Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport• First Amateur Division, Belgium

2.3:1.01-1FT30/092.0:2.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22BTNX4.241XB22.92PINMargin at best2.9%Books7Markets38Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 03:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.22	3.50	2.82	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.12	3.60	2.92	9.2%
1xBet	2.08	3.52	2.91	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.75	2.90	11.1%
Betfair	2.00	3.75	2.90	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	3.52	2.84	12.2%
William Hill	2.10	3.30	2.80	13.6%
Best of all books	2.22	3.75	2.92	6.0%
Average	2.08	3.56	2.87	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MerelbekeDessel Sport

Last 105Form pts · last 572.3Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 52.553Attack rating4771Defence rating2956Form rating447H2H rating9392Goals model851Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Merelbeke

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Knokke	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Mandel United	0-2	L
4 Oct	A	Tienen	0-0	D
30 Sep	H	Dessel Sport	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	AS Eupen	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Harelbeke	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Spouwen-Mopertingen	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Cercle Brugge II	3-1	W
28 Aug	A	Hoogstraten	3-2	W
8 Aug	H	K. Lierse S.K.	0-2	L

Dessel Sport

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:20 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	H	Spouwen-Mopertingen	3-4	L
10 Oct	A	Roeselare Daisel	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Harelbeke	4-0	W
30 Sep	A	Merelbeke	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Cercle Brugge II	3-1	W
11 Sep	A	Houtvenne	0-5	L
5 Sep	H	Hoogstraten	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Tienen	4-3	W
26 Apr	A	Sporting Hasselt	0-1	L
18 Apr	H	Cercle Brugge II	2-2	D

Head to head

0Merelbeke wins

1draws

4Dessel Sport wins

5 meetings · goals 4:13 · last 5: 0W 1D 4L for Merelbeke

31 Jan 2026First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport2-1Merelbeke
22 Nov 2025First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Merelbeke1-1Dessel Sport
25 Jan 2025First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Merelbeke1-5Dessel Sport
9 Nov 2024First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport3-1Merelbeke
24 Aug 2024Cup	Cup	Merelbeke0-2Dessel Sport

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.22X25%3.56235%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.08 → 2.08 0.0%X3.56 → 3.67 +3.1%22.87 → 2.81 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.56	7.6%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Betano	1.45	2.37	11.2%
Best of all books	1.50	2.56	5.7%
Average	1.45	2.48	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
Betano	1.39	2.57	10.9%
Best of all books	1.40	2.69	8.6%
Average	1.39	2.63	9.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Merelbeke 35%Draw 35%Dessel Sport 30%

The statistical model rated Merelbeke at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Dessel Sport at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.56 | 2.58, which imply roughly 45% for a Merelbeke win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Merelbeke averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Dessel Sport averaged 2 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Merelbeke and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.08	3.56	2.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.62	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.63

1st half

1	X	2
2.55	2.38	3.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	17.4	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.13	4.63
2.5	1.45	2.48
3.5	2.10	1.63
4.5	3.35	1.24
5.5	5.70	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.15	4.30
2.25	1.28	3.05
2.75	1.54	2.27
3	1.68	2.02
3.25	1.91	1.79
3.75	2.37	1.48
4	2.89	1.34
4.25	3.14	1.27
5	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.37	1.49
-0.5	2.11	1.69
-0.25	1.85	1.87
0	1.60	2.18
+0.25	1.44	2.49
+0.5	1.38	2.86

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2	6.40	1.05
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.28	1.25
-1	2.97	1.32
+0.75	1.23	3.42
+1	1.12	4.70
+1.5	1.08	5.50
+2.5	1.01	9.80

Next First Amateur Division matches

23 Oct	Spouwen-Mopertingen – Thes Sport
24 Oct	Houtvenne – Merelbeke
24 Oct	Dessel Sport – Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
24 Oct	RWDM – Albert Quévy-Mons
24 Oct	Rochefort – Olympic Charleroi
24 Oct	Roeselare Daisel – Knokke

All First Amateur Division fixtures and the table

Latest First Amateur Division results

21 Oct	Albert Quévy-Mons 2-0 Rochefort
21 Oct	Heist 4-0 Tienen
18 Oct	Knokke 0-3 Merelbeke
18 Oct	Standard Liège II 1-0 Flénu
18 Oct	Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4-1 Harelbeke
17 Oct	Thes Sport 2-2 Cercle Brugge II