
15 Aug	H	VfB Lübeck	4-0	W

Head to head

1Kickers Emden wins

1draws

4Phönix Lübeck wins

6 meetings · goals 4:13 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Kickers Emden

6 Apr 2026Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Phönix Lübeck2-0Kickers Emden
30 Aug 2025Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Kickers Emden1-3Phönix Lübeck
9 Nov 2024Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Kickers Emden0-3Phönix Lübeck
3 Sep 2024Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Phönix Lübeck1-1Kickers Emden
2 Apr 2023Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Phönix Lübeck1-2Kickers Emden
1 Oct 2022Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Kickers Emden0-3Phönix Lübeck

Regionalliga - Nord tableRegionalliga: Northupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Regionalliga - Nord table, Kickers Emden sit 8th with 19 points from 14 games, while Phönix Lübeck are 4th with 27 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weiche Flensburg	14	11	1	2	43:14	+29	34
2	Hannover 96 II	14	9	3	2	32:18	+14	30
3	SV Drochtersen/Assel	14	9	1	4	43:21	+22	28
4	Phönix Lübeck	13	8	3	2	36:12	+24	27
5	VfB Oldenburg	12	8	1	3	37:17	+20	25
6	Schöningen	14	7	3	4	22:24	-2	24
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	5	4	4	19:20	-1	19
8	Kickers Emden	14	5	4	5	34:38	-4	19
9	VfB Lübeck	14	4	6	4	20:23	-3	18
10	HSC Hannover	13	4	4	5	21:29	-8	16
11	Eimsbütteler TV	13	4	2	7	21:35	-14	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	3	4	5	24:31	-7	13
13	Hamburger SV II	12	4	1	7	18:26	-8	13
14	SSV Jeddeloh	14	4	1	9	22:36	-14	13
15	Werder Bremen II	13	3	3	7	18:23	-5	12
16	Todesfelde	13	3	2	8	21:42	-21	11
17	St. Pauli II	13	3	1	9	24:29	-5	10
18	Bremer SV	13	2	2	9	9:26	-17	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.99X23%3.97255%1.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.57 → 3.99 +11.8%X4.37 → 3.97 -9.2%21.66 → 1.66 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Best of all books	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Average	1.32	2.88	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.36	2.82	9.0%
William Hill	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.75	9.9%
Best of all books	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Average	1.36	2.79	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kickers Emden 10%Draw 45%Phönix Lübeck 45%

The statistical model rated Kickers Emden at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Phönix Lübeck at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.99 | 3.97 | 1.66, which imply roughly 25.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - Nord table: Kickers Emden are 8th (19 pts, 34-38 goals), Phönix Lübeck 4th (27 pts, 36-12).

Over their last five matches, Kickers Emden averaged 2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Phönix Lübeck averaged 4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Phönix Lübeck and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.99	3.97	1.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.01	1.17	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
3.00	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.36	2.79

1st half

1	X	2
4.09	2.53	2.12

2nd half

1	X	2
3.84	2.96	1.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.75	15.0	19.1
HT X	9.90	7.00	4.80
HT 2	34.0	14.5	2.36

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.42	23.0	1.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.5
1.5	1.05	6.45
2.5	1.32	2.88
3.5	1.88	1.82
4.5	2.92	1.31
5.5	5.20	1.10

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.0
1.75	1.07	5.95
2	1.08	5.45
2.25	1.20	3.68
2.75	1.39	2.65
3	1.49	2.35
3.25	1.69	2.02
3.75	2.09	1.65
4	2.42	1.47
4.25	2.67	1.39
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	4.55	1.13
5.25	4.85	1.11
6	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.40	1.47
+0.5	2.13	1.68
+0.75	1.86	1.83
+1	1.64	2.10
+1.25	1.49	2.36
+1.5	1.40	2.63

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1.25	6.55	1.05
-1	7.50	1.03
-0.75	5.05	1.10
-0.25	3.33	1.26
0	3.08	1.30
+1.75	1.28	3.08
+2	1.17	4.00
+2.25	1.14	4.39
+2.5	1.12	4.75
+2.75	1.06	6.00
+3	1.01	8.60
+3.5	1.02	9.00