Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969• 1. Lig, Turkey

#160.8:1.617:0019/10 · Esenler Stadium, Istanbul0.8:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00WHX3.40BTN23.72PINMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets79Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.97	3.42	3.71	7.0%
William Hill	2.00	3.20	3.70	8.3%
BetVictor	1.93	3.40	3.60	9.0%
1xBet	1.92	3.26	3.59	10.6%
Bet365	1.90	3.30	3.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.90	3.26	3.50	11.9%
Best of all books	2.00	3.42	3.71	6.2%
Average	1.94	3.31	3.60	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Esenler EroksporMardin 1969

Last 10#16Table position#50.90Points per game1.805Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5027Defence rating7336Form rating6480H2H rating207Goals model9347Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Esenler Erokspor

1W 6D 3L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

15 Oct	A	Manisa F.K.	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	İstanbulspor	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Fatih Karagümrük	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Bursaspor	2-2	D
7 Sep	H	Kayserispor	0-3	L
3 Sep	A	Bodrum FK	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Iğdır FK	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Ümraniyespor	1-1	D
14 Aug	H	Sarıyer	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Sivasspor	0-0	D

Mardin 1969

5W 3D 2L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against

15 Oct	H	Fatih Karagümrük	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Bursaspor	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Kayserispor	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Iğdır FK	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Bodrum FK	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	Sivasspor	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Vanspor FK	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Boluspor	3-0	W
16 Aug	H	Antalyaspor	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Ümraniyespor	0-0	D

Head to head

1Esenler Erokspor wins

1draws

0Mardin 1969 wins

2 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Esenler Erokspor

26 Feb 20223. Lig - Group 3	3. Lig - Group 3	Esenler Erokspor3-0Mardin 1969
13 Oct 20213. Lig - Group 3	3. Lig - Group 3	Mardin 19691-1Esenler Erokspor

1. Lig tableLig Aupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the 1. Lig table, Esenler Erokspor sit 16th with 9 points from 10 games, while Mardin 1969 are 5th with 18 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kayserispor	10	8	1	1	22:5	+17	25
2	Bursaspor	10	7	1	2	20:9	+11	22
3	Iğdır FK	10	6	2	2	14:8	+6	20
4	Batman Petrolspor	10	6	1	3	20:17	+3	19
5	Mardin 1969	10	5	3	2	12:6	+6	18
6	Keçiörengücü	10	4	5	1	19:10	+9	17
7	Sarıyer	11	4	4	3	14:15	-1	16
8	Antalyaspor	10	5	0	5	15:17	-2	15
9	Bandırmaspor	10	3	5	2	15:6	+9	14
10	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	15:14	+1	13
11	Fatih Karagümrük	10	3	4	3	13:13	0	13
12	Muğlaspor	10	2	6	2	9:11	-2	12
13	Bodrum FK	10	2	5	3	11:9	+2	11
14	Manisa F.K.	10	2	4	4	15:16	-1	10
15	Pendikspor	10	2	4	4	12:19	-7	10
16	Esenler Erokspor	10	1	6	3	6:11	-5	9
17	Ümraniyespor	9	1	4	4	7:10	-3	7
18	Vanspor FK	10	2	3	5	10:20	-10	7
19	İstanbulspor	10	1	2	7	9:24	-15	5
20	Boluspor	9	0	1	8	3:21	-18	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.95X28%3.31225%3.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.97 → 1.95 -1.0%X3.28 → 3.31 +0.9%23.49 → 3.59 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.92	5.6%
BetVictor	1.85	1.82	9.0%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.92	4.7%
Average	1.87	1.85	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.74	1.96	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.93	9.3%
Best of all books	1.74	2.05	6.3%
Average	1.73	1.99	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Esenler Erokspor 10%Draw 45%Mardin 1969 45%

The statistical model rates Esenler Erokspor at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mardin 1969 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.31 | 3.59, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Lig table: Esenler Erokspor are 16th (9 pts, 6-11 goals), Mardin 1969 5th (18 pts, 12-6).

Over their last five matches, Esenler Erokspor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Mardin 1969 averaged 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mardin 1969 and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.94	3.31	3.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.74	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.43	2.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.54	2.15	4.22

2nd half

1	X	2
2.31	2.42	3.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.02	14.0	34.7
HT X	4.87	5.13	8.00
HT 2	24.3	14.7	6.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.68	9.70	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.32
1.5	1.27	3.38
2.5	1.87	1.85
3.5	3.15	1.31
4.5	6.16	1.09
5.5	12.3	1.04
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.15	4.31
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.43	2.57
2.25	1.65	2.09
2.75	2.10	1.63
3	2.50	1.45
3.25	2.84	1.34
3.75	3.84	1.18
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	5.50	1.08
5	9.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.77	1.38
-0.75	2.20	1.59
-0.5	1.94	1.82
-0.25	1.67	2.07
0	1.42	2.65
+0.25	1.32	3.12

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.00	1.04
-2.25	6.73	1.07
-2	6.37	1.08
-1.75	4.37	1.16
-1.5	3.48	1.26
-1.25	3.13	1.31
+0.5	1.27	3.62
+0.75	1.15	4.45
+1	1.05	6.60
+1.25	1.04	7.10
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.53
6.5	1.17	3.92
7.5	1.39	2.65
8.5	1.71	2.01
9.5	2.17	1.60
10.5	2.91	1.32
11.5	4.30	1.13
12.5	6.65	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.25
6	1.05	5.96
6.25	1.11	4.60
6.75	1.20	3.62
7	1.23	3.42
7.25	1.32	2.92
7.75	1.46	2.45
8	1.52	2.38
8.25	1.64	2.11
8.75	1.85	1.85
9	1.94	1.80
9.25	2.10	1.65
9.75	2.41	1.48
10	2.61	1.43
10.25	2.83	1.34
10.75	3.36	1.24
11	3.92	1.17
11.25	4.11	1.15
11.75	5.03	1.09
12	6.21	1.04
12.25	6.43	1.03