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Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü• 1. Lig, Turkey

#131.4:1.41-2FTToday · Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul1.4:0.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.43PINX3.56PIN22.70WHMargin at best6.3%Books10Markets78Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 08:51 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.453.602.755.0%
Dafabet2.383.452.806.7%
Betano2.373.402.758.0%
BetVictor2.303.402.709.9%
William Hill2.403.302.6210.1%
Bet3652.303.302.7010.8%
Betfair2.303.402.6310.9%
1xBet2.333.302.5911.8%
Marathonbet2.333.302.5911.8%
SBO2.213.112.6515.1%
Best of all books2.453.602.804.3%
Average2.343.362.689.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü
Last 10#13Table position#41.18Points per game1.825Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5022Defence rating7836Form rating6460H2H rating4045Goals model5543Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Fatih Karagümrük

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

15 OctAMardin 19690-1L
11 OctHMuğlaspor1-1D
3 OctAKasımpaşa1-2L
19 SepAEsenler Erokspor2-0W
13 SepHManisa F.K.1-1D
6 SepABatman Petrolspor3-4L
2 SepHKayserispor1-1D
29 AugAİstanbulspor1-1D
21 AugHBursaspor2-1W
15 AugHÜmraniyespor2-1W

Keçiörengücü

5W 5D 0L · goals 17:6 · per match 1.7 for, 0.6 against

14 OctHIğdır FK0-0D
9 OctABodrum FK2-0W
3 OctAGençlerbirliği S.K.1-0W
19 SepHSivasspor1-1D
12 SepAVanspor FK1-1D
5 SepHSarıyer3-0W
1 SepABoluspor2-0W
28 AugHÜmraniyespor2-2D
23 AugABandırmaspor1-1D
16 AugHPendikspor4-1W

Head to head

4Fatih Karagümrük wins
1draws
3Keçiörengücü wins

8 meetings · goals 10:12 · last 8: 4W 1D 3L for Fatih Karagümrük

27 Apr 20251. Lig1. LigFatih Karagümrük1-0Keçiörengücü
22 Dec 20241. Lig1. LigKeçiörengücü0-1Fatih Karagümrük
12 Jul 20201. Lig1. LigKeçiörengücü3-0Fatih Karagümrük
22 Dec 20191. Lig1. LigFatih Karagümrük0-2Keçiörengücü
29 Apr 20172. Lig2. LigKeçiörengücü2-3Fatih Karagümrük
17 Dec 20162. Lig2. LigFatih Karagümrük1-2Keçiörengücü
31 Jan 20152. Lig2. LigFatih Karagümrük2-2Keçiörengücü
20 Sep 20142. Lig2. LigKeçiörengücü1-2Fatih Karagümrük

1. Lig tableLig Aupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the 1. Lig table, Fatih Karagümrük sit 13th with 13 points from 11 games, while Keçiörengücü are 4th with 20 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Kayserispor1182124:7+1726
2Iğdır FK1172215:8+723
3Bursaspor1071220:9+1122
4Keçiörengücü1155121:11+1020
5Batman Petrolspor1162322:19+320
6Mardin 19691053212:6+618
7Antalyaspor1160517:17018
8Sarıyer1144314:15-116
9Muğlaspor1136213:14-115
10Bandırmaspor1135316:8+814
11Bodrum FK1135313:10+314
12Sivasspor1127215:14+113
13Fatih Karagümrük1134414:15-113
14Ümraniyespor102449:10-110
15Manisa F.K.1124518:20-210
16Pendikspor1024412:19-710
17Esenler Erokspor101636:11-59
18Vanspor FK1123610:22-127
19İstanbulspor111289:26-175
20Boluspor100193:22-191

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.28X27%3.36233%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 00:0118 Oct 00:001 2.36X 3.362 2.65
12.31 → 2.36 +2.2%X3.36 → 3.36 0.0%22.74 → 2.65 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.812.034.5%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
SBO1.752.036.4%
Betano1.752.007.1%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.741.949.0%
BetVictor1.741.949.0%
Marathonbet1.741.949.0%
Best of all books1.812.034.5%
Average1.761.987.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.256.9%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
Betano1.622.187.6%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.602.188.4%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.149.2%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.612.188.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fatih Karagümrük 10%Draw 45%Keçiörengücü 45%

The statistical model rated Fatih Karagümrük at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Keçiörengücü at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.36 | 2.77, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Lig table: Fatih Karagümrük are 13th (13 pts, 14-15 goals), Keçiörengücü 4th (20 pts, 21-11).

Over their last five matches, Fatih Karagümrük averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Keçiörengücü averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Keçiörengücü.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Fatih Karagümrük

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Stanojević

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Silvestri

Defence

  • 25M. Sarıkaya
  • 4D. Biraschi
  • 28A. Çınar
  • 21Candan Baskale

Midfield

  • 19Y. Onogo
  • 20M. Siopis
  • 41J. Esen
  • 5E. Akbaba
  • 26Traore Ahmed

Attack

  • 9C. Tosun
Substitutes (10)
  • 14Marius Tresor Doh
  • 27Muhammed Kadioglu
  • 7Baris Kalayci
  • 33Ç. Kurukalıp
  • 72A. Pešić
  • 8D. Toköz
  • 22R. Civelek
  • 6R. Yalçın
  • 11T. Çukur
  • 23B. Şen

Keçiörengücü

4-2-3-1

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Erdoğan

Defence

  • 12M. Keskin
  • 3Wellington Nascimento
  • 4A. Çelik
  • 33S. Luş

Midfield

  • 14İ. Akdağ
  • 6E. Develi
  • 7O. Roshi
  • 20Alcídio Raice
  • 21F. Ezeh

Attack

  • 55M. Diouf
Substitutes (10)
  • 37D. Aksu
  • 22H. Ayan
  • 16Oğuzhan Ayaydın
  • 45Herculano Nabian
  • 9Ö. Demirel
  • 77M. Fofana
  • 10Jefferson
  • 18E. Satılmış
  • 19Enes Yilmaz
  • 5O. Çalışkan

Match Statistics

Fatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü
2.11Expected Goals1.7
563Passes accurate250
14Shots insidebox8
9Shots outsidebox5
8Blocked Shots2
15Free Kicks14
6Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves5
9Shots off Goal7
3Offsides3
629Total passes319
23Total Shots13
3Yellow Cards3
4Corner Kicks1
14Fouls16
0Red Cards0
66%Ball Possession34%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.343.362.68

Double chance

1XX212
1.401.511.27

Draw no bet

12
1.732.01

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.612.18

1st half

1X2
2.932.193.27

2nd half

1X2
2.672.492.96

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7313.126.4
HT X5.835.376.41
HT 224.413.54.40

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8512.52.01

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.8
1.51.223.85
2.51.761.98
3.52.851.37
4.55.471.12
5.59.821.05
6.518.81.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.90
11.028.30
1.251.105.20
1.751.253.29
21.352.88
2.251.552.28
2.751.961.76
32.281.56
3.252.581.44
3.753.431.23
44.701.12
4.255.101.10
4.757.001.04
58.401.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.801.38
-0.52.341.57
-0.252.041.71
01.761.98
+0.251.542.33
+0.51.442.70
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.851.02
-28.451.04
-1.756.131.08
-1.54.631.15
-1.254.181.19
-13.791.22
+0.751.303.28
+11.164.61
+1.251.125.17
+1.51.105.58
+1.751.037.30
+21.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.29
6.51.124.44
7.51.362.79
8.51.702.02
9.52.121.65
10.52.621.40
11.53.631.21
12.55.481.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.98
61.017.21
6.251.075.42
6.751.144.22
71.163.99
7.251.243.32
7.751.362.75
81.442.58
8.251.522.32
8.751.702.02
91.831.91
9.251.911.79
9.752.171.60
102.381.51
10.252.501.44
10.752.921.32
113.331.24
11.253.501.22
11.754.221.14
125.081.08
12.255.281.07

Latest 1. Lig results

19 OctEsenler Erokspor 4-2 Mardin 1969
19 OctBursaspor 2-0 Pendikspor
19 OctManisa F.K. 3-4 Muğlaspor
18 Octİstanbulspor 0-2 Antalyaspor
18 OctKayserispor 2-2 Batman Petrolspor
18 OctVanspor FK 0-2 Ümraniyespor