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Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC• 2. Division, Denmark

#12.0:1.213:0025/101.2:1.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.38PINX5.20DAF27.50BFRMargin at best5.0%Books8Markets58Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 21:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.364.906.708.9%
Pinnacle1.384.876.169.2%
Dafabet1.325.206.6010.1%
Betfair1.305.007.5010.3%
1xBet1.324.757.2410.6%
Bet3651.305.007.0011.2%
William Hill1.364.406.5011.6%
Marathonbet1.314.756.9011.9%
Best of all books1.385.207.505.0%
Average1.334.866.8310.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nykobing FCThisted FC
Last 10#1Table position#112.08Points per game0.508Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.463Attack rating3854Defence rating4662Form rating3838H2H rating6284Goals model1659Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Nykobing FC

5W 4D 1L · goals 25:14 · per match 2.5 for, 1.4 against

21 OctAVanløse2-0W
16 OctAFremad Amager2-3L
11 OctHVSK Århus3-1W
2 OctANaestved1-1D
26 SepABrabrand1-1D
18 SepHHIK3-0W
13 SepHFA 20003-1W
9 SepHMiddelfart5-5D
6 SepAThisted FC3-0W
28 AugHRoskilde2-2D

Thisted FC

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

18 OctHVSK Århus2-2D
10 OctAHIK1-1D
4 OctHRoskilde0-2L
26 SepAB 930-1L
20 SepHBrabrand3-1W
13 SepANaestved1-3L
6 SepHNykobing FC0-3L
3 SepHSonderjyske0-2L
28 AugAFremad Amager2-2D
21 AugHSkive0-1L

Head to head

4Nykobing FC wins
6draws
3Thisted FC wins

13 meetings · goals 19:15 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Nykobing FC

6 Sep 20262. Division2. DivisionThisted FC0-3Nykobing FC
14 Jun 20252. Division2. DivisionNykobing FC1-2Thisted FC
9 May 20252. Division2. DivisionThisted FC1-1Nykobing FC
27 Oct 20242. Division2. DivisionNykobing FC2-2Thisted FC
18 Aug 20242. Division2. DivisionThisted FC1-0Nykobing FC
11 Nov 20232. Division2. DivisionNykobing FC1-1Thisted FC
23 Sep 20232. Division2. DivisionThisted FC2-2Nykobing FC
5 May 20191. Division1. DivisionThisted FC0-1Nykobing FC
28 Oct 20181. Division1. DivisionNykobing FC1-1Thisted FC
5 Aug 20181. Division1. DivisionThisted FC0-2Nykobing FC

2. Division table2nd Divisionupdated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the 2. Division table, Nykobing FC sit 1st with 25 points from 12 games, while Thisted FC are 11th with 6 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nykobing FC1274130:15+1525
2Roskilde1257024:13+1122
3VSK Århus1254317:12+519
4Naestved1247117:14+319
5Middelfart1246222:16+618
6B 931253420:16+418
7Skive1252515:15017
8Fremad Amager1245316:18-217
9Brabrand1233613:19-612
10HIK1233610:19-912
11Thisted FC1213811:24-136
12FA 20001213811:25-146

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.33X19%4.86213%6.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0123 Oct 00:011 1.33X 4.862 6.83
11.31 → 1.33 +1.5%X5.03 → 4.86 -3.4%26.81 → 6.83 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.482.507.6%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Betano1.472.458.8%
1xBet1.432.4610.6%
Marathonbet1.432.4610.6%
Best of all books1.482.625.7%
Average1.452.509.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.662.078.6%
Betano1.721.988.6%
William Hill1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.662.049.3%
Best of all books1.732.076.1%
Average1.692.038.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nykobing FC 45%Draw 45%Thisted FC 10%

The statistical model rates Nykobing FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Thisted FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.33 | 4.86 | 6.83, which imply roughly 75.2% for a Nykobing FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division table: Nykobing FC are 1st (25 pts, 30-15 goals), Thisted FC 11th (6 pts, 11-24).

Over their last five matches, Nykobing FC averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Thisted FC averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Nykobing FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.334.866.83

Double chance

1XX212
1.062.941.13

Draw no bet

12
1.125.27

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.03

1st half

1X2
1.762.606.18

2nd half

1X2
1.633.045.81

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8418.454.8
HT X4.137.9015.6
HT 219.819.412.1

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3220.83.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0118.8
1.51.115.14
2.51.452.50
3.52.151.62
4.53.501.24
5.56.231.07
6.59.001.04
7.513.01.01
8.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.124.80
21.154.30
2.251.303.05
2.751.562.23
31.721.98
3.251.951.75
3.752.491.45
42.971.30
4.253.291.25
4.754.501.13
56.051.06
5.256.401.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.661.41
-1.752.201.59
-1.51.951.78
-1.251.751.98
-11.532.35
-0.751.422.65
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.221.08
-3.255.781.09
-35.351.11
-2.753.951.20
-2.53.191.29
-2.252.901.34
-0.51.353.11
-0.251.213.82
01.095.78
+0.251.086.27

Next 2. Division matches

23 OctFA 2000 – HIK
23 OctRoskilde – Fremad Amager
24 OctVSK Århus – Naestved
24 OctMiddelfart – Skive
24 OctB 93 – Brabrand

All 2. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Division results

18 OctThisted FC 2-2 VSK Århus
17 OctMiddelfart 3-3 Roskilde
17 OctSkive 2-0 FA 2000
17 OctBrabrand 0-1 HIK
16 OctFremad Amager 3-2 Nykobing FC
16 OctNaestved 2-1 B 93