ASA Aarhus vs Sundby• 3. Division, Denmark

#71.2:2.01-2FT17/101.6:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.97PINX3.60B36523.25B365Margin at best9.3%Books6Markets42Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.95	3.60	3.30	9.4%
Pinnacle	1.98	3.63	3.08	10.5%
1xBet	1.94	3.58	3.18	10.9%
Bet365	1.90	3.60	3.25	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	3.58	3.10	12.3%
William Hill	1.95	3.30	3.10	13.8%
Best of all books	1.98	3.63	3.30	8.4%
Average	1.94	3.55	3.17	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ASA AarhusSundby

Last 10#7Table position#101.33Points per game1.083Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.243Attack rating5738Defence rating6350Form rating500H2H rating10080Goals model2053Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

ASA Aarhus

3W 0D 7L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	H	Sundby	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	FC Helsingor	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Holbæk B&I	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Hørsholm-Usserød	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Brønshøj	1-5	L
13 Sep	H	Næsby	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Sundby	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Holstebro	4-0	W
22 Aug	A	Frem	1-3	L
19 Aug	H	Randers FC	0-4	L

Sundby

5W 0D 5L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	ASA Aarhus	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Ishøj	2-3	L
3 Oct	H	Vanløse	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Frem	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Holstebro	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	FC Helsingor	1-2	L
10 Sep	H	FC Midtjylland	0-7	L
5 Sep	H	ASA Aarhus	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Ringsted	0-2	L
25 Aug	A	Frederikssund	3-2	W

Head to head

0ASA Aarhus wins

0draws

1Sundby wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for ASA Aarhus

5 Sep 20263. Division

3. Division

Sundby1-0ASA Aarhus

3. Division table3rd Divisionupdated 23 Oct 00:03 UTC

In the 3. Division table, ASA Aarhus sit 7th with 16 points from 12 games, while Sundby are 10th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Holbæk B&I	12	8	2	2	30:18	+12	26
2	Brønshøj	12	7	4	1	26:13	+13	25
3	Vanløse	12	5	6	1	18:11	+7	21
4	FC Helsingor	12	6	2	4	20:16	+4	20
5	Næsby	12	5	3	4	22:18	+4	18
6	Hørsholm-Usserød	12	4	4	4	25:22	+3	16
7	ASA Aarhus	12	5	1	6	16:18	-2	16
8	Ishøj	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14
9	Frem	12	3	4	5	20:20	0	13
10	Sundby	12	4	1	7	18:20	-2	13
11	Holstebro	12	4	1	7	18:30	-12	13
12	Ringsted	12	1	2	9	16:35	-19	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.94X25%3.56228%3.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.72 → 1.94 +12.8%X3.72 → 3.53 -5.1%23.92 → 3.14 -19.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.26	8.4%
BetVictor	1.57	2.21	8.9%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.26	6.0%
Average	1.57	2.23	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.38	8.7%
1xBet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.31	10.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Average	1.50	2.36	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ASA Aarhus 10%Draw 45%Sundby 45%

The statistical model rated ASA Aarhus at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sundby at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.56 | 3.18, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division table: ASA Aarhus are 7th (16 pts, 16-18 goals), Sundby 10th (13 pts, 18-20).

Over their last five matches, ASA Aarhus averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sundby averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sundby.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.94	3.55	3.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.72	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.46	2.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
2.42	2.34	3.65

2nd half

1	X	2
2.31	2.60	3.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.10	15.0	27.0
HT X	5.55	6.20	7.90
HT 2	20.0	15.0	5.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	15.8	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.0
1.5	1.14	4.45
2.5	1.57	2.23
3.5	2.38	1.48
4.5	4.27	1.16
5.5	8.50	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.18	3.90
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.39	2.66
2.75	1.69	1.99
3	1.90	1.77
3.25	2.15	1.60
3.75	2.78	1.35
4	3.50	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.71	1.38
-0.75	2.16	1.62
-0.5	1.95	1.80
-0.25	1.71	1.98
0	1.49	2.39
+0.25	1.38	2.69

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.55	1.05
-2	5.90	1.07
-1.75	3.48	1.22
-1.5	3.34	1.24
-1.25	3.04	1.30
+0.75	1.19	3.74
+1	1.09	5.35
+1.5	1.06	6.15
+2.5	1.02	9.00

Next 3. Division matches

23 Oct	Frem – FC Helsingor
23 Oct	Sundby – Brønshøj
24 Oct	Ringsted – Ishøj
24 Oct	Næsby – Holbæk B&I
24 Oct	Vanløse – ASA Aarhus
24 Oct	Holstebro – Hørsholm-Usserød

All 3. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 3. Division results

17 Oct	Næsby 2-2 Vanløse
17 Oct	Hørsholm-Usserød 1-1 Frem
17 Oct	Brønshøj 4-1 Ringsted
17 Oct	Ishøj 1-0 FC Helsingor
17 Oct	Holbæk B&I 4-0 Holstebro
10 Oct	Holstebro 2-4 Brønshøj