Næsby vs Vanløse• 3. Division, Denmark

#51.4:1.02-2FT17/10 · ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense0.8:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X3.60BVC23.591XBMargin at best5.6%Books6Markets42Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.91	3.51	3.54	9.1%
BetVictor	1.95	3.60	3.30	9.4%
1xBet	1.85	3.45	3.59	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.50	3.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.83	3.45	3.50	12.2%
William Hill	1.95	3.10	3.30	13.8%
Best of all books	2.00	3.60	3.59	5.6%
Average	1.91	3.44	3.37	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NæsbyVanløse

Last 10#5Table position#31.55Points per game1.827Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 50.464Attack rating3629Defence rating7144Form rating5650H2H rating5060Goals model4048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Næsby

5W 1D 4L · goals 25:15 · per match 2.5 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	A	Frem	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Holstebro	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Ringsted	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	FC Helsingor	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	AC Horsens	2-3	L
13 Sep	A	ASA Aarhus	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Hørsholm-Usserød	4-3	W
29 Aug	A	Holbæk B&I	2-3	L
25 Aug	A	Munkebo	5-0	W
22 Aug	A	Ishøj	5-1	W

Vanløse

5W 5D 0L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	Næsby	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Holbæk B&I	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Sundby	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Brønshøj	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Hørsholm-Usserød	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Ishøj	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Hillerød	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Holstebro	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Frem	2-2	D
25 Aug	A	Allerød	4-1	W

Head to head

5Næsby wins

4draws

4Vanløse wins

13 meetings · goals 14:14 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Næsby

8 Aug 20263. Division	3. Division	Vanløse3-0Næsby
25 May 20263. Division	3. Division	Vanløse0-2Næsby
25 Apr 20263. Division	3. Division	Næsby1-1Vanløse
2 Apr 20263. Division	3. Division	Vanløse2-0Næsby
23 Aug 20253. Division	3. Division	Næsby1-0Vanløse
18 Nov 20233. Division	3. Division	Vanløse0-1Næsby
7 Oct 20233. Division	3. Division	Næsby1-1Vanløse
10 Jun 20233. Division	3. Division	Vanløse1-1Næsby
6 May 20233. Division	3. Division	Næsby0-2Vanløse
22 Oct 20223. Division	3. Division	Vanløse2-2Næsby

3. Division table3rd Divisionupdated 17 Oct 14:52 UTC

In the 3. Division table, Næsby sit 5th with 17 points from 11 games, while Vanløse are 3rd with 20 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Holbæk B&I	11	7	2	2	26:18	+8	23
2	Brønshøj	11	6	4	1	22:12	+10	22
3	Vanløse	11	5	5	1	16:9	+7	20
4	FC Helsingor	11	6	2	3	20:15	+5	20
5	Næsby	11	5	2	4	20:16	+4	17
6	ASA Aarhus	11	5	1	5	15:16	-1	16
7	Hørsholm-Usserød	11	4	3	4	24:21	+3	15
8	Holstebro	11	4	1	6	18:26	-8	13
9	Frem	11	3	3	5	19:19	0	12
10	Ishøj	11	3	2	6	12:21	-9	11
11	Sundby	11	3	1	7	16:19	-3	10
12	Ringsted	11	1	2	8	15:31	-16	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.92X26%3.44227%3.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.42 → 1.92 -20.7%X3.44 → 3.44 0.0%22.47 → 3.37 +36.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.16	6.5%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
BetVictor	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.16	4.1%
Average	1.66	2.10	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Average	1.55	2.25	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Næsby 35%Draw 35%Vanløse 30%

The statistical model rated Næsby at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Vanløse at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.44 | 3.37, which imply roughly 52.1% for a Næsby win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 3. Division table: Næsby are 5th (17 pts, 20-16 goals), Vanløse 3rd (20 pts, 16-9).

Over their last five matches, Næsby averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Vanløse averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Næsby or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.92	3.44	3.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.72	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.52	2.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.42	2.25	3.95

2nd half

1	X	2
2.18	2.57	3.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.94	15.3	29.0
HT X	5.15	6.05	8.10
HT 2	20.0	16.3	5.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	13.1	2.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.9
1.5	1.17	4.13
2.5	1.66	2.10
3.5	2.61	1.42
4.5	4.88	1.12
5.5	9.50	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.70
1.75	1.20	3.72
2	1.26	3.34
2.25	1.46	2.48
2.75	1.80	1.88
3	2.05	1.66
3.25	2.30	1.53
3.75	2.94	1.33
4	3.96	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.64	1.40
-0.75	2.15	1.60
-0.5	1.92	1.81
-0.25	1.68	2.06
0	1.49	2.49
+0.5	1.35	2.91

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.75	1.04
-2	5.90	1.07
-1.5	3.28	1.25
-1.25	2.90	1.33
+0.25	1.32	2.97
+0.75	1.13	4.50
+1	1.04	6.85
+1.25	1.13	4.61
+1.5	1.02	7.90
+2.5	1.01	9.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.85	1.95
9.5	2.10	1.67

Latest 3. Division results

17 Oct	ASA Aarhus 1-2 Sundby
17 Oct	Brønshøj 4-1 Ringsted
17 Oct	Hørsholm-Usserød 1-1 Frem
17 Oct	Holbæk B&I 4-0 Holstebro
17 Oct	Ishøj 1-0 FC Helsingor
10 Oct	Holstebro 2-4 Brønshøj