Rochefort vs Standard Liège II• First Amateur Division, Belgium

#22.2:1.41-0FT03/100.0:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.621XBX4.541XB25.00BFRMargin at best3.8%Books6Markets45Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 17:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.52	4.78	5.40	5.2%
Pinnacle	1.48	4.22	5.62	9.1%
Betano	1.52	4.05	5.30	9.3%
Betfair	1.47	4.20	5.00	11.8%
Bet365	1.60	3.90	4.20	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.45	4.10	5.30	12.2%
Best of all books	1.60	4.78	5.62	1.2%
Average	1.51	4.21	5.14	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RochefortStandard Liège II

Last 10#2Table position#72.13Points per game1.2511Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 50.01.4Goals against · last 50.8100Attack rating030Defence rating7089Form rating1191H2H rating9100Goals model069Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Rochefort

6W 3D 1L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Meux	3-0	W
3 Oct	H	Standard Liège II	1-0	W
30 Sep	A	RWDM	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	K. Lierse S.K.	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Sporting Charleroi II	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Onhaye	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Tubize	4-1	W
29 Aug	H	Habay-la-Neuve	4-2	W
26 Aug	A	Union Saint-Gilloise II	2-0	W
1 Aug	H	Excelsior Virton	2-2	D

Standard Liège II

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	H	Onhaye	4-1	W
7 Oct	H	Albert Quévy-Mons	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Rochefort	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Union Saint-Gilloise II	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Habay-la-Neuve	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Meux	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Tubize	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Olympic Charleroi	5-0	W
10 May	H	Crossing Schaerbeek	1-1	D
3 May	A	Sporting Charleroi II	2-0	W

Head to head

3Rochefort wins

1draws

0Standard Liège II wins

4 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Rochefort

15 Feb 2026First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Standard Liège II0-1Rochefort
18 Oct 2025First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Rochefort2-2Standard Liège II
14 Dec 2024First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Standard Liège II1-2Rochefort
15 Sep 2024First Amateur Division	First Amateur Division	Rochefort1-0Standard Liège II

First Amateur Division tableNational Division 1updated 17 Oct 08:31 UTC

In the First Amateur Division table, Rochefort sit 2nd with 17 points from 8 games, while Standard Liège II are 7th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	RWDM	8	6	1	1	13:7	+6	19
2	Rochefort	8	5	2	1	17:7	+10	17
3	Meux	8	5	1	2	15:8	+7	16
4	Union Saint-Gilloise II	8	4	2	2	15:10	+5	14
5	Tubize	8	4	2	2	11:10	+1	14
6	Albert Quévy-Mons	8	3	2	3	18:15	+3	11
7	Standard Liège II	8	3	1	4	12:7	+5	10
8	Sporting Charleroi II	8	2	4	2	9:8	+1	10
9	Olympic Charleroi	8	2	3	3	10:17	-7	9
10	Onhaye	8	2	0	6	10:20	-10	6
11	Habay-la-Neuve	8	1	3	4	7:12	-5	6
12	Flénu	8	0	1	7	10:26	-16	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.59X22%4.06220%4.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.58 +4.6%X4.21 → 4.13 -1.9%25.14 → 4.54 -11.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.57	2.36	6.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.33	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Betano	1.53	2.20	10.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.36	1.2%
Average	1.58	2.25	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.06	9.9%
Betano	1.60	2.05	11.3%
Best of all books	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Average	1.62	2.07	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rochefort 45%Draw 45%Standard Liège II 10%

The statistical model rated Rochefort at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Standard Liège II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 4.06 | 4.45, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Rochefort win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First Amateur Division table: Rochefort are 2nd (17 pts, 17-7 goals), Standard Liège II 7th (10 pts, 12-7).

Over their last five matches, Rochefort averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Standard Liège II averaged 0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Rochefort and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.51	4.21	5.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.33	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
2.04	2.40	5.09

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	16.3	2.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.15	4.39
2.5	1.58	2.25
3.5	2.33	1.52
4.5	3.84	1.19
5.5	6.65	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.05
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.39	2.76
2.75	1.67	2.03
3	1.89	1.82
3.25	2.14	1.64
3.75	2.74	1.37
4	3.42	1.23
4.25	3.68	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.69	1.38
-1.5	2.29	1.52
-1.25	2.04	1.67
-1	1.80	1.91
-0.75	1.64	2.13
-0.5	1.46	2.56

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.00	1.02
-3	7.30	1.03
-2.5	4.10	1.16
-2.25	3.42	1.23
-2	3.33	1.25
-0.25	1.31	3.00
0	1.15	4.20
+0.25	1.12	4.70