Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld• 2. Bundesliga, Germany

#170.8:0.612:00Tomorrow · Holstein-Stadion, Kiel1.6:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.48PINX3.60BTN22.89PINMargin at best2.7%Books6Markets65Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.50	3.31	2.91	4.6%
1xBet	2.42	3.32	2.77	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.42	3.32	2.77	7.5%
BetVictor	2.38	3.40	2.70	8.5%
Bet365	2.35	3.40	2.70	9.0%
William Hill	2.40	3.20	2.75	9.3%
Best of all books	2.50	3.40	2.91	3.8%
Average	2.41	3.32	2.77	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Holstein KielArminia Bielefeld

Last 10#17Table position#70.80Points per game1.405Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6763Defence rating3833Form rating6715H2H rating8572Goals model2842Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:03 UTC

Holstein Kiel

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	A	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	0-1	L
28 Oct	H	1899 Hoffenheim	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Dynamo Dresden	3-0	W
16 Oct	H	Hertha BSC	0-0	D
9 Oct	A	Eintracht Braunschweig	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Viborg	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	VfL Osnabrück	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	1. FC Heidenheim	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	1. FC Nürnberg	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	1. FC Magdeburg	0-2	L

Arminia Bielefeld

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

30 Oct	H	Eintracht Braunschweig	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Hertha BSC	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	VfL Osnabrück	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	VfL Bochum	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Rot-Weiß Essen	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	1. FC Heidenheim	2-2	D
11 Sep	A	SV Darmstadt 98	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	FC St. Pauli	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	1. FC Nürnberg	1-4	L
22 Aug	A	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2-2	D

Head to head

2Holstein Kiel wins

3draws

8Arminia Bielefeld wins

13 meetings · goals 16:24 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Holstein Kiel

23 Jan 20262. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Arminia Bielefeld2-2Holstein Kiel
10 Aug 20252. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Holstein Kiel0-2Arminia Bielefeld
2 Apr 20232. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Holstein Kiel2-3Arminia Bielefeld
14 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Arminia Bielefeld2-1Holstein Kiel
17 Sep 20222. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Arminia Bielefeld4-2Holstein Kiel
30 May 20202. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Holstein Kiel1-2Arminia Bielefeld
3 Nov 20192. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Arminia Bielefeld2-1Holstein Kiel
19 May 20192. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Arminia Bielefeld1-0Holstein Kiel
14 Dec 20182. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Holstein Kiel1-2Arminia Bielefeld
1 Apr 20182. Bundesliga	2. Bundesliga	Arminia Bielefeld1-1Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga table2. Bundesligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the 2. Bundesliga table, Holstein Kiel sit 17th with 8 points from 10 games, while Arminia Bielefeld are 7th with 14 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	10	9	1	0	23:8	+15	28
2	1. FC Nürnberg	10	6	3	1	24:13	+11	21
3	VfL Wolfsburg	10	5	4	1	25:14	+11	19
4	1. FC Kaiserslautern	10	5	3	2	9:7	+2	18
5	1. FC Magdeburg	10	5	2	3	21:13	+8	17
6	1. FC Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	17:18	-1	15
7	Arminia Bielefeld	10	4	2	4	16:15	+1	14
8	FC St. Pauli	10	2	6	2	12:12	0	12
9	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	10	3	3	4	13:16	-3	12
10	VfL Osnabrück	10	3	2	5	14:17	-3	11
11	VfL Bochum	10	3	2	5	8:11	-3	11
12	Hannover 96	10	3	2	5	10:16	-6	11
13	Karlsruher SC	10	3	2	5	13:21	-8	11
14	Energie Cottbus	10	2	4	4	18:20	-2	10
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	10	3	1	6	16:18	-2	10
16	SV Darmstadt 98	10	2	3	5	9:19	-10	9
17	Holstein Kiel	10	1	5	4	10:12	-2	8
18	Dynamo Dresden	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.41X27%3.38234%2.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.40 → 2.41 +0.4%X3.43 → 3.38 -1.5%22.72 → 2.73 +0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.85	2.01	3.8%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.75	2.01	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.75	2.01	6.9%
BetVictor	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Best of all books	1.85	2.01	3.8%
Average	1.78	1.99	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.20	8.7%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.23	6.6%
Average	1.60	2.20	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Holstein Kiel 10%Draw 45%Arminia Bielefeld 45%

The statistical model rates Holstein Kiel at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Arminia Bielefeld at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.41 | 3.38 | 2.73, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Bundesliga table: Holstein Kiel are 17th (8 pts, 10-12 goals), Arminia Bielefeld 7th (14 pts, 16-15).

Over their last five matches, Holstein Kiel averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Arminia Bielefeld averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Arminia Bielefeld.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.41	3.33	2.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.53	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.98	2.22	3.29

2nd half

1	X	2
2.64	2.51	2.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.88	13.8	30.0
HT X	5.90	5.20	6.50
HT 2	27.7	14.0	4.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	12.4	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.6
1.5	1.22	3.82
2.5	1.78	1.99
3.5	2.89	1.36
4.5	5.56	1.11
5.5	11.3	1.02
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.60
1.25	1.09	5.25
1.75	1.27	3.25
2	1.35	2.94
2.25	1.56	2.29
2.75	1.95	1.77
3	2.26	1.56
3.25	2.49	1.45
3.75	3.36	1.25
4	4.50	1.13
4.25	4.86	1.12
4.75	6.70	1.05
5	7.80	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.86	1.37
-0.5	2.41	1.54
-0.25	2.06	1.69
0	1.76	2.01
+0.25	1.54	2.36
+0.5	1.43	2.73

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.30	1.02
-2	8.30	1.03
-1.75	6.15	1.08
-1.5	4.60	1.14
-1.25	4.19	1.18
-1	3.83	1.22
+0.75	1.29	3.32
+1	1.15	4.72
+1.25	1.13	5.08
+1.5	1.10	5.62
+1.75	1.03	7.40
+2	1.01	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.78
7.5	1.19	3.81
8.5	1.39	2.66
9.5	1.68	2.05
10.5	2.11	1.63
11.5	2.72	1.38
12.5	3.68	1.21
13.5	4.80	1.12
14.5	6.60	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.30	2.97
8.75	1.42	2.52
9.25	1.58	2.16
9.75	1.79	1.91
10	1.90	1.90
10.25	2.01	1.68
10.75	2.27	1.52
11.25	2.62	1.38

Next 2. Bundesliga matches

6 Nov	Eintracht Braunschweig – Energie Cottbus
6 Nov	Dynamo Dresden – SpVgg Greuther Fürth
7 Nov	VfL Osnabrück – 1. FC Kaiserslautern
7 Nov	1. FC Nürnberg – SV Darmstadt 98
7 Nov	Hertha BSC – VfL Wolfsburg
8 Nov	VfL Bochum – Karlsruher SC

All 2. Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Bundesliga results

1 Nov	Hannover 96 2-1 Dynamo Dresden
1 Nov	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-0 Holstein Kiel
1 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1-3 1. FC Nürnberg
31 Oct	Karlsruher SC 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim
31 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 VfL Osnabrück
31 Oct	1. FC Kaiserslautern 0-3 Hertha BSC