Næsby vs Holbæk B&I• 3. Division, Denmark

#51.8:1.212:00Tomorrow · ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense2.4:1.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.15DAFX3.80BFR22.05DAFMargin at best6.8%Books6Markets40Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.15	3.65	2.05	7.9%
Betfair	2.90	3.80	2.00	10.8%
1xBet	2.93	3.70	2.01	10.9%
Bet365	3.00	3.75	1.95	11.3%
Betano	2.95	3.65	2.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.86	3.70	1.99	12.2%
Best of all books	3.15	3.80	2.05	6.8%
Average	2.96	3.71	2.00	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NæsbyHolbæk B&I

Last 10#5Table position#11.50Points per game2.178Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 51.643Attack rating5757Defence rating4344Form rating5662H2H rating3856Goals model4453Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Næsby

4W 2D 4L · goals 22:16 · per match 2.2 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	H	Vanløse	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Frem	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Holstebro	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Ringsted	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	FC Helsingor	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	AC Horsens	2-3	L
13 Sep	A	ASA Aarhus	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Hørsholm-Usserød	4-3	W
29 Aug	A	Holbæk B&I	2-3	L
25 Aug	A	Munkebo	5-0	W

Holbæk B&I

7W 1D 2L · goals 26:15 · per match 2.6 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	H	Holstebro	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Vanløse	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	ASA Aarhus	2-1	W
25 Sep	A	FC Helsingor	1-5	L
18 Sep	H	Ringsted	5-2	W
13 Sep	A	Hørsholm-Usserød	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Ishøj	4-0	W
29 Aug	H	Næsby	3-2	W
21 Aug	A	Brønshøj	4-1	W
15 Aug	H	Sundby	2-1	W

Head to head

5Næsby wins

3draws

5Holbæk B&I wins

13 meetings · goals 25:28 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Næsby

29 Aug 20263. Division	3. Division	Holbæk B&I3-2Næsby
7 Mar 20263. Division	3. Division	Holbæk B&I1-2Næsby
4 Oct 20253. Division	3. Division	Næsby2-0Holbæk B&I
24 May 20253. Division	3. Division	Holbæk B&I2-2Næsby
3 May 20253. Division	3. Division	Næsby3-3Holbæk B&I
15 Mar 20253. Division	3. Division	Holbæk B&I4-0Næsby
21 Sep 20243. Division	3. Division	Næsby2-3Holbæk B&I
18 May 20243. Division	3. Division	Næsby3-2Holbæk B&I
27 Apr 20243. Division	3. Division	Holbæk B&I3-2Næsby
10 Mar 20243. Division	3. Division	Næsby0-3Holbæk B&I

3. Division table3rd Divisionupdated 23 Oct 00:03 UTC

In the 3. Division table, Næsby sit 5th with 18 points from 12 games, while Holbæk B&I are 1st with 26 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Holbæk B&I	12	8	2	2	30:18	+12	26
2	Brønshøj	12	7	4	1	26:13	+13	25
3	Vanløse	12	5	6	1	18:11	+7	21
4	FC Helsingor	12	6	2	4	20:16	+4	20
5	Næsby	12	5	3	4	22:18	+4	18
6	Hørsholm-Usserød	12	4	4	4	25:22	+3	16
7	ASA Aarhus	12	5	1	6	16:18	-2	16
8	Ishøj	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14
9	Frem	12	3	4	5	20:20	0	13
10	Sundby	12	4	1	7	18:20	-2	13
11	Holstebro	12	4	1	7	18:30	-12	13
12	Ringsted	12	1	2	9	16:35	-19	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%2.97X24%3.71245%2.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Average	1.43	2.53	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.40	2.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Best of all books	1.40	2.66	9.0%
Average	1.40	2.63	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Næsby 45%Draw 45%Holbæk B&I 10%

The statistical model rates Næsby at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Holbæk B&I at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.97 | 3.71 | 2.00, which imply roughly 33.7% for a Næsby win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division table: Næsby are 5th (18 pts, 22-18 goals), Holbæk B&I 1st (26 pts, 30-18).

Over their last five matches, Næsby averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Holbæk B&I averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Næsby or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.97	3.71	2.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.66	1.32	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
2.25	1.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.63

1st half

1	X	2
3.35	2.42	2.49

2nd half

1	X	2
3.11	2.76	2.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.63	13.0	19.3
HT X	7.43	6.93	5.60
HT 2	23.3	13.3	3.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	19.5	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	17.0
1.5	1.11	5.50
2.5	1.43	2.53
3.5	2.11	1.61
4.5	3.50	1.22
5.5	7.00	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.15	4.30
2.25	1.28	3.05
2.75	1.52	2.25
3	1.68	1.97
3.25	1.90	1.75
3.75	2.42	1.46
4	2.92	1.31
4.25	3.20	1.26
5	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.50	1.42
0	2.23	1.55
+0.25	1.91	1.78
+0.5	1.70	1.91
+0.75	1.51	2.29
+1	1.33	2.83

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.70	1.08
-1	4.85	1.11
-0.75	3.42	1.23
+1.25	1.27	3.14
+1.5	1.22	3.50
+2	1.06	6.20
+2.5	1.04	6.95

Next 3. Division matches

23 Oct	Frem – FC Helsingor
23 Oct	Sundby – Brønshøj
24 Oct	Ringsted – Ishøj
24 Oct	Vanløse – ASA Aarhus
24 Oct	Holstebro – Hørsholm-Usserød

All 3. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 3. Division results

17 Oct	ASA Aarhus 1-2 Sundby
17 Oct	Brønshøj 4-1 Ringsted
17 Oct	Hørsholm-Usserød 1-1 Frem
17 Oct	Næsby 2-2 Vanløse
17 Oct	Holbæk B&I 4-0 Holstebro
17 Oct	Ishøj 1-0 FC Helsingor